Sharps got buried last night

Roscoe_Word · 09-09-22, 06:25 AM

Yeah; didn't bet the game, but I think the home dog on Mon's and Thur's have done pretty well for many years.

Angles like that stop eventually though.

All that money which bumped the line up was square money?

Big day Sat..................

pologq · 09-09-22, 06:32 AM

i lost on the rams. they looked awful. have to focus on recouping.

goduke · 09-09-22, 07:29 AM

It’s game 1 of the nfl season, sharps don’t get buried this early. Everyone knows the books need the squares to win early in the season. It’s what hooks them the rest of the year, the thought that they can recreate the magic from the early weeks of the nfl season.

d2bets · 09-09-22, 07:50 AM

Buffalo opened +1.
Sharps won.

Roscoe_Word · 09-09-22, 07:59 AM

Originally posted by d2bets

Buffalo opened +1.
Sharps won.

That's what I thought.

mjsuax13 · 09-09-22, 09:40 AM

Stafford is who he is. Don’t let that mirage last year fool you. Perfect storm.

Brock Landers · 09-09-22, 10:05 AM

What sharp was on a lukewarm home dog?

+2.5 is pointless to take the points, either they were going to win (ML) or no play at all.

SlickFazzer · 09-09-22, 10:29 AM

Brock is Right.

and JJ don't panic, you are a sharp and understand thats its a long season.

jackpot269 · 09-09-22, 10:33 AM

Sounds like they were not sharp enough

TheMoneyShot · 09-09-22, 10:46 AM

Originally posted by d2bets

Buffalo opened +1.
Sharps won.

I think Vegas was hoping public would be all over Rams -1. And it would slowly climb to -1.5 and -2 Rams. It didn't go as planned.

What's surprising is... Public was all over Rams +2.5 and ML... possibly even buying it to +3?? We really don't know? Some services are indicating money evened out by game time last night.

So the huge early hit on the Bills was strong... but on the day of the game... people hit Rams strong.

ChuckyTheGoat · 09-09-22, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by TheMoneyShot

I think Vegas was hoping public would be all over Rams -1. And it would slowly climb to -1.5 and -2 Rams. It didn't go as planned.

What's surprising is... Public was all over Rams +2.5 and ML... possibly even buying it to +3?? We really don't know? Some services are indicating money evened out by game time last night.

So the huge early hit on the Bills was strong... but on the day of the game... people hit Rams strong.

Shot, I have to compliment Lakerboy on playing the Bills last nite. He had a "read" on the line.

At one point in time, NFL Home Dogs were pure money. I have to look up the time-frame. But I think NFL HDs approached 55% ATS over a 20-year period. Circa 1985 to 2005.

I have to think back to the one year where that changed. People started to know about the NFL Home Dogs. The books shorted the #, and the HOme Dogs ran 35% that year.

I do think the "Home Dog" concept is outdated. Now, it's just a matter of extracting value. You can't rely on the Home Dog to be +EV.

The part I compliment Laker is that this would (seemingly) have been a tough trip for Buffalo. HOW GOOD does Buffalo have to be to go West and rip thru the -2.5 easily?

Anyway, I could pontificate on this all day. Will be looking fwd to see just how good the Bills are. 15-2 or better?

POTVINSUX · 09-09-22, 11:34 AM

NFL Prime Time dogs in general have raked past few seasons alone.

RangeFinder · 09-09-22, 01:47 PM

Sharps never get buried. Ever.

d2bets · 09-09-22, 08:23 PM

Originally posted by RangeFinder

Sharps never get buried. Ever.

Not in the long-run. In the short-run, sure.

Jowframs · 09-10-22, 03:31 PM

Joe Pub
and Sharps we’re on Bills early

DrunkHorseplayer · 09-10-22, 04:10 PM

Remember the Pack getting smoked 35-3 on opening week last year? They turned out fine, it's only one game.

OldBill · 09-10-22, 05:59 PM

Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer

Remember the Pack getting smoked 35-3 on opening week last year? They turned out fine, it's only one game.

this was different it was the champs at home packers saints was played @ jax for some reason n saints got murdered in wk 2

jjgold · 09-10-22, 06:32 PM

Today I do not know

A lot of crazy scores

pavyracer · 09-10-22, 06:56 PM

Sharps and squares were on Buffalo.

#1 FF QB vs #10 FF QB.

DrunkHorseplayer · 09-13-22, 01:21 AM

Originally posted by OldBill

this was different it was the champs at home packers saints was played @ jax for some reason n saints got murdered in wk 2

The Rams lost by 17 at home to Ari last year and by 21 at SF, they ended up pretty well; anything can happen in one game.

jjgold · 09-13-22, 05:52 AM

what a week for the books

pologq · 09-13-22, 06:34 AM

i think like 89% of the money was on the broncs at DK