50.00 bankroll challenge

[gooner89]

A bit about this thread, I was inspired by a recent thread, or more specifically some of the comments within that thread, on running up a small bankroll ($20). The OP of that thread seemed to mistake "bankroll" for stake size, but other members corrected and even stated that it was possible to run up small bankrolls. So I'd thought I'd give it a go.
I did want to use a small bankroll, but felt 20.00 was just too low, so I upped it to 50.00 as I feel that is still small enough for this challenge.

The info:
I'm based in the UK. I'll probably only be using fractional odds (although to get to American odds its just big number divided by small number +100, and if big number is on left its plus, if right then its a minus).
Also I just left off the currency symbol on my amounts to avoid confusion.
The rules:
No reloads. Once its bust, its bust. We'll close the thread and speak no more of it.
The bets:
Will probably be heavily focused on soccer, but in reality any sport/event where there is perceived value is fair game. I will begin aggressively, splitting the initial roll into 25u, although this may change over time. Also not limiting the amount of bets in one go, could have 25 open bets on one day, have 0 on another.

Positive vibes, and let's get it!

[pologq]

good luck. i like the sound of this.

[gooner89]

Football - Georgia Premier
Saburtalo Tbilisi v Dinamo Batumi

Dinamo Batumi @ 1/1

Stake: 2.00
To Return: 2.00

Dinamo on a bad run away from home, but with six games remaining they are only two points off the leaders in the league. A big performance is needed if they want to launch a serious title challenge.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Good luck Goon

[gooner89]

Soccer - Germany Regionalliga Bayern
FV Illertissen v Turkgucu Munchen
Turkgucu Munchen @ 6/5
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 2.40

Soccer - Germany Regionalliga West
SC Wiedenbruck v SV Rodinghausen
SV Rodinghausen @ 21/20
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 2.10

Soccer - Germany Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Kornburg v DJK Bamberg
TSV Kornburg @ 17/10
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 3.40

[Nate rasta]

Good luck.when do you stop or what is your goal to get to?

[gooner89]

Soccer - Denmark Superligaen
Odense BK v Lyngby
Odense BK @ 11/10
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 2.20

[gooner89]

Good luck.when do you stop or what is your goal to get to?

Good question. Haven't set a goal yet, just playing it by ear at the moment.

[jjgold]

All right, let’s see how this plays out

[gooner89]

That's the last of the games for a few hours:

Soccer - Hungary NB I

Vasas v Kecskemeti

Kecskemeti @ 11/5
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 4.40

Soccer - Switzerland Challenge League

Lausanne v Thun

Lausanne @ 11/10
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 2.20


Soccer - Poland Ekstraklasa

Widzew Lodz v Miedz

Widzew Lodz @ 19/20
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 1.90


Soccer - Poland I Liga

Odra Opole v Ruch Chorzow

Ruch Chorzow @ 23/20
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 2.30


Soccer - Spain LaLiga2

Granada CF v Zaragoza


Granada CF @ 23/20
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 2.30


Soccer - Paraguay Primera

Guairena FC v Sol de America


Guairena FC @ 23/20
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 2.30

[Nate rasta]

If I started at 50 I think 2000 would be time to cash out or change it to bankroll management

[pologq]

i would be happy to 10x my money with this. if you are betting $2 a bet that would be a nice number to get to.

[gooner89]

Friday evening results:

Dinamo Batumi @ 1/1 W
Turkgucu Munchen @ 6/5 L
SV Rodinghausen @ 21/20 L
TSV Kornburg @ 17/10 W
Odense BK @ 11/10 W
Kecskemeti @ 11/5 W
Lausanne @ 11/10 W
Widzew Lodz @ 19/20 W
Ruch Chorzow @ 23/20 L
Granada CF @ 23/20 W
Guairena FC @ 23/20 L

Record 7-4
Profit: +10.40
Current Bankroll: 60.40

Not a bad evening at all. Saw big value in Kecskemeti and Kornburg as underdogs and both delivered, contributing towards a 47% ROI (22.00 staked).

Let's hope that continues!

[Nate rasta]

i would be happy to 10x my money with this. if you are betting $2 a bet that would be a nice number to get to.

That would mean you hit 4 in a row.i think 6 is possible to get to 2000

[gooner89]

Tomorrow morning:

Soccer - Korea K-League 3
Cheonan City FC v Gimhae City
Gimhae City @ 13/10
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 2.60

Soccer - Japan J-League 1
Shimizu S-Pulse v Jubilo Iwata
Jubilo Iwata DNB @ 15/8
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 3.75

Soccer - Romania Liga 2
Unirea Dej v FC Brasov
Unirea Dej @ 11/8
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 2.75

Soccer - Czech Republic FNL
Vyskov v Vlasim
Vyskov @ 6/5
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 2.40

Soccer - Czech Republic CFL
Benesov v Teplice II
Teplice II @ 13/8
Stake: 2.00
To Return: 3.25

Big day tomorrow. Saturday is always huge in soccer! Best of luck everyone!

[Nate rasta]

Good luck mon

[gooner89]

Good luck mon

Thanks Nate!

[JayLA]

You're only playing sides 1x2? Intense

[gooner89]

You're only playing sides 1x2? Intense

Excellent question. Short answer, no.

Long answer is I've already started playing other markets, for example I took Jubilo Iwata DNB, which means 'Draw No Bet'. I think its known as PK in American terms? And I know its basically just a variant of sides but hey it is what it is!
So I kinda rushed it yesterday, saw another thread, thought for all of 5 minutes then stuck up the thread. Then Friday evening European games weren't far away so I flew through my analysis (I can normally see within the first 15 seconds if a game is worth playing) and with the volumes of games last night I stuck to the sides only. You may see totals or other markets too, it really depends what comes up over time

EDIT: Made it sound like I don't fully evaluate games, I meant I look for signs first that takes me 15 seconds, if I see what I like I spend a bit longer on that game, if I don't see what I like I move on.

[jjgold]

gooner where you from?

City and Country?

[gooner89]

gooner where you from?
City and Country?

Just on the outskirts of London, UK

[gooner89]

Not the greatest record this morning, but still brings a small 1u profit off 5 games.
Gimhae City @ 13/10 L
Jubilo Iwata DNB @ 15/8 P
Unirea Dej @ 11/8 W
Vyskov @ 6/5 L
Teplice II @ 13/8 W

Session Record 2-2-1
Profit: +2.00

Overall Record: 9-6-1
Overall P/L: +12.40
Starting Bankroll: 50.00
Current Bankroll: 62.40

[gooner89]

Soccer - Italy Serie B
Brescia v Venezia - Brescia @ 11/10
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 2.20

Soccer - Germany 3. Bundesliga
Elversberg v Osnabruck - Elversberg @ 19/20
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 1.90

Soccer - Germany Regionalliga South West
SG Barockstadt Lehnerz v Rot-Weiss Koblenz - SG Barockstadt Lehnerz -0.75 AH @ 4/5
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 1.60

Soccer - Italy Serie B
Reggina v Perugia - Reggina @ 19/20
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 1.90

Soccer - Poland 2nd Division
Zaglebie Lubin II v Motor Lublin - Zaglebie Lubin II @ 6/5
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 2.40

Soccer - Austria 2. Liga
SV Horn v St Polten - SV Horn @ 29/20
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 2.90

Soccer - Czech Republic MSFL
SK Hranice v Vitkovice - SK Hranice -1 @ 10/11
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 1.81

Soccer - France Ligue 2
Amiens v St Etienne - Amiens @ 29/20
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 2.90

Soccer - Sweden Superettan
Ostersunds FK v Trelleborgs FF - Trelleborgs FF @ 8/5
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 3.20

Soccer - Norway 1st Division
Sogndal v IK Start - Sogndal @ 7/5
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 2.80

Back with the afternoon games in a bit. Let's get it!

[gooner89]

Soccer - Wales Premier
The New Saints v Pontypridd Town - The New Saints TT Over 3.5 @ 13/10
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 2.60

Soccer - Wales Cymru North
Gresford v Newi Cefn Druids - Newi Cefn Druids @ 19/10
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 3.80

[jjgold]

Ronaldo being a bitch

Throw him off team

[JayLA]

Let's get it, goon, indeed. Good luck moving forward. I've lost so much over the years that small bets like these wouldn't really rock the boat much but you've come out ahead 2/2 batches of bets - good start.

[gooner89]

Soccer - Denmark Superligaen
FC Copenhagen v Midtjylland - Over 2.5 Goals @ 19/20
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 1.90
Soccer - England Premier League
Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City TT Over 2.5 @ 19/20
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 1.90

Soccer - Azerbaijan Premier
Sumqayit Sheher v Zira IK - Zira IK @ 5/4
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 2.50

Soccer - Northern Ireland Championship
Dergview FC v Newington YC - Newington YC @ 11/10
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 2.20

Soccer - Scotland Premiership
St Mirren v Dundee United - St Mirren @ 23/20
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 2.30

Soccer - England Championship
Blackburn Rovers v Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers @ 23/20
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 2.30

Soccer - Spain LaLiga
Valladolid v Real Sociedad - Real Sociedad @ 1/1
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 2.00

Soccer - Scotland Championship
Inverness CT v Raith Rovers - Inverness CT @ 6/4
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 3.00

Soccer - France Ligue 1
Montpellier v Lyon - Montpellier DNB (PK) @ 13/8
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 3.25

Soccer - England League Two
Salford City v Stockport - Salford City @ 2/1
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 4.00

Soccer - Malta Premier League
Valetta FC v Gzira Utd - Gzira Utd @ 11/10
Stake: 2.00 To Return: 2.20

Phew. Best of Luck

[gooner89]

Ronaldo being a bitch

Throw him off team

Dude is almost 38. About time he gives it up I think. Nobody is going to want to pay his salary at that age when he throws those tantrums.

[gooner89]

Let's get it, goon, indeed. Good luck moving forward. I've lost so much over the years that small bets like these wouldn't really rock the boat much but you've come out ahead 2/2 batches of bets - good start.

Same! My stake size is normally much bigger than this, but there's a competitive streak in me that can't resist a challenge.

It is a good start I agree, hopefully it continues but I think we all know how sports can go sometimes! I'm purely driven on numbers, could I tell you any player from 90% of those teams? Not a chance. But I look at statistics, at history, at trends. And I try to stick above a price range that means a 50% strike rate means profit. And for the small stakes, it is exactly as you say, it doesn't rock the boat at all.