NFL week 13 - Contrarian Angles

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Good luck this weekend

Thank you, Stackin. We need all the help we can get. Right?

[ChuckyTheGoat]

using my ats charts fadeing the vikings because of the huge DD crossover from -35.5 to plus 4.5 is huge 40 points in one game

taking the JETS +3 team is tough now mike white lit up last foe

Thank you, Bill. Marking you down as 2nd guy on the Jets:

Summary of picks:

451 NY Jets +3 (2x)
453 Denver +8.5
462 NY GIANTS +2.5
470 SAN FRAN -4
472 LAS VEGAS +2


472 Charg/Raid OVER 51
478 TAMPA BAY -3.5

Bill, must feel good to be posting as reigning POM. Thx for posting and GL. Have a nice wkend.

[calamity sue]

Sue, to your point, I've been frustrated w/ line-moves almost every week. Boy, you gotta be prepared early in the week to get down at the peak #.

And injuries. As I edited my post, I'm withdrawing the Steelers. I like the Raiders, but they are no longer the underdog. So, with Field's playing, I'll take da Bears.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

And injuries. As I edited my post, I'm withdrawing the Steelers. I like the Raiders, but they are no longer the underdog. So, with Field's playing, I'll take da Bears.

Thanks, Sue. Putting you down on: Bears +3.5.

Summary of picks:

451 NY Jets +3 (2x)
453 Denver +8.5
462 NY GIANTS +2.5
466 CHICAGO +3.5
470 SAN FRAN -4


472 LAS VEGAS +2
472 Charg/Raid OVER 51
478 TAMPA BAY -3.5

[klemopixx]

Put me down for the Jets +3 also. They're a damn good team on defense. Let's see how Mike White handles the Viking pass rush.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Put me down for the Jets +3 also. They're a damn good team on defense. Let's see how Mike White handles the Viking pass rush.

Got it, Klemo. Thank you.



Summary of picks:

451 NY Jets +3 (3x)
453 Denver +8.5
462 NY GIANTS +2.5
466 CHICAGO +3.5
470 SAN FRAN -4


472 LAS VEGAS +2
472 Charg/Raid OVER 51
478 TAMPA BAY -3.5

3rd ticket on Jets. Yes, Jets look live.

Would love to be a fly on the wall to know what the Jet players think about Zach Wilson. If they're motivated to play w/ White, we should see that on Sunday.

[agendaman]

any of you fellas pla some DFS with your sportsbetting

[ChuckyTheGoat]

any of you fellas pla some DFS with your sportsbetting

Agenda, I don't. I'd imagine that it's a different skill set.

I personally hate Fantasy FB. As if the game can be ratcheted down to six guys per team.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Got it, Klemo. Thank you.



Summary of picks:

451 NY Jets +3 (3x) LLL
453 Denver +8.5W
462 NY GIANTS +2.5W
466 CHICAGO +3.5L
470 SAN FRAN -4


472 LAS VEGAS +2
472 Charg/Raid OVER 51
478 TAMPA BAY -3.5

3rd ticket on Jets. Yes, Jets look live.

Would love to be a fly on the wall to know what the Jet players think about Zach Wilson. If they're motivated to play w/ White, we should see that on Sunday.

Tough runout for anyone holding Jets +3. Could have gone either way.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Summary of picks:

451 NY Jets +3 (3x) LLL
453 Denver +8.5W
462 NY GIANTS +2.5W
466 CHICAGO +3.5L
470 SAN FRAN -4W


472 LAS VEGAS +2W
472 Charg/Raid OVER 51L
478 TAMPA BAY -3.5


Some shoutouts:

*Nate Rasta. What a great pick on the Giants +2.5. You know it's a good handicap when you're catching the pts that you should be laying...and that's the difference in the game.

*Edawg. Nice pick on the Niners, who get there in style. Edawg makes his triumphant return.

*Jackpot269. Jack, I think you found the hot team from the midpoint of the season. Raiders look revived. Like Brent Musberger says when the Raiders score a TD: "Jackpot, baby!"

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Summary of picks:

451 NY Jets +3 (3x) LLL
453 Denver +8.5W
462 NY GIANTS +2.5W
466 CHICAGO +3.5L
470 SAN FRAN -4W


472 LAS VEGAS +2W
472 Charg/Raid OVER 51L
478 TAMPA BAY -3.5 L


Some shoutouts:

*Nate Rasta. What a great pick on the Giants +2.5. You know it's a good handicap when you're catching the pts that you should be laying...and that's the difference in the game.

*Edawg. Nice pick on the Niners, who get there in style. Edawg makes his triumphant return.

*Jackpot269. Jack, I think you found the hot team from the midpoint of the season. Raiders look revived. Like Brent Musberger says when the Raiders score a TD: "Jackpot, baby!"

wk01: 5-2 ATS
wk02: 10-0 ATS
wk03: 10-1 ATS.
wk04: 10-8 ATS
wk05: 7-6 ATS
wk06: 8-4 ATS
wk07: 7-8 ATS

wk08: 9-8 ATS
wk09: 1-5 ATS (one push)
wk10: 7-5 ATS
wk 11: 4-6ATS
wk 12: 4-5 ATS
wk13: 4-6 ATS
YTD: 86-64 ATS (.573)

Another losing week. Limping to the finish line.

[Nate rasta]

Might be time to go conventional

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Might be time to go conventional

Props on your record, Nate. Very impressive.

Have to admit that the Jet game was a tough one. That finish swung the record by six games +/-.

[Nate rasta]

Yeah and they could have won that at the end that was a tough break

[DrunkHorseplayer]

Since that ridiculously hot start, the record is 61-61 so it looks like just another coin flip. Kudos to those who followed early.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Might be time to go conventional

Thought about that for next year, Nate. This year I viewed it as more of a group effort.

If we do it again next year, maybe better to have it on an individual basis w/ standings. And probably best to drop the "Contrarian" adjective and leave it to weekly Best Bet.

[Nate rasta]

Ya weekly best bet sounds like a great idea

[agendaman]

i sure never thought i would see the ravens a 2.5 underdog.p.s titans fired their general mgr. today.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

i sure never thought i would see the ravens a 2.5 underdog.p.s titans fired their general mgr. today.

Ya, good stuff, Agenda:
*Think there's still some doubt on Balt QB Jackson. Not ruled out yet (to my knowledge).
*TENN firing the GM = a strange one. They're going to win the Division. I read that in-house wasn't happy about his trade of AJ Brown, leaving the team thin at WR.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Agenda, follow-up on the Jackson injury. Looks like he's very likely to miss the game at PITT:

*Harbaugh didn't give specifics on Jackson's injury, but league sources told ESPN's Adam Schefter on Tuesday that Jackson has a sprained PCL, an injury that often sidelines players for one to three weeks.