Why are Braves-220 to win the series?

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  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94379

    #1
    Why are Braves-220 to win the series?
    +115 today.

    I'm guessing roughly the same or more Tomorrow if it goes 7.

    ???
  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37450

    #2
    Originally posted by lakerboy
    +115 today.

    I'm guessing roughly the same or more Tomorrow if it goes 7.

    ???

    Cmon, Laker, u know this. Small Fav who has to win TWICE. -130 x2...means -220 is about right. +/- a little.

    You see this often in NHL series. If the Game 1 Home Fav is a SMALL fav...they may well be a Series Dog. Because they'd figure to be +180 in the road games.

    Corollary question: *Any extra value on HOU home in two big games? If you think they ride out the Home value, +200 is the parlay. MIGHT get better rollover on the two games, tho.
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
    Comment
    • pavyracer
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-12-07
      • 82839

      #3
      Is it a typo? They should be +100.

      Got +100 from my local this morning. Maxed out at +500.
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #4
        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
        Cmon, Laker, u know this. Small Fav who has to win TWICE. -130 x2...means -220 is about right. +/- a little.

        You see this often in NHL series. If the Game 1 Home Fav is a SMALL fav...they may well be a Series Dog. Because they'd figure to be +180 in the road games.

        Corollary question: *Any extra value on HOU home in two big games? If you think they ride out the Home value, +200 is the parlay. MIGHT get better rollover on the two games, tho.
        -130?

        They are+115 today.

        Same tomorrow.
        Comment
        • MinnesotaFats
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-18-10
          • 14758

          #5
          Dusty Baker

          Final Answer
          Comment
          • Machba
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-08-19
            • 6774

            #6
            Originally posted by lakerboy
            +115 today.

            I'm guessing roughly the same or more Tomorrow if it goes 7.

            ???
            It's not going 7!
            Comment
            • lakerboy
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-02-09
              • 94379

              #7
              Lt profit
              Please hop in
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by lakerboy
                Lt profit
                Please hop in
                Chucky got this. Braves only need to win once, Astros twice.

                So if we assume Astros -130 both nights:

                -130 = implied 56.52%

                so .5652^2 = .3194

                Round to 32% and that makes Braves 68% = -213
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94379

                  #9
                  Thank you
                  Comment
                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-04-11
                    • 37450

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    Chucky got this. Braves only need to win once, Astros twice.

                    So if we assume Astros -130 both nights:

                    -130 = implied 56.52%

                    so .5652^2 = .3194

                    Round to 32% and that makes Braves 68% = -213
                    Yes, LT. That's what I meant. It's like a Hou/Hou parlay vs Braves having two chances to win.

                    You sometimes see lines like this in a series. Think about NBA team who is down 3-2 but with TWO home games upcoming. Seems like they just have to hold serve, but they have two chances to lose.
                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                    Comment
                    • MinnesotaFats
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-18-10
                      • 14758

                      #11
                      Noone makes money betting on Dusty Baker
                      Comment
                      • pavyracer
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-12-07
                        • 82839

                        #12
                        There was value with the Astros when they were down 5-0 at +1100 live.
                        Comment
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