"Gut feeling"

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  • WireWire
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-02-21
    • 942

    #1
    "Gut feeling"
    I don't follow NBA as closely as other sports, I actually have not made 1 NBA bet until today, but idn I have even from the end of last NBA season felt once GSW gets Thompson back they are going to be tough to beat over a 7 game series, up until today I have not put a future on them to win it all, yes I'm aware I could have got them at a way better price before season started but I didn't, so checked the odds on them as of today and they are around (+550) most places, I have done well over the years with futures and decided from today until they drop below 4/1 in odds I'm doing 2 team parlays from $25 up to $100 with odds from 9/1 to 40/1 with GSW at +550 and just going to collect as many as possible, I hate having money tied up that long but my guts been telling me to do it for months now. Not a parlay guy myself but playoffs are still far away and I'm getting those odds I'm ok with it.

    I think Thompson will have time to get back and still have half the season left to get back into the swing of things before playoffs start, he's hungry to prove people wrong (his words) we all know Steph is an assassin and the team plays well together and only getting better. I think GSW will have to beat themselves over a 7-game series to lose, would like to have low-mid 5 figures riding on them come playoff time, would be a nice little playoff sweat.


  • Easy-Rider 66
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-12
    • 36341

    #2
    Good luck wire. risky proposition because of potential for injuries but like the fact you are taking a spin.
    Comment
    • WireWire
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-02-21
      • 942

      #3
      Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
      Good luck wire. risky proposition because of potential for injuries but like the fact you are taking a spin.
      Thanks, Easy, I agree but after seeing what they are doing with just Steph (25-5) if for some reason Klay re injured himself and couldn't play in the playoffs I'm comfortable knowing they will still be competitive without him, I'm banking on having arguably the 2 best shooters in the NBA in the same backcourt playing with chips on their shoulders. Now if Steph gets hurt, I may as well burn the money. No risk no reward.
      Comment
      • Easy-Rider 66
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-14-12
        • 36341

        #4
        Originally posted by WireWire
        Thanks, Easy, I agree but after seeing what they are doing with just Steph (25-5) if for some reason Klay re injured himself and couldn't play in the playoffs I'm comfortable knowing they will still be competitive without him, I'm banking on having arguably the 2 best shooters in the NBA in the same backcourt playing with chips on their shoulders. Now if Steph gets hurt, I may as well burn the money. No risk no reward.
        yeah agreed. if Curry goes down game over. but that's the risk you take with these kind of wagers. See what happens.
        Comment
        • WinDove
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-21-19
          • 215

          #5
          I know there is little logic in the "gut feeling" thing, but it saved my hide too many times for me to ignore mine.
          Comment
          • WireWire
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-02-21
            • 942

            #6
            Originally posted by WinDove
            I know there is little logic in the "gut feeling" thing, but it saved my hide too many times for me to ignore mine.
            And it's strong, but I don't like having big amounts of money tied up for months upon months which is why I never did it, idn man it's not only strong but it's been for months it couldn't ignore it tonight. After I put some bets in for it, I felt at ease which is a reassuring sign. Like you said I don't have a record for strong gut feeling plays but I will say I feel like I come out on the right end of them more then I don't.
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #7
              Denver very tough
              Bucks very tough

              Nets would win it all easy if Irving played, Last year too injuries killed them late in playoffs
              Comment
              • Mac4Lyfe
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-04-09
                • 48383

                #8
                Why tie up your money at this point when you could just bet them ATS each game? They are covering 2nd best in the league.

                Golden State 18-9-1 66.7% 11.6 +5.4
                Comment
                • Enikk
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-09-20
                  • 1287

                  #9
                  Besides price on G-ST, Phoenix plays very well together and cannot be overlooked again.
                  Comment
                  • Wrongside
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-26-15
                    • 3579

                    #10
                    Ya, injuries is why I have held off (that alone seems like a 50/50 proposition), but if they are healthy and Wiseman shows any growth, they will be very tough to beat.
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388179

                      #11
                      Utah Jazz
                      Comment
                      • WireWire
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-02-21
                        • 942

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        Utah Jazz
                        Not sold on Utah, awesome regular season team, fall apart playoff time.
                        Comment
                        • WireWire
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-02-21
                          • 942

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Wrongside
                          Ya, injuries is why I have held off (that alone seems like a 50/50 proposition), but if they are healthy and Wiseman shows any growth, they will be very tough to beat.
                          Injuries can come at any time though, the fact they are playing this well without Klay is why I put it in, now if Curry gets hurt bets down the drain, just like if Durant gets hurt, Booker, Mitchell those teams are done.
                          Comment
                          • gauchojake
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 09-17-10
                            • 34116

                            #14
                            Being a LAKERS fan, I usually play what I call an "emotional hedge" against the GSW.
                            Comment
                            • WireWire
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 02-02-21
                              • 942

                              #15
                              Originally posted by gauchojake
                              Being a LAKERS fan, I usually play what I call an "emotional hedge" against the GSW.
                              That sounds familiar.
                              Comment
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