Going into the last game they were covering like 65% of the games they played....
That's very rare after that many games....
That's very rare after that many games....
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5out in 1st round0%1out in 2nd round0%2Out in Conference finals0%2out in NBA finals0%0They win it all0%0 -
Yep, Memphis 52‑29‑1 64.2% ATSComment -
What was OKC?Comment -
Good info Rake
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Griz are tough and yes they do win regularly ATS!! Never a bad idea to bet them as the numbers don't lie!!
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What you do when betting the Grizz this year is bet them ATS game to game and if they loss you double up in the next game. Straight up bank! That worked all season. Playoffs a different story though..Comment -
One issue with these percentages is that it leaves what we call a mathematical hole. It can be misleading. I understand when we track our bets we often don't count ties but when tracking the team covering rate it can be misleading.
The above percetnage numbers are not counting ties but I think this thread was really seeking the win column number, not a percentage.
The divisor should be 82 in all cases, not 82 less the ties.
We can get a situation where a team coverd 48 games, but had 5 or 6 ties and thus a higher percentage when we make the divisor 77, or whatever. This can make the percentage misleading.
To avoid that, let's just not count percentage, or you can do it yourself. I revamped my systems nearly 20 years ago and can thus get info like this fairly readily.
LT has 52-29-1 as the Memphis record, I checked with some colleagues and there is debate. Some of us have 51-29-2. We did not get into the details of which game was considered a push.
I am not disputing LT's numbers, just acknowledging that a cover is a push in some databases. He will appreaciate that, it happens.
Also, we are dealing with closing lines here, not openers, which I could produce as a separate record...they are different.
Going back about 15 years, here are some ATS records of teams with better than 49 covers in an 82 game season. I did not include season with less than 80 games.
Things to note, Memphis has been here before, in 2010.
Also, the 2007-08 season saw 3 teams with 51 or more ATS covers...
Team ATS Season W L P Boston 53 28 1 2007-08 Milwaukee 52 28 2 2009-10 Phoenix 52 29 1 2013-14 Orlando 51 29 2 2007-08 Memphis 51 29 2 2010-11 Memphis 51 29 2 2021-22 New Orleans 51 31 0 2007-08 Boston 50 30 2 2017-18 Atlanta 50 31 1 2014-15
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I'll leave determining the effect of these higher cover rates on the ensuing playoffs up to you guys.
I will say this, it's worth the research.
It's better to know than not know.
Track your bets and why you made them.
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