KVB this is how i made $ with soccer off the clock

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30057

    #1
    KVB this is how i made $ with soccer off the clock
    What do you think of the strat:

    after 10 mins in:
    1) buy +.5
    wait for line to cross to profit: ex. if -150, opp. -.5 must go to +150 for b/e
    wait some more....
    2) can either wait full result (risky, esp in extra time) or book profit anywhere along the way. Longer wait, higher profit.
    don't have to leave bookie screen up. Goaloo1.com has live odds and a favorite feature with sound, etc.
    3) if miss/lose, then take other side with a) profit from bet 1, or b) principal from bet 1, depending upon strength of opp
    note: better calculations are possible but time-consuming. It is essentially a loss-reduction technique.

    works best with +0.5, not +1.5 or higher, if one waits long enough, those will reduce to lesser goal... making hedging out too costly, because the original goal differetial hasn't changed.. if they reduce, then you must take the lower odd and hope to catch the middle (do nothing) or your team to score instead.. but only do this with a) profit from 1, otherwise your throwing your gains away. Note: this is only necessary if your book does not keep up the original spread you took. Some do, but many do not.

    also - if pre-match and not on +0.5 then must start with both dog side AND draw, or only draw if you think the dog side really has no chance of winning.
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Bump

    Interesting
    Comment
    • pavyracer
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-12-07
      • 82839

      #3
      1. What game are you talking about?
      2. What were the odds for +0.5 pregame?
      3. What happens if a goal is scored against you while you wait for the line to cross over to +?
      4. What is the juice and limits on live soccer bets?
      Comment
      • texhooper
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-05-09
        • 10001

        #4
        This sounds like something I would do that would ultimately fail
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #5
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            KVB does not know a thing about soccer nor understand soccer lines

            It is a another animal in itself
            Comment
            • Snowball
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 11-15-09
              • 30057

              #7
              I did this with 5 games yesterday, and already this morning with Benfica II.
              Benfica won outright. As did another Portuguese match I had yesterday.
              Definitely net positive.
              Comment
              • Snowball
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 11-15-09
                • 30057

                #8
                Show you guys one right now in real-time.
                New bet: Feirenese +0.5 -170
                Comment
                • Snowball
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 11-15-09
                  • 30057

                  #9
                  I only did that one to show you guys, and that was a mistake, because I would have looked into it first otherwise.
                  Look into it by seeing how many goals the other side typically scores, and how many goals your prospective side allows.

                  anyway, I'll keep it going.

                  Opponent scored 2 quick goals. So I am down -170 today. Just took other side at -1250 to reduce that loss.
                  moving on.
                  Comment
                  • Snowball
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 11-15-09
                    • 30057

                    #10
                    Ok, when I look over the pre-match, I see some prospects for live starting at 9, but I did a pre-match
                    at 11 am starting time with France Ligue 1, Bordeaux +0.5 (-125).
                    A good idea besides looking at recent scoring (you want low scoring) is to pick a side that is not so much of a huge dog
                    that is really overmatched. So if your side has about a +200 or less shot of winning, then they have a legit shot (not to say those over, as in to 300's don't have a shot, but the clock running won't make them move the line early enough, it goes into 2nd half)
                    Comment
                    • Snowball
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 11-15-09
                      • 30057

                      #11
                      btw since i'm posting these a while for demonstration purposes, the thread can go into soccer forum
                      or into the handicapping think tank, if mods want.

                      and since i'm tracking I bet less on the other i did just for show than the one earlier. These are small for testing
                      and cuz I'm also on tennis and of course nba this afternoon. I'm only pasting this because I said I took Benfica II earlier
                      lest anyone question it and for tracking.
                      Comment
                      • BeatTheJerk
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-19-07
                        • 31794

                        #12
                        KVB doesn’t give a f u c k bruh.
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388179

                          #13
                          Snowy what book you playing at
                          Comment
                          • MinnesotaFats
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-18-10
                            • 14758

                            #14
                            Listen OP

                            KVB talks a great game.

                            But he was also at the infamous "gambling breakfast" a decade ago.

                            There were many men in $2000 silk suits wearing shirts that exposed both their chest hair & gold chains.

                            Some of the guys got a little randy at mid point and snuck away under the stair case.

                            The floor was a sand bottom, and thou neither JJ or I participated, JJ told me he watched, thru his miniature telescope, some of the more effeminate security detail voluntarily put their head in the sand and get pegged by other male SBR participants of the breakfast.

                            All I know is that KVB was at a table I was following closely. He was taking notes whilst the speaker was pontificating on strategy and then suddenly both he and security guy Thomas from San Marcos were missing for about 35 minutes simultaneously.

                            JJ swears that he saw San Marcos Speedway ID badge in the sand and KVB slinking away, acting very coy, soon thereafter.

                            IDK what to make of this allegation but I'd watch out....
                            Comment
                            • BeatTheJerk
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-19-07
                              • 31794

                              #15
                              Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                              Listen OP

                              KVB talks a great game.

                              But he was also at the infamous "gambling breakfast" a decade ago.

                              There were many men in $2000 silk suits wearing shirts that exposed both their chest hair & gold chains.

                              Some of the guys got a little randy at mid point and snuck away under the stair case.

                              The floor was a sand bottom, and thou neither JJ or I participated, JJ told me he watched, thru his miniature telescope, some of the more effeminate security detail voluntarily put their head in the sand and get pegged by other male SBR participants of the breakfast.

                              All I know is that KVB was at a table I was following closely. He was taking notes whilst the speaker was pontificating on strategy and then suddenly both he and security guy Thomas from San Marcos were missing for about 35 minutes simultaneously.

                              JJ swears that he saw San Marcos Speedway ID badge in the sand and KVB slinking away, acting very coy, soon thereafter.

                              IDK what to make of this allegation but I'd watch out....
                              Comment
                              • pavyracer
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-12-07
                                • 82839

                                #16
                                Gambling breakfast with dudes with open shirts..
                                Comment
                                • MinnesotaFats
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-18-10
                                  • 14758

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                  Gambling breakfast with dudes with open shirts..
                                  Pavy

                                  There's nothing more dangerous in life than a SBR pro at breakfast
                                  Comment
                                  • manny24
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-22-07
                                    • 20046

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                                    Pavy

                                    There's nothing more dangerous in life than a SBR pro at breakfast


                                    alligator arms when the check comes
                                    Comment
                                    • Snowball
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 11-15-09
                                      • 30057

                                      #19
                                      jj's old posts are a comedy tour. Minny you made me look them over again.
                                      lol I saw the gambling breakfast one and the fat cousin fantasy lol.

                                      anyway concerning live bets and arbs, i think they just don't make good posting threads.
                                      we are guys not secretaries with advanced typing skills.
                                      Comment
                                      • manny24
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-22-07
                                        • 20046

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Snowball
                                        jj's old posts are a comedy tour. Minny you made me look them over again.
                                        lol I saw the gambling breakfast one and the fat cousin fantasy lol.

                                        anyway concerning live bets and arbs, i think they just don't make good posting threads.
                                        we are guys not secretaries with advanced typing skills.
                                        Comment
                                        • MinnesotaFats
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-18-10
                                          • 14758

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Snowball
                                          jj's old posts are a comedy tour. Minny you made me look them over again.
                                          lol I saw the gambling breakfast one and the fat cousin fantasy lol.

                                          anyway concerning live bets and arbs, i think they just don't make good posting threads.
                                          we are guys not secretaries with advanced typing skills.
                                          U gotta post those here I can't find them.

                                          There's a shedding jacket
                                          Banging his aunt
                                          Gambling breakfast
                                          Bubblegum for kids

                                          Find these!!
                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #22
                                            Why is this thread in the Think Tank?

                                            I'll be honest, I never even got to #2 in the original post, didn't even read all of step 1, got to something about a line "crossing profit" then just posted the laughing guy.

                                            Never read anymore of the thread.

                                            I doubt it's Think Tank material though, just based on step 1 and original poster.

                                            Comment
                                            • jjgold
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 07-20-05
                                              • 388179

                                              #23
                                              did it work?
                                              Comment
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