2022 Strength of schedule

[OldBill]

i think this site updates throughout season

2022 NFL Strength of Schedule rankings for all 32 teams have been calculated for the upcoming season, and a couple of different methods are available.
The first method, the winning percentage method, is not an exact science due to player trades, free agency, injuries, and the draft. This method is based solely on the combined record of a team’s opponents from the previous season.



The Los Angeles Rams, the reigning Super Bowl champions, have the toughest schedule in 2022 using the winning percentage method, just ahead of the Arizona Cardinals. Cincinnati is third, followed by Tampa Bay in fourth and San Francisco and Kansas City in a tie for fifth.
The distance from first (LA Rams) to fifth-place (San Francisco, Kansas City) is 10 games in the win column.
The Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders have the easiest schedule in 2022, according to the winning percentage method. The remainder of the NFC East, the New York Giants (29th) and Philadelphia Eagles (30th), round out the bottom four.
Sharp Football Analysis offers an alternative NFL strength of schedule ranking this season based on projected win totals from Vegas oddsmakers.
Sharp uses 2022 projected win totals because this method is “…much better than so many widely used metrics that use the previous season’s record.” Below are their rankings using that method.


If you're curious about the scheduling formula, here's how the NFL does it. Under the formula implemented in 2002 (and updated this year), every team plays 17 games as follows:

• Home and away against its three division opponents (six games).
• The four teams from another division within its conference on a rotating three-year cycle (four games).
• The four teams from a division in the other conference on a rotating four-year cycle (four games).
• Two intra-conference games based on the prior year's standings (two games). These games match a first-place team against the first-place teams in the two same-conference divisions that the team is not scheduled to play that season. The second-place, third-place, and fourth-place teams in a conference are matched in the same way each year.
• One interconference game based on the prior year's standings on a rotating four-year cycle (one game). These games match a first-place team from one division against a first-place team in an opposite conference division that the team is not scheduled to play that season. The second-place, third-place and fourth-place teams in each division are matched in the same way each year. The home conference for this game will rotate each season.

1	Rams	164-125-0	.567
2	Cardinals	157-132-0	.543
3	Bengals	154-133-2	.536
4	Buccaneers	154-134-1	.535
T-5	49ers	154-135-0	.533
T-5	Chiefs	154-135-0	.533
T-7	Raiders	152-136-1	.528
T-7	Saints	152-136-1	.528
9	Falcons	151-137-1	.524
10	Chargers	150-139-0	.519
11	Seahawks	149-139-1	.517
T-12	Steelers	148-141-0	.512
T-12	Panthers	147-140-2	.512
T-12	Bills	147-140-2	.512
15	Broncos	147-142-0	.509
16	Patriots	143-144-2	.498
T-17	Jets	142-145-2	.495
T-17	Browns	142-145-2	.495
19	Texans	141-148-0	.488
20	Vikings	139-148-2	.484
21	Dolphins	138-149-2	.481
22	Packers	137-150-2	.478
23	Ravens	136-151-2	.474
T-24	Bears	135-152-2	.471
T-24	Titans	136-153-0	.471
T-26	Jaguars	135-153-1	.469
T-26	Colts	135-153-1	.469
28	Lions	135-154-0	.467
29	Giants	134-154-1	.465
30	Eagles	133-154-2	.464
T-31	Commanders	133-155-1	.462
T-31	Cowboys	133-155-1	.462

[stake1]

meaningless. Seventeen games, where each week is nearly opposite the previous one. tonite a perfect example, as Bears looked like the best team in the nfc

[OldBill]

so as you see looks like it will be chiefs vs 49ers

i had to get this because the eagles are 6-0 the whole nfc east got the esiest s o s but lets not say they stay this way the updated s o s after trades are made at seasons end week 17 - 18 is what counts

in other words lets say you get team ranked 5th toughest s o s vs a team ranked 20th toughest and team ranked 5th wet 10-7 ats team ranked 20th went 8-9 ATS hammer the beter ATS record and tougher s o s and forget every other stupid anylasys

rare you get like last years both HC's knew each other both teams win margins average 17 points both raked high on s o s but rams were bad ats 8-9 bengals better ranked 5th toughest Rams was ranked #1 toughest is it funny rams were a 4.5 fav and totals lil higher than thier average in season 44 total set at almost 46 if rams made that pat it would have been exactly 44 points and rams win by 4

boy are rams paying for it this year worst loss for ever in history of def champs at home 31-10 and ripping wallets apart 2 - 4 ats

one fugged up year but dont worry guys i will have the s/u and ats winner in feb nothing will change the week before and it's in arizona aint no place to get dirty night before i think.

it hasnt affected my selection the dog one year safety got caught with hooker he gave up the longest TD pass in a blow out

now if your favored team does that like top wr rb top defnder or losses thier CENTER week before sb 100% fade

it happened to Chiefs the year they played at Tampa bay the whole o line was changed plus losing thier center in finals and other injuries on the team but yet vegas goofed made KC the chalk -3

Tampa bay had the #1 defense that year on a very tough s o s

yes people defense wins championships offense wins games

always look at teams with high points allowed like say they scored 520 points but allowed 400 so they are +120 divide by 17 weeks

= +7 ppg

the opponent scored 420 allowed 290 +130 div by 17 +7.6 ppg so round up to +8 the favorite team is -3.5

and kapow s/u dog winner happens

it's just that way s o s points scored and allowed thats all and of course fade our buddy matress mack he dosent take spread points he bet bengals to win s/u last year

[OldBill]

meaningless. Seventeen games, where each week is nearly opposite the previous one. tonite a perfect example, as Bears looked like the best team in the nfc

yup putting in mac jones was wrong and spread moved huge to -9.5 which i didnt look at when making tonites pic so we had 2 huge dogs win this week panthers +13.5 and bears +9.5

[Mr KLC]

[OldBill]

bumpity will show updates every two weeks

[jjgold]

useless

every fukkin team is good any giving week