Last night's games I have to brag about... Insane

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  • usma1992
    SBR MVP
    • 08-02-11
    • 1441

    #1
    Last night's games I have to brag about... Insane
    My projected finals vs actuals....

    3 Games...
    Rams..
    30-17. actual 26-17
    Coastal
    53-20 actual 52-20
    Houston
    40-22 actual 40-21...

    I don't care what metric you use. I didn't just predict the games correctly. I was within 6 total points of predicting the EXACT scores of 3 games... Booyah!!!

    Btw .protected scores were posted prior to any games beginning.

    Dave

    It was my birthday yesterday. Is it birthday luck, lol.
  • Darkside Magick
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-28-10
    • 12638

    #2
    Excellent 3 game metric.... Keep a Z-Score record... If Z-Score hit 2 and/or over then you have a winning system

    Good Luck
    Comment
    • usma1992
      SBR MVP
      • 08-02-11
      • 1441

      #3
      Dark.. zscore of 2 lol... really... z score of .5 gives me a winning system... without looking it up... z score of 2 is about 93%...

      You think that is where I need to be lol...

      Your right it is a small sample size... but yowsa... is it impressive... instead of touting z score of 2...

      What is the probability that I hit all those games perfect?

      Last night was insane
      Comment
      • Darkside Magick
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-28-10
        • 12638

        #4
        Z score basically shows if the plays are random or not.. Z score of 2 is two distribution from the mean.. You really need a minimum of 2000 plays to effectively know if your system is good


        Good Luck
        Comment
        • usma1992
          SBR MVP
          • 08-02-11
          • 1441

          #5
          I know what a z score is... lol. And it doesn't need to be 2... to make money.

          Enjoy

          Your not even a little impressed... lol

          It's all good.
          Comment
          • SEAHAWKHARRY
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 11-29-07
            • 26069

            #6
            I am impressed!!
            Comment
            • Darkside Magick
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-28-10
              • 12638

              #7
              Not really.. All these Classical ​Computer System regress back to a 51%-52% range
              Comment
              • TheGoldenGoose
                SBR MVP
                • 11-27-12
                • 3745

                #8
                Nicely done sir
                Comment
                • usma1992
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-02-11
                  • 1441

                  #9
                  Comment
                  • stevenash
                    Moderator
                    • 01-17-11
                    • 65755

                    #10
                    a) Mighty fine fancy predicting there.
                    Well done.

                    b) Happy Birthday


                    As a son of a 30 year Navy military engineer I thank you for your service.
                    Comment
                    • magpie878
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-04-18
                      • 1435

                      #11
                      Very nice... I hope you backed up your insight and made some good $.
                      Comment
                      • usma1992
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-02-11
                        • 1441

                        #12
                        Dark...

                        Tough crowd... lol. Well, I'll stay my course I hit 57% last week plus some ML. So app. 60%. NCAAF.

                        Everything is documented so at least you know I'm not lieing.

                        Dave
                        Comment
                        • usma1992
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-02-11
                          • 1441

                          #13
                          I made $20 lol. Which is basically my school teacher salary... lol
                          Comment
                          • stevenash
                            Moderator
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 65755

                            #14
                            Originally posted by usma1992
                            I made $20 lol. Which is basically my school teacher salary... lol
                            Does that salary include combat pay?
                            Talk about rough jobs, I don't know how you do it?
                            Comment
                            • usma1992
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-02-11
                              • 1441

                              #15
                              We had shooting threat last week. I assume dad was a SeaBee. John Wayne movie.
                              Comment
                              • hubie69
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-16-10
                                • 7329

                                #16
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 65755

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by usma1992
                                  We had shooting threat last week. I assume dad was a SeaBee. John Wayne movie.
                                  Dad was chief engineer at the Military Ocean Terminal Base (MOTB) in NJ.
                                  Comment
                                  • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 11-29-07
                                    • 26069

                                    #18
                                    I spent 6 years US Navy. Submarines
                                    USS KAMEHAMEHA SSBN 642
                                    USS FRANCIS SCOTT KEY SSBN 657
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      This stuff is all fun but as soon as you start betting serious money things don’t work out
                                      Comment
                                      • hubie69
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-16-10
                                        • 7329

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        This stuff is all fun but as soon as you start betting serious money things don’t work out
                                        Settle down baldy.
                                        Comment
                                        • usma1992
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-02-11
                                          • 1441

                                          #21
                                          I've been there. But the whole point of my program is to detach urself from your money.

                                          Like a personal trainer or financial advisor.

                                          Let's see how it does through the weekend. I am by no means claiming victory.

                                          But still... those score predictions are insane.
                                          Comment
                                          • usma1992
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-02-11
                                            • 1441

                                            #22
                                            Stanford Game ...

                                            Projected
                                            12-29
                                            Actual
                                            10-28

                                            6-1
                                            Comment
                                            • BeatTheJerk
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-19-07
                                              • 31794

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by usma1992
                                              Stanford Game ...

                                              Projected
                                              12-29
                                              Actual
                                              10-28

                                              6-1
                                              Incredible start to the model this week. Let’s keep it going pal
                                              Comment
                                              • KnuckleHeadz
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-11-19
                                                • 8194

                                                #24
                                                Looking for to seeing Saturday’s projections talked about Sunday
                                                Comment
                                                • usma1992
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-02-11
                                                  • 1441

                                                  #25
                                                  Here is what I find remarkable.

                                                  Stanford averages 29.0 pts
                                                  Arizona St averages 34.4 points

                                                  My system projected a 12-29 game

                                                  The actual was 10-28.

                                                  Way lower than their averages.

                                                  Dave

                                                  Knuckle--- the projected scores already happened. The games have been played.
                                                  So far
                                                  6-1

                                                  I'm just having fun... but yowsa am I close.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 11-29-07
                                                    • 26069

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz
                                                    Looking for to seeing Saturday’s projections talked about Sunday
                                                    Dude he has a app it's real..its pretty good
                                                    Comment
                                                    • chico2663
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 09-02-10
                                                      • 36915

                                                      #27
                                                      Join the pick 6 contest. Gl
                                                      Comment
                                                      • chico2663
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 09-02-10
                                                        • 36915

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                        Dude he has a app it's real..its pretty good
                                                        You know this how? If you are his friend is he in the pick 6 contest? Not giving you shit but just wondering.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 11-29-07
                                                          • 26069

                                                          #29
                                                          He posted the link in his original post..I paid attention and down loaded it
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Lineman
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-21-09
                                                            • 2598

                                                            #30
                                                            Great stuff!!!

                                                            Is anyone else having issues seeing it right?








                                                            That's what I see and can't move or zoom out or anything else......
                                                            Comment
                                                            • chico2663
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 09-02-10
                                                              • 36915

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                              He posted the link in his original post..I paid attention and down loaded it
                                                              Ok sorry
                                                              Comment
                                                              • usma1992
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-02-11
                                                                • 1441

                                                                #32
                                                                Change your screen setting... font size... happened to buddy of mine.

                                                                How did u post pict.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Lineman
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-21-09
                                                                  • 2598

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Thank you usma keep up the good work!
                                                                  Here is the link for post pict.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Lineman
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-21-09
                                                                    • 2598

                                                                    #34
                                                                    usma maybe you've found the sweet spot, just 4 or 5 games of data.....
                                                                    Something to keep an eye on!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • svsooner
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-19-14
                                                                      • 707

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                                      I spent 6 years US Navy. Submarines
                                                                      USS KAMEHAMEHA SSBN 642
                                                                      USS FRANCIS SCOTT KEY SSBN 657
                                                                      A Bubblehead! I was an Avionics Tech in the Navy before I got my commission in the Air Force...
                                                                      Thanks for your service brother.
                                                                      Comment
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