LA Rams vs SF 49ers - O/U 42.5 - How to play it right? It's simple

[arie1985]

When you look at the line of 42.5 what is more "difficult" for you to imagine that would happen, which bet is more difficult for you to place here? Over or Under. The answer should be simple.

The bet that feels more difficult for you to place - that is the correct bet for tonight's game.

Here, I helped you double your money.

[KVB]

Yes, often we find that the most "difficult" bet to make is the bet that wins.

This is a fact of the jagged little pill that is the markets. It is born out of perception not being in line with structural reality. In other words, you may think you understand what are watching because you saw it, but we know that can be very decieving. If you're not making some kind of comparative ratings and matching teams not just against each other, but against the league as a whole, then your subjective capping will be weakened as what you see disconnects with what is actually happening.

This will evetnually lead to bad bets.

All that said, over the long haul worry far less about making the bet that wins and worry far more about making winning bets.

[stevenash]

^
Ironic you just posted that, I was just thinking about betting the over tonight.
Good advice, as per usual there.

I like the Rams, I'm all over the Draft Kings seven point promo.
If one likes the Rams, it would be silly not to play it at DK.

[BuckyOne]

So, you guys play by feel???

[Bostongambler]

So, you guys play by feel???

I bet by the sense of smell.

[KVB]

I bet by the sense of smell.

Both Monte Carlo simulations and linear regression analysis show that there’s no other way.

[budwiser]

I guess the easy play is the over.

I will go over 42

Easy play was the cowboys and chiefs yesterday too

[Bostongambler]

Both Monte Carlo simulations and linear regression analysis show that there’s no other way.

Lol…

[hubie69]

So, you guys play by feel???

I make my bets on the Tessie Dawg pictures Nasher posts. It's a complicated science but with the use of a Random Forest Regressor we can splice the correct play from the image itself.

[sweethook]

numbers dont lie , do the math ..

[juicername]

Exactly. Facts don't care about your feelings. There's a reason why the Trumptards are the best biggest losers in sports betting.

[budwiser]

Exactly. Facts don't care about your feelings. There's a reason why the Trumptards are the best biggest losers in sports betting.

A lot of bettors in books are black

[arie1985]

I guess the easy play is the over.

I will go over 42

Easy play was the cowboys and chiefs yesterday too

So bet the under then!

[juicername]

A lot of bettors in books are black

And winning big.

[budwiser]

So bet the under then!

too late i bet the over. after i read this thread too.

[DwightShrute]

[budwiser]

looks like the under, got it wrong

both teams can't score from inside the 5, missed fg, no turnovers. not happening

good call on the under

[stevenash]

^
After yesterday's London clusterfuck I'm not calling anything done until the final whistle.
That Viking game had no business going over, yet it did.

[Kermit]

Biden voter.

[DwightShrute]

Biden voter.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Bobby Wagner has had enough of these gender reveals <a href="https://t.co/0tM5JS3zIz">pic.twitter.com/0tM5JS3zIz</a></p>&mdash; Barstool Sports (@barstoolsports) <a href="https://twitter.com/barstoolsports/status/1577108925475717120?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 4, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[dante1]

OMG, mr dwight is now up to 12 to 14 hours a day. I guess no swimming in the Caribbean "ocean" today.

Imagine this idiot early in the morning to approaching midnight eastern time. just amazing!!!

[DwightShrute]

OMG, mr dwight is now up to 12 to 14 hours a day. I guess no swimming in the Caribbean "ocean" today.

Imagine this idiot early in the morning to approaching midnight eastern time. just amazing!!!

Over 13 hours of posting by you today dishonest dante. LOL. Just amazing. I don’t know what makes you so stupid, but it really works. Zero accomplishments as usual. Just dozens of posts filled with lies and incoherent dribble.

You have an unhealthy infatuation about me 24/7, whereas I don't think about you at all.

[TheMoneyShot]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Bobby Wagner has had enough of these gender reveals <a rel="nofollow" href="https://t.co/0tM5JS3zIz">pic.twitter.com/0tM5JS3zIz</a></p>&mdash; Barstool Sports (@barstoolsports) <a rel="nofollow" href="https://twitter.com/barstoolsports/status/1577108925475717120?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 4, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Wagner lead with the helmet.... Fukk... woah. Guy got drilled.

[franklee168]

Wagner lead with the helmet.... Fukk... woah. Guy got drilled.

Helmet in the face. Love it!

[Nate rasta]

L.A. is a shit hole.jibby needs to clean up the streets.the Bay way better aye

[budwiser]

L.A. is a shit hole.jibby needs to clean up the streets.the Bay way better aye

Rams lost the backup center made a difference. the guy behind him Jeremiah Kolone I believe it was his first ever NFL game and he was horrible. Most of the time he was out there on an island looking for someone to block, that's not what you want out of an offensive lineman. Rams mortgaged their team for a one-year shot at a title and it showed

Regardless the 49ers and the under was the play from the start

[KVB]

Rams lost the backup center made a difference. the guy behind him Jeremiah Kolone I believe it was his first ever NFL game and he was horrible. Most of the time he was out there on an island looking for someone to block, that's not what you want out of an offensive lineman. Rams mortgaged their team for a one-year shot at a title and it showed

Regardless the 49ers and the under was the play from the start

Yeah, it can be tough when you're down to the third center.

From a professional betting perspective the center, and health of the center, is arguably the most important individual player metric on the field. There are many reasons for this and they can be saved for another post but suffice to say it matters.

[KVB]

I know you misinformation spreading political hack posters aren't exactly keen on self awareness but try to have the cerebral wherewithal to know your shit doesn't belong here.

Of course maybe you think it does, or know it doesn't but naturally think someone else is to blame; either way get the fuk out. Go somewhere else, lie, then call each other liars. It's always that same script with all of you. Because of this fact, a Forum was created specifically for you "special" posters. Show some respect to SBR and use it.

I would have a different tune if you guys weren't, collectively, such agenda pushing mis and dis information spreaders. I truly would sing a different tune. But the facts are what they are and integrity in that realm is gone for you guys, there is no defense for you there. Both COVID and American politics exposed educational failures, what's done is done.

Now it's just a matter of hoping you don't continue to bring SBR down as well.

Please have some self control when posting. Contain your nonsense, no need to see your vomit all over the place. Above all don't feel insulted and pretend like you must defend yourselves here. Just don't. Nobody wants to see that embarrassment.

Thank you and Good Luck if you even bet.