NFL Betting - Bet With Your Head

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  • gauchojake
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 09-17-10
    • 34113

    #1
    NFL Betting - Bet With Your Head
    Boys, it's that time of year again. We've loaded up our accounts, shot off on meaningless pre season games, reloaded, and now we're almost ready to place a real wager on real games.

    Just remember, the first 4-5 weeks of the NFL are full of EASY wins. The bookmakers want you to feel confident because they know this is a long season.

    BE CAREFUL

    Things will turn on a dime. Don't go crazy with your bankroll.

  • Easy-Rider 66
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-12
    • 36109

    #2
    Comment
    • Optional
      Administrator
      • 06-10-10
      • 61543

      #3
      Hand out those easy early winners Jake.
      .
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Books favorite sport

        Lines too sharp
        Comment
        • manny24
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-22-07
          • 20046

          #5
          Bills ML -135 bankroll starter thanks Jaker
          Comment
          • pologq
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-07-12
            • 19899

            #6
            i am like a blind man in an orgy. i have to feel my way around the first couple of weeks.
            Comment
            • gauchojake
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 09-17-10
              • 34113

              #7
              Originally posted by manny24
              Bills ML -135 bankroll starter thanks Jaker
              Whoever loses the game, just hammer the SB future since you'll likely be getting a better price. I think Rams at home but that's just me.
              Comment
              • gauchojake
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 09-17-10
                • 34113

                #8
                Originally posted by Optional
                Hand out those easy early winners Jake.
                Balti laying 7 was one that stood out. There were a couple of other games that were sitting on 7 that I think will move to 7.5 by game time so just lay the number it won't matter.
                Comment
                • pavyracer
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-12-07
                  • 82837

                  #9
                  Anone knows if that "Consensus" will be available at the new SBR Odds? It was a goldmine in the past seeing what all the squares were playing and playing the other side.
                  Comment
                  • pavyracer
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-12-07
                    • 82837

                    #10
                    I see a lot of "easy" public wins already that will get hammered.

                    Saints -5.5, 49ers -7, Bengals -6.5, Eagles -4.

                    Books are setting public Joe to the slaughterhouse.
                    Comment
                    • Jayvegas420
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 03-09-11
                      • 28213

                      #11
                      toughest lines in sportsbetting.
                      staying away this season
                      Comment
                      • pologq
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-07-12
                        • 19899

                        #12
                        Originally posted by gauchojake
                        Balti laying 7 was one that stood out. There were a couple of other games that were sitting on 7 that I think will move to 7.5 by game time so just lay the number it won't matter.
                        i am assuming flacco plays for the jets. ravens should def win.
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388179

                          #13
                          Just set aside a certain amount that you could afford to lose because it will be all gone
                          Comment
                          • pologq
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-07-12
                            • 19899

                            #14
                            Originally posted by jjgold
                            Just set aside a certain amount that you could afford to lose because it will be all gone
                            the positivity in your posts is overwhelming
                            Comment
                            • flyingillini
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 41219

                              #15
                              Or it starts out as the first 4-5 weeks as a bloodbath, who knows?
                              המוסד‎
                              המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388179

                                #16
                                I can’t wait for all the sob stories
                                Comment
                                • GunShard
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-05-10
                                  • 10031

                                  #17
                                  Bet against the worst teams and you will profit. Fade Seahawks and Bears.
                                  Comment
                                  • Al Masters
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-29-06
                                    • 6940

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by GunShard
                                    Bet against the worst teams and you will profit. Fade Seahawks and Bears.

                                    Doesn’t work that way.. I wish it did, gambling would be so easy.

                                    The line is the great equalizer.
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      End of thread

                                      Originally posted by Al Masters
                                      Doesn’t work that way.. I wish it did, gambling would be so easy.

                                      The line is the great equalizer.
                                      Comment
                                      • RM Logic
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 12-09-13
                                        • 847

                                        #20
                                        Take Miami -2.5 at home vs. the Pats. This line is about Belichick against a rookie coach. But NE has zero offensive playmakers compared to Miami and the game is in the heat and humidity in Miami where even Brady was lousy.
                                        Comment
                                        • teacher10
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-28-18
                                          • 1821

                                          #21
                                          Who should I tail?
                                          Comment
                                          • jjgold
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 07-20-05
                                            • 388179

                                            #22
                                            Nfl season win totals better
                                            Comment
                                            • Orbison
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-07-20
                                              • 4691

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by gauchojake
                                              Just remember, the first 4-5 weeks of the NFL are full of EASY wins.
                                              what are the signs of an easy win?
                                              Comment
                                              • gauchojake
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 09-17-10
                                                • 34113

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Orbison
                                                what are the signs of an easy win?
                                                Rash and burning sensation
                                                Comment
                                                • chargers4222
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-16-10
                                                  • 4702

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by gauchojake
                                                  Balti laying 7 was one that stood out. There were a couple of other games that were sitting on 7 that I think will move to 7.5 by game time so just lay the number it won't matter.
                                                  Perfect, so Ravens -7 is a lock, correct? Awesome, thanks for this guaranteed winner. Let us know the other easy wins as you see them.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • gauchojake
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 09-17-10
                                                    • 34113

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by chargers4222
                                                    Perfect, so Ravens -7 is a lock, correct? Awesome, thanks for this guaranteed winner. Let us know the other easy wins as you see them.
                                                    Common guy I'm not that clown spewing guaranteed winners. There's no such thing as a lock. Unless I was being ironic you're unlikely to find a post of mine where I mention that word.

                                                    The point is that in the first few weeks of the NFL there are typically some chalk wins that the books will allow.

                                                    For instance, Houston is a terrible team. Their first team nearly lost to the Rams UDFAs. Laying 8 there seems like a play you could make. You don't want to lay 8 then you get a sweet teaser number.

                                                    Good luck.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • marcoloco
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-05-10
                                                      • 3986

                                                      #27
                                                      If my bankroll isn't done by week 10 did I even gamble?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DJK
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-17-11
                                                        • 2424

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by teacher10
                                                        Who should I tail?
                                                        No one. At least for now until you see some sort of winning trend by whichever poster(s). That's just my opinion.

                                                        But if you tailed BigBill365 last week, you would have been 3-0. It's too bad his picks were buried into the 2nd page and I'm pretty certain that people don't take him too seriously.

                                                        Or, you could have been 2-0 fading johnnyvegas13, but you knew that already.

                                                        What's with 13 anyway in his user name? 13? Seriously? They don't have a floor button for 13 in any casino elevators.

                                                        Date SBR Poster Away Team Home Team Spread Juice Pick Away Score Home Score Total Diff ATS O/U Win Loss $100.00 Wager Won/Lost Bank Roll URL
                                                        Sat, 08-27-2022 Bigbill365 Charlotte Florida Atlantic -6.5 -110 H 13 43 56 30 23.5 0.0 W 1.00 $100.00 $110.00 $100.00 $100.00 https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3707213-bigbills-ncaaf-play.html
                                                        Sat, 08-27-2022 Bigbill365 Charlotte Florida Atlantic 61.5 -110 U 13 43 56 30 0.0 5.5 W 1.00 $100.00 $110.00 $100.00 $100.00 https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3707213-bigbills-ncaaf-play.html
                                                        Sat, 08-27-2022 Bigbill365 Nevada New Mexico St -8.5 -110 A 23 12 35 11 2.5 0.0 W 1.00 $100.00 $110.00 $100.00 $100.00 https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3707213-bigbills-ncaaf-play.html
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DJK
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-17-11
                                                          • 2424

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by gauchojake
                                                          Common guy I'm not that clown spewing guaranteed winners. There's no such thing as a lock. Unless I was being ironic you're unlikely to find a post of mine where I mention that word.

                                                          The point is that in the first few weeks of the NFL there are typically some chalk wins that the books will allow.

                                                          For instance, Houston is a terrible team. Their first team nearly lost to the Rams UDFAs. Laying 8 there seems like a play you could make. You don't want to lay 8 then you get a sweet teaser number.

                                                          Good luck.
                                                          Didn't last year's NFL started with a ton of dogs covering? As a matter of fact, wasn't it like that for the 1st half of the season where more dogs covered?

                                                          It doesn't mean it could repeat like that this year, but who the heck knows.

                                                          Hopefully, you are right about some easy chalks in the beginning of the season, so I will avoid taking the dogs if they are on the opposite side of your chalk picks.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RangeFinder
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 10-27-16
                                                            • 8041

                                                            #30
                                                            Out of all these posts, not one person mentioned a dog.

                                                            I'm betting dogs.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DJK
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-17-11
                                                              • 2424

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by RangeFinder
                                                              Out of all these posts, not one person mentioned a dog.

                                                              I'm betting dogs.
                                                              Please do post your dogs so I can tail.

                                                              Hopefully, they aren't those "On it" dogs. LOL
                                                              Comment
                                                              • gauchojake
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 09-17-10
                                                                • 34113

                                                                #32
                                                                Ranger we bet chalk here at SBR now
                                                                Comment
                                                                • manny24
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-22-07
                                                                  • 20046

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by manny24
                                                                  Bills ML -135 bankroll starter thanks Jaker
                                                                  we're in the game Jaker
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • gauchojake
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 09-17-10
                                                                    • 34113

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Manny I know what I'm doing.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pologq
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-07-12
                                                                      • 19899

                                                                      #35
                                                                      manny good call

                                                                      for dogs i think the jags and lions are live for sure
                                                                      Comment
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