My early plays for the BMW Championship...

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  • RangeFinder
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-27-16
    • 8041

    My early plays for the BMW Championship...

    Scottie Sheffler +1600 I will not turn down this price on the best golfer in the world, hands down. I give him at least a 9-10% chance of taking this event down. At 16-1, yea, I'll take that.

    Cam Young +2200 This guy as been knocking on the door all year and is playing as good, if not better, than any on tour.

    Joaquin Niemann +4000 Liked the way he played last weekend at the St. Jude. From tee to green he was the best the last two rounds. Unfortunately they play 4. I give this guy a chance if he can bring the same game this Weekend and I really love the number on him.

    Good luck for any who play these or post yours. Plenty of time to get the plays in. Should be a fun weekend.
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388189

    #2
    Keep thread alive daily Ranger

    Comment

    • Waterstpub87
      SBR MVP
      • 09-09-09
      • 4102

      #3
      Do you ever bet any matchups? I've really like betting players to miss the cut this year. Makes for an exciting Friday afternoon, hoping for some guy to play terribly.

      Comment

      • RangeFinder
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-27-16
        • 8041

        #4
        Here are my 1st round matchups. Usually don't have this many but really like these.

        Adam Scott +118 over Billy Horschel

        Trey Mullinax -115 over Lucas Glover

        Justin Thomas -105 over Will Zalatoris

        Cameron Young +100 Over Matthew Fitzpatrick

        Remember these are 1st Round plays only, so be careful not to bet these matchups for the whole tournament. Check your tickets before hitting the button.

        Comment

        • RangeFinder
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-27-16
          • 8041

          #5
          4-0 in 1st Round matchups. At least that's free rollin' the win bets on top.

          I'll take a look at the 2nd Round and see if there's any low hangin' fruit.

          Comment

          • BeatTheJerk
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-19-07
            • 31794

            #6
            Originally posted by RangeFinder
            4-0 in 1st Round matchups. At least that's free rollin' the win bets on top.

            I'll take a look at the 2nd Round and see if there's any low hangin' fruit.
            Well done pal.

            Comment

            • RangeFinder
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-27-16
              • 8041

              #7
              Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
              Well done pal.
              Thank you, sir.

              Waiting for the 2nd Round numbers to see if I can catch any good numbers.

              Comment

              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388189

                #8

                Comment

                • RangeFinder
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-27-16
                  • 8041

                  #9
                  2nd Round Matchup

                  Joaquin Niemann -110 over Viktor Hovland

                  Will Zalatoris +100 over Jon Rahm

                  One play that I almost pulled the trigger on and didn't is Finau +113 over Thomas. I just didn't like the way Finau looked today, at all. He looks like he's having some back issues. Not sure so I stayed away. The price is juicy, but, when I thought about it I know why. So if you do, good luck on that one. If he comes out to the 1st tee ok, it's a good play.

                  Comment

                  • mama whoiscrying
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-25-21
                    • 897

                    #10
                    Sheffler had a couple missteps but closed strong. Definitely in contention.

                    Comment

                    • mama whoiscrying
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-25-21
                      • 897

                      #11
                      Originally posted by mama whoiscrying
                      Sheffler had a couple missteps but closed strong. Definitely in contention.
                      I meant Young.....but Sheffler right there too!

                      Comment

                      • RangeFinder
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-27-16
                        • 8041

                        #12
                        Originally posted by mama whoiscrying
                        I meant Young.....but Sheffler right there too!
                        Yes, we're in contention. Should be a really fun weekend.

                        Comment

                        • RangeFinder
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-27-16
                          • 8041

                          #13
                          2-0 in match play today, brings the matches to 6-0 for the tournament.

                          Comment

                          • BeatTheJerk
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-19-07
                            • 31794

                            #14
                            Originally posted by RangeFinder
                            2-0 in match play today, brings the matches to 6-0 for the tournament.



                            You don’t get enough credit on this forum Rangefinder sadly, because I’m not a regular anymore & I’m your biggest supporter.

                            Comment

                            • RangeFinder
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-27-16
                              • 8041

                              #15
                              Originally posted by BeatTheJerk



                              You don’t get enough credit on this forum Rangefinder sadly, because I’m not a regular anymore & I’m your biggest supporter.
                              Thank you so much. Appreciate the comment.

                              Comment

                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388189

                                #16
                                Ranger best sport golf
                                Everything else sub par

                                Comment

                                • toddsclowns
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-19-13
                                  • 1576

                                  #17
                                  Nice work Range! I make money following your golf and fading everything else as JJ “says”. Keep it up man, appreciate all the work you put in!

                                  Comment

                                  • RangeFinder
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-27-16
                                    • 8041

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                    Ranger best sport golf
                                    Everything else sub par
                                    + money in MLB, NCAAF and NCAAB

                                    Comment

                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388189

                                      #19
                                      Ranger you’re about 39% on you’re plays on this Forum

                                      Comment

                                      • RangeFinder
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-27-16
                                        • 8041

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        Ranger you’re about 39% on you’re plays on this Forum

                                        Comment

                                        • RangeFinder
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-27-16
                                          • 8041

                                          #21
                                          Waiting on the matchup numbers to get posted. It's going to be hard to find a good number for Round 3. Books are going to juice the favs and skim the dog to where it's hard to place a bet which is common for Round 3 and 4. But we'll see.

                                          Comment

                                          • jjgold
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 07-20-05
                                            • 388189

                                            #22
                                            Very difficult to beat wide juice impossible actually

                                            You probably need 15 funded books to offset the wide juice

                                            Comment

                                            • RangeFinder
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 10-27-16
                                              • 8041

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                              Very difficult to beat wide juice impossible actually

                                              You probably need 15 funded books to offset the wide juice
                                              You are correct jj. It's all about getting the right number even if we know something has a good chance of winning. If we bet into numbers we think has a 60% (-150) probability, but the number we take is -165, we are in -EV land no matter how much we like a bet. We still need the right number. Comes down to simple math, really. It's how books survive.

                                              Btw, I don't really see any matchups to bet into today, maybe tomorrow. So today, let's pull for our win bets to position themselves for the stretch run tomorrow.

                                              Comment

                                              • RangeFinder
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-27-16
                                                • 8041

                                                #24
                                                Last day, lets bring it home!

                                                Comment

                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388189

                                                  #25
                                                  This place better when Ranger active despite me busting his balls

                                                  Great leaderboard today

                                                  Comment

                                                  • RangeFinder
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-27-16
                                                    • 8041

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                    This place better when Ranger active despite me busting his balls

                                                    Great leaderboard today

                                                    jj, you're alright. I got you.

                                                    Comment

                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388189

                                                      #27
                                                      Ranger will Cantlay hold on?

                                                      Comment

                                                      • RangeFinder
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-27-16
                                                        • 8041

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                                        Ranger will Cantlay hold on?
                                                        50/50

                                                        Comment

                                                        • RangeFinder
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-27-16
                                                          • 8041

                                                          #29
                                                          Now he's 90%

                                                          Comment

                                                          • Nate rasta
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-30-22
                                                            • 2948

                                                            #30
                                                            I had stallings 100 to win roughly 5000.how could I have hedged it. I had 800 to hedge this morning.i was able to hedge a little at the end when only 2 players in it
                                                            Last edited by Nate rasta; 08-21-22, 05:11 PM.

                                                            Comment

                                                            • El Nino
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 05-03-12
                                                              • 18426

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Nate rasta
                                                              I had stallings 100 to win roughly 5000.how could I have hedged it. I had 800 to hedge this morning.i was able to hedge a little at the end when only 2 players in it
                                                              Cantlay was +105 with Stallings the same before Cantlay hit his approach shot on 16. Prob your best opportunity to hedge there. Everyone else was pretty much out of it barring a miracle. Hard to hedge sometimes in golf.

                                                              Comment

                                                              • Nate rasta
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-30-22
                                                                • 2948

                                                                #32
                                                                Ya that's when I hedged but only 500 at -150 after he got that lucky ass bounce on 17.tuff loss for me that would of put me back in the black.rough pill to swallow

                                                                Comment

                                                                • El Nino
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 05-03-12
                                                                  • 18426

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Nate rasta
                                                                  Ya that's when I hedged but only 500 at -150 after he got that lucky ass bounce on 17.tuff loss for me that would of put me back in the black.rough pill to swallow
                                                                  Def a tough break. Cantlay looked dead off the tee and Stallings with a 9 footer to take the lead. Such big swings.

                                                                  Comment

                                                                  • Nate rasta
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-30-22
                                                                    • 2948

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Stallings had chances to put it away.had like 4 makeable birdie puts that barley missed on the back 9

                                                                    Comment

                                                                    • jjgold
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                                      • 388189

                                                                      #35
                                                                      It’s why stallings never wins

                                                                      Comment

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