Does anybody win long term betting on major mainstream markets using normal plays?

[EGrecu]

Sports are just so frustratingly unpredictable. Hell - look at the lakers/kings game. Kings just beat the lakers when they had lebron - lebron is out and you figure easy win for the kings... Lakers win by 33


it's so baffling how often sports work out in an extremely irrational/illogical way. It should be an easy thing - you should be able to look at trends, matchups, history and how teams are playing and pick winners but so many times - everything could be aligned perfectly and you still pick wrong

[KiDBaZkiT]

Stop focusing on what you last saw.

[EGrecu]

Stop focusing on what you last saw.

brah there's no tactic that really works. So many times you have a team that's a perfect matchup - IE a defensive heavy oriented team with a great pass rush against a team with a garbage offensive line and the defensive heavy team's QB gives up two pick sixs and you're ******...even though the defense does a great job


hell the panthers lost 21-18 to the eagles earlier this year in a game the panthers defense was damn near untouchable

[JacketFan81]

brah there's no tactic that really works. So many times you have a team that's a perfect matchup - IE a defensive heavy oriented team with a great pass rush against a team with a garbage offensive line and the defensive heavy team's QB gives up two pick sixs and you're ******...even though the defense does a great job


hell the panthers lost 21-18 to the eagles earlier this year in a game the panthers defense was damn near untouchable

Step 1: Don't bet the NFL. Ever.

[KiDBaZkiT]

brah there's no tactic that really works. So many times you have a team that's a perfect matchup - IE a defensive heavy oriented team with a great pass rush against a team with a garbage offensive line and the defensive heavy team's QB gives up two pick sixs and you're ******...even though the defense does a great job


hell the panthers lost 21-18 to the eagles earlier this year in a game the panthers defense was damn near untouchable

The Panthers defense was NEVER untouchable. Panthers losing to the Eagles is not a shocker. Look at both rosters and coaching staffs. Just cuz team A. Has a good defensive line and team B. Has a bad offensive line doesn’t mean a whole lot. Play calling can negate a lot of mismatches.

[EGrecu]

The Panthers defense was NEVER untouchable. Panthers losing to the Eagles is not a shocker. Look at both rosters and coaching staffs. Just cuz team A. Has a good defensive line and team B. Has a bad offensive line doesn’t mean a whole lot. Play calling can negate a lot of mismatches.

the eagles that game 270 yards of offense - avg 5.4 yards a pass. Hurts had 64 passer rating and 0 TDs to 1 pick. The panthers defense dominated that game as I expected


of course that idiot Sam Darnold gave the game to the eagles with 3 picks. How do you predict that? He was playing very clean coming in that game

[EGrecu]

Step 1: Don't bet the NFL. Ever.

the other sports are much worse


you routinely have ace pitchers who get shelled against garbage teams and get blown out
very good teams routinely get beaten in the NBA by garbage teams in inexplicable ways


the NFL is prolly the most predictable league... Tom Brady against a mediocre opponent at home is basically always a win

[stevenash]

Step 1: Don't bet the NFL. Ever.

Step 2: Find a shop that offers super reduced juice.

[Bostongambler]

In short the answer is a hard NO.

[KiDBaZkiT]

the eagles that game 270 yards of offense - avg 5.4 yards a pass. Hurts had 64 passer rating and 0 TDs to 1 pick. The panthers defense dominated that game as I expected


of course that idiot Sam Darnold gave the game to the eagles with 3 picks. How do you predict that? He was playing very clean coming in that game

Sam Darnold. There was your first mistake. Sam Darnold turning the ball over, HOW DO YOU NOT PREDICT THAT? Kid has some of the sloppiest footwork Inhave ever seen and has admittedly “seen ghosts” on the field. Say what you want about Hurts but at least he can make a play or two with his legs and isn’t nearly as turnover prone as Darnold.

[EGrecu]

Sam Darnold. There was your first mistake. Sam Darnold turning the ball over, HOW DO YOU NOT PREDICT THAT? Kid has some of the sloppiest footwork Inhave ever seen and has admittedly “seen ghosts” on the field. Say what you want about Hurts but at least he can make a play or two with his legs and isn’t nearly as turnover prone as Darnold.

Tom Brady got badly outplayed by Taylor fukking heinecke

[jjgold]

nothing works

put in your head fun only and all events random then you will never have a life of misery

[Orbison]

Does anybody win long term betting on major mainstream markets using normal plays?

no.

[lonegambler23]

nfl ruines lives

[trobin31]

If you are not autistic betting is difficult, have to be able to remove emotions

[TommieGunshot]

Sports are just so frustratingly unpredictable. Hell - look at the lakers/kings game. Kings just beat the lakers when they had lebron - lebron is out and you figure easy win for the kings... Lakers win by 33


it's so baffling how often sports work out in an extremely irrational/illogical way. It should be an easy thing - you should be able to look at trends, matchups, history and how teams are playing and pick winners but so many times - everything could be aligned perfectly and you still pick wrong

Yes and you are going in the direction of how not to do it. There is no way I could look at the trends, matchups, histories, or alignments and win. But I can win by looking at all the numbers and only betting the very best ones. A coin flip will win 50% of the time, I only have to be a little better than that. That Lakers - Kings example of something so unforeseen happens can make up 97% of my bets. Beating the number by 1 point and having that be the difference that turns a loser into a winner only has to happen one time out of 40.

[pavyracer]

I win all the time. Never had a short or long term losing streak.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

It's very tough. Hard to make sense of this stuff.

One general rule of thumb:
1) In professional sports, the margin between BEST TEAM vs WORST TEAM is NOT insurmountable. Professionals have prided, upsets can happen.

2) In amateur sports, there truly can be an insurmountable margin between Best and Worst. Best player will soon be a pro, Worst player will be working at McDonald's soon.