MLB Prop Bet Worth Looking At Today

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65591

    #1
    MLB Prop Bet Worth Looking At Today
    MacKenzie Gore OVER 5.5 stakeouts +120

    Mack Gore (LHP) 3-1, 1.71 ERA, lofty 28% strikeout rate.
    47:42 K to IP ratio.

    Gore (SD) squares up against Mil.

    Brewers don't fare well vs. LHP, sixth highest K rate against lefties in MLB

    Gore throws mainly gas.
    Two-thirds of his pitches are fastballs, and they're nasty.
    League is hitting only .208 off of Gore's fastball, with the exception of Yelich, Brewers lineup have a high K rate vs. LHP

    Gore's eight starts this season:

    Date Tm Opp IP H R ER BB SO ERA Pit Str StL StS GB FB LD PU
    Apr 15 SDP ATL 5.1 3 2 2 2 3 3.38 73 44 7 5 7 8 5 0
    Apr 20 SDP CIN 5 4 0 0 2 7 1.74 88 53 14 8 6 5 1 1
    Apr 27 SDP @ CIN 5 5 1 1 2 10 1.76 102 69 13 15 4 6 5 0
    May 4(2) SDP @ CLE 5.2 4 1 1 3 2 1.71 100 59 15 4 7 11 4 2
    May 9 SDP CHC 5 7 3 3 0 6 2.42 89 57 14 12 6 8 5 0
    May 17 SDP @ PHI 3 3 0 0 0 4 2.17 40 30 10 5 5 3 1 2
    May 22 SDP @ SFG 6 3 1 1 2 6 2.06 90 54 15 11 5 9 4 0
    May 29 SDP PIT 7 2 0 0 3 9 1.71 93 66 21 14 5 8 3 1
    42 31 8 8 14 47 1.71 675 64% 16% 11% 0.78 27% 6%
    On paper there is a lot of value in this prop.


    Gore OVER 5.5 strikeouts +120 (DraftKings)
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Do you ever compare these props with offshore how are the lines
    Comment
    • stevenash
      Moderator
      • 01-17-11
      • 65591

      #3
      Originally posted by jjgold
      Do you ever compare these props with offshore how are the lines
      Yeah.
      I only have BoL and Heritage.
      All pretty much the same on this prop, but usually you're best bargain is at Heritage.
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Ok thanks good info
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65591

          #5
          Originally posted by jjgold
          Ok thanks good info
          Thanks.

          Just cashed.
          7K's still in the 4th inning.
          Comment
          • KnuckleHeadz
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-11-19
            • 8194

            #6
            Originally posted by stevenash
            Thanks.

            Just cashed.
            7K's still in the 4th inning.
            Well Done Nasher!!
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 65591

              #7
              Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz
              Well Done Nasher!!
              Thanks Knuckler, appreciate the words.

              10 K's through six innings.
              The dude has talent on loan from God, almost every MLB hitter can rake fastballs, but haven't been able to touch Gore's.
              (Yet)
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                Nashy looks at data all day
                He has an edge
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 65591

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jjgold
                  Nashy looks at data all day
                  He has an edge
                  What can I tell you Coach, being a geek does have its advantages.
                  I'm just a nerd from way back.
                  Comment
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