sharp play on cincy ml

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  • AribaAriba
    SBR MVP
    • 04-03-09
    • 2922

    #1
    sharp play on cincy ml
    After all my analysis , 65% of.action is coming in to rams but line hasnt budged. My heart wants donald and von miller to get a ring since im a defensive fan but cant pass my knowloedge on how i read lines. So my money will go to cincy ml 170. Gl all on ur actions.
  • Bostongambler
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-01-08
    • 35581

    #2
    If you say do AirBNB
    Comment
    • d2bets
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-10-05
      • 39995

      #3
      Actually it has budged.

      Cincy +170 is def not a sharp bet, win or lose. You should be getting +190 then I'd consider calling it sharp. Maybe.
      Comment
      • AribaAriba
        SBR MVP
        • 04-03-09
        • 2922

        #4
        Originally posted by d2bets
        Actually it has budged.

        Cincy +170 is def not a sharp bet, win or lose. You should be getting +190 then I'd consider calling it sharp. Maybe.
        In my system, the last hour before kick off do not mean much(.5 move) and since its30 mins until the posted time, this fits my critieria.
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        • Bostongambler
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-01-08
          • 35581

          #5
          Your system is flawed, Airbnb
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          • Bostongambler
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-01-08
            • 35581

            #6
            Check to make sure your connections are all plugged in.
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            • lakerboy
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-02-09
              • 94379

              #7
              Originally posted by d2bets
              Actually it has budged.

              Cincy +170 is def not a sharp bet, win or lose. You should be getting +190 then I'd consider calling it sharp. Maybe.
              Agreed I have+170. What's is Sharp is having rams -190 and still losing even if you beat the closer.
              Comment
              • Ghenghis Kahn
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 19734

                #8
                Depending on where you look, more tickets on Cincy but more money on the Rams
                Comment
                • AribaAriba
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-03-09
                  • 2922

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Bostongambler
                  Check to make sure your connections are all plugged in.
                  What about we see the result and not jump onto conclusion. Gbmbrlrdgisnjsh
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                  • d2bets
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 39995

                    #10
                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                    Agreed I have+170. What's is Sharp is having rams -190 and still losing even if you beat the closer.
                    I didn't even say -190 was sharp, but Cincy +170 sure isn't.
                    Comment
                    • lakerboy
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-02-09
                      • 94379

                      #11
                      Originally posted by d2bets
                      I didn't even say -190 was sharp, but Cincy +170 sure isn't.
                      What is the live line ml Cinci?

                      See the thing is you are busy trying to beat the closer ( which I generally do). I had no interest in playing this game late. I already knew books liked Cincinnati of the get go.
                      Comment
                      • AribaAriba
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-03-09
                        • 2922

                        #12
                        Live cincy is +175 at b365, either way cincy bet has a ton of value!
                        Comment
                        • d2bets
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-10-05
                          • 39995

                          #13
                          Originally posted by lakerboy
                          What is the live line ml Cinci?

                          See the thing is you are busy trying to beat the closer ( which I generally do). I had no interest in playing this game late. I already knew books liked Cincinnati of the get go.
                          +172 is best I see. And still, +190 would be nice. +170 isn't.

                          Maybe they win, maybe they don't. I don't know and neither do you.
                          Comment
                          • lakerboy
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-02-09
                            • 94379

                            #14
                            Originally posted by d2bets
                            +172 is best I see. And still, +190 would be nice. +170 isn't.

                            Maybe they win, maybe they don't. I don't know and neither do you.
                            The point is that Cincinnati is still lower then the closing line.
                            Comment
                            • d2bets
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-10-05
                              • 39995

                              #15
                              Originally posted by lakerboy
                              The point is that Cincinnati is still lower then the closing line.
                              But if you didn't get the closing line, what does that matter?

                              And essentially, it's the same on the ML. A bit lower on the spread.
                              Comment
                              • lonegambler23
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 06-22-16
                                • 9760

                                #16
                                cinci gonna win
                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94379

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by d2bets
                                  But if you didn't get the closing line, what does that matter?

                                  And essentially, it's the same on the ML. A bit lower on the spread.
                                  I'm ahead of the closing line at HT and I'm down a fg. Keep thinking that late steam is important. You do realize how many times that late move up trickling is a sign that dog is live?
                                  Comment
                                  • AribaAriba
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-03-09
                                    • 2922

                                    #18
                                    Lets go!
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                                    • d2bets
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 08-10-05
                                      • 39995

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                      I'm ahead of the closing line at HT and I'm down a fg. Keep thinking that late steam is important. You do realize how many times that late move up trickling is a sign that dog is live?
                                      It's not significant for the SB. It is at other times.
                                      Comment
                                      • stake1
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-19-18
                                        • 18116

                                        #20
                                        Looking good! only 2-3 guys on Bengals here. Entire forum on rams
                                        Comment
                                        • d2bets
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 08-10-05
                                          • 39995

                                          #21
                                          Shoulda taken the points.
                                          Comment
                                          • Bostongambler
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-01-08
                                            • 35581

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by d2bets
                                            Shoulda taken the points.
                                            The system didn’t tell him to.
                                            Comment
                                            • AribaAriba
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-03-09
                                              • 2922

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                              The system didn’t tell him to.
                                              System always say play the pts but im a greedy moder poker coz i always think 83% of the time pt dnt matter but this time it is the other 17% where thr pointspread win. I played avg but it was a hella of a season for me. It was +ev and a success. See ya all again on the Fall!
                                              Comment
                                              • Bostongambler
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-01-08
                                                • 35581

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by AribaAriba
                                                System always say play the pts but im a greedy moder poker coz i always think 83% of the time pt dnt matter but this time it is the other 17% where thr pointspread win. I played avg but it was a hella of a season for me. It was +ev and a success. See ya all again on the Fall!
                                                Ok ok . I can respect that.
                                                Comment
                                                • stake1
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-19-18
                                                  • 18116

                                                  #25
                                                  Rams win S/U thanks to that BS holding call on third down.
                                                  no hold at all, and the zebras pounced
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ThaTopMoron
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 04-30-10
                                                    • 27020

                                                    #26
                                                    my only question was would rams cover and i bet that they would because i can't foresee OBJ injury and a free Bengals TD gifted to them that turned the entire 2h into a battle for Rams to win even tho all they GAVE UP THE ENTIRE 2H WAS A FIELD GOAL after the Bengals got a deflected pass catch and had the ball at the 31...
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