Cards +190 tonight

[Booya711]

Dodgers here

[vitterd]

Dodgers here

Heavy juice but thinkin Dodgers get the W

[stevenash]

Line was set too high. It seems like the cards are screwed. I’ll probably take cards small but pretty sure it’s a losing bet

Ridiculous line.
It's at -240 at some shops.
-190 would be more realistic.

Having said that I spent a hour looking at this game from every angle looking for a reason to fade LA.
This is what I came up with







It is a one game playin and something funky could happen (remember Bucky Dent) but if you're betting on a fluke to happen you need to find a new hobby.

This is the best case scenario as to how the Cards can win tonight.

Wain-O is a junk baller.
He's good at that off speed stuff that keeps hitters off balance and for him to succeed tonight he better be on for six consecutive innings.
And if he does that somebody like Goldy is going to have to get a hold of one and crank out a three run bomb.

I don't see that happening. Dodgers will hang crooked numbers on him at least two innings.

Fact of the matter remains Wainwright is probably the worst rotation pitcher left in the playoffs (think about it)
Brewers and Dodgers both have three better starters, White Sox two, Red Sox two (sale and Eovaldi)....
And for those who look at BvP numbers (I do) this current Dodger dugout has demostartated in the past they all smack Wainwright hard, where as the only one on the Cards roster that has hurt Max is Edmond, I love Edmond, I love super utility players like him but let's face facts, he's a Punch and Judy hitter.


Take a look at this chart.
(I left off Muncy, he's hurt)
Who in the past has Wainwright fooled?

Look closer at the walks and strike out totals.
I don't want to hear 'sample size' it's all I have to go on here, but those K and BB numbers scream Wainwright's pitches doesn't miss LA's bats, and LA bats put his pitches in play.

BATTER	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	ISO
Mookie Betts	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.5	0.5	0.5	1	0.45	0
Trea Turner	19	8	2	0	0	3	3	0	2	0.421	0.421	0.526	0.947	0.416	0.105
Justin Turner	9	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.556	0.889	0.378	0.222
AJ Pollock	8	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0.375	0.375	0.5	0.875	0.381	0.125
Corey Seager	7	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.286	0.286	0.429	0.714	0.307	0.143
Cody Bellinger	8	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.125	0.125	0.25	0.375	0.156	0.125
Will Smith	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Active totals for	58	19	7	0	0	4	8	0	7	0.328	0.328	0.448	0.776	0.336	0.121
Los Angeles Dodgers:

Here's an angle that is interesting.
Will Smith is a terrible defensive catcher when it comes to throwing out would be base stealers, and St. Louis has several jack rabbits im there.
(That was a big part of Ned Yost's 2015 team that won it all)
Still that was a different team that 2015 KC team, they had a monster bullpen too.

I dislike LA, never liked them, but I can't fade them in this one game.
And I can't lay -230 or more either because I just don't lay more than 2:1.

7.5 total?
Should go under, unless there's a fluke two run garbage time ninth inning.

Pass on the side, pass on the total.

I might make a small 0.5* (50 dollar) two team money line parlay with LA and another game later this week.
This way even if LAD does lose I'm out only 50 and not 120 (at -240 odds)
I might do that. maybe.

Run line.
I don't bet run lines on home teams, I don't get the ninth inning at bat, and if I do get the ninth inning at bat 99 times out 100 I'm already screwed.

[jjgold]

Small play Cards +200

[Luv2Play2]



ILL agree .. lad cant be ignored.. cards hitting has increased ovr 20 pts on average 2nd 1/2 of season. you cant hide that. its 1 game. i get 2:1 on my $$ on a card tm playing very well. #1 in "D"




"

[Zlaniner]

Lets go cards !!!

[Thor4140]

Hes pitched great 14 of the last 16 games

That is great if he went 0-2 his first two than rolled off 14 straight but that isnt the case it is completely opposite. that is what the fellow is trying to explain to you

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Lets go cards !!!

How was that Niner Game Zlaniner????

[Mike Huntertz]

Ridiculous line.
It's at -240 at some shops.
-190 would be more realistic.

Having said that I spent a hour looking at this game from every angle looking for a reason to fade LA.
This is what I came up with







It is a one game playin and something funky could happen (remember Bucky Dent) but if you're betting on a fluke to happen you need to find a new hobby.

This is the best case scenario as to how the Cards can win tonight.

Wain-O is a junk baller.
He's good at that off speed stuff that keeps hitters off balance and for him to succeed tonight he better be on for six consecutive innings.
And if he does that somebody like Goldy is going to have to get a hold of one and crank out a three run bomb.

I don't see that happening. Dodgers will hang crooked numbers on him at least two innings.

Fact of the matter remains Wainwright is probably the worst rotation pitcher left in the playoffs (think about it)
Brewers and Dodgers both have three better starters, White Sox two, Red Sox two (sale and Eovaldi)....
And for those who look at BvP numbers (I do) this current Dodger dugout has demostartated in the past they all smack Wainwright hard, where as the only one on the Cards roster that has hurt Max is Edmond, I love Edmond, I love super utility players like him but let's face facts, he's a Punch and Judy hitter.


Take a look at this chart.
(I left off Muncy, he's hurt)
Who in the past has Wainwright fooled?

Look closer at the walks and strike out totals.
I don't want to hear 'sample size' it's all I have to go on here, but those K and BB numbers scream Wainwright's pitches doesn't miss LA's bats, and LA bats put his pitches in play.

BATTER	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	ISO
Mookie Betts	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.5	0.5	0.5	1	0.45	0
Trea Turner	19	8	2	0	0	3	3	0	2	0.421	0.421	0.526	0.947	0.416	0.105
Justin Turner	9	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.556	0.889	0.378	0.222
AJ Pollock	8	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0.375	0.375	0.5	0.875	0.381	0.125
Corey Seager	7	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.286	0.286	0.429	0.714	0.307	0.143
Cody Bellinger	8	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.125	0.125	0.25	0.375	0.156	0.125
Will Smith	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Active totals for	58	19	7	0	0	4	8	0	7	0.328	0.328	0.448	0.776	0.336	0.121
Los Angeles Dodgers:

Here's an angle that is interesting.
Will Smith is a terrible defensive catcher when it comes to throwing out would be base stealers, and St. Louis has several jack rabbits im there.
(That was a big part of Ned Yost's 2015 team that won it all)
Still that was a different team that 2015 KC team, they had a monster bullpen too.

I dislike LA, never liked them, but I can't fade them in this one game.
And I can't lay -230 or more either because I just don't lay more than 2:1.

7.5 total?
Should go under, unless there's a fluke two run garbage time ninth inning.

Pass on the side, pass on the total.

I might make a small 0.5* (50 dollar) two team money line parlay with LA and another game later this week.
This way even if LAD does lose I'm out only 50 and not 120 (at -240 odds)
I might do that. maybe.

Run line.
I don't bet run lines on home teams, I don't get the ninth inning at bat, and if I do get the ninth inning at bat 99 times out 100 I'm already screwed.

Great write buy no pick!
Dang.

[thomorino]

That is great if he went 0-2 his first two than rolled off 14 straight but that isnt the case it is completely opposite. that is what the fellow is trying to explain to you

Hes the best pitcher in baseball, 2 bad starts doesn't mean shit.

[mjsuax13]

Ridiculous line.
It's at -240 at some shops.
-190 would be more realistic.

Having said that I spent a hour looking at this game from every angle looking for a reason to fade LA.
This is what I came up with







It is a one game playin and something funky could happen (remember Bucky Dent) but if you're betting on a fluke to happen you need to find a new hobby.

This is the best case scenario as to how the Cards can win tonight.

Wain-O is a junk baller.
He's good at that off speed stuff that keeps hitters off balance and for him to succeed tonight he better be on for six consecutive innings.
And if he does that somebody like Goldy is going to have to get a hold of one and crank out a three run bomb.

I don't see that happening. Dodgers will hang crooked numbers on him at least two innings.

Fact of the matter remains Wainwright is probably the worst rotation pitcher left in the playoffs (think about it)
Brewers and Dodgers both have three better starters, White Sox two, Red Sox two (sale and Eovaldi)....
And for those who look at BvP numbers (I do) this current Dodger dugout has demostartated in the past they all smack Wainwright hard, where as the only one on the Cards roster that has hurt Max is Edmond, I love Edmond, I love super utility players like him but let's face facts, he's a Punch and Judy hitter.


Take a look at this chart.
(I left off Muncy, he's hurt)
Who in the past has Wainwright fooled?

Look closer at the walks and strike out totals.
I don't want to hear 'sample size' it's all I have to go on here, but those K and BB numbers scream Wainwright's pitches doesn't miss LA's bats, and LA bats put his pitches in play.

BATTER	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	ISO
Mookie Betts	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.5	0.5	0.5	1	0.45	0
Trea Turner	19	8	2	0	0	3	3	0	2	0.421	0.421	0.526	0.947	0.416	0.105
Justin Turner	9	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.556	0.889	0.378	0.222
AJ Pollock	8	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0.375	0.375	0.5	0.875	0.381	0.125
Corey Seager	7	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.286	0.286	0.429	0.714	0.307	0.143
Cody Bellinger	8	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.125	0.125	0.25	0.375	0.156	0.125
Will Smith	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Active totals for	58	19	7	0	0	4	8	0	7	0.328	0.328	0.448	0.776	0.336	0.121
Los Angeles Dodgers:

Here's an angle that is interesting.
Will Smith is a terrible defensive catcher when it comes to throwing out would be base stealers, and St. Louis has several jack rabbits im there.
(That was a big part of Ned Yost's 2015 team that won it all)
Still that was a different team that 2015 KC team, they had a monster bullpen too.

I dislike LA, never liked them, but I can't fade them in this one game.
And I can't lay -230 or more either because I just don't lay more than 2:1.

7.5 total?
Should go under, unless there's a fluke two run garbage time ninth inning.

Pass on the side, pass on the total.

I might make a small 0.5* (50 dollar) two team money line parlay with LA and another game later this week.
This way even if LAD does lose I'm out only 50 and not 120 (at -240 odds)
I might do that. maybe.

Run line.
I don't bet run lines on home teams, I don't get the ninth inning at bat, and if I do get the ninth inning at bat 99 times out 100 I'm already screwed.

Nice work.

[stevenash]

Nice work.

Appreciate that.

[gshock1]

Nasher as good as it gets!

[Thor4140]

Hes the best pitcher in baseball, 2 bad starts doesn't mean shit.

Fighters usually say that too when they roll of 14 out of sixteen but got knocked out their last two.

[stevenash]

Nasher as good as it gets!

Let's not carried away here.





Max since joining LA

Rk	Date	Tm		Opp	Rslt	Inngs	Dec	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	HBP	ERA	FIP
		Player went from Washington Nationals to Los Angeles Dodgers
1	Aug 4	LAD		HOU	W,7-5	GS-7	W(9-4)	7	5	2	2	1	10	1	0	2.75	3.54
2	Aug 10	LAD	@	PHI	W,5-0	GS-4		3.1	3	0	0	0	6	0	0	2.67	3.43
3	Aug 15	LAD	@	NYM	W,14-4	GS-6	W(10-4)	6	4	2	2	2	7	0	0	2.69	3.36
4	Aug 21	LAD		NYM	W,4-3	GS-5	W(11-4)	5	5	1	1	1	8	1	1	2.65	3.37
5	Aug 26	LAD	@	SDP	W,4-0	GS-8	W(12-4)	7.2	2	0	0	1	10	0	1	2.51	3.26
6	Sep 1	LAD		ATL	W,4-3	GS-6		6	3	0	0	0	9	0	0	2.4	3.14
7	Sep 6	LAD	@	STL	W,5-1	GS-8	W(13-4)	8	6	1	0	0	13	0	0	2.28	2.97
8	Sep 12	LAD		SDP	W,8-0	GS-8	W(14-4)	8	1	0	0	0	9	0	0	2.17	2.87
9	Sep 18	LAD	@	CIN	W,5-1	GS-7	W(15-4)	7	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	2.08	2.83
10	Sep 23	LAD	@	COL	W,7-5	GS-5		5	6	5	5	1	6	1	0	2.28	2.87
11	Sep 29	LAD		SDP	W,11-9			5.1	11	6	5	0	4	2	0	2.46	2.97

[gshock1]

Let's not carried away here.





Max since joining LA

Rk	Date	Tm		Opp	Rslt	Inngs	Dec	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	HBP	ERA	FIP
		Player went from Washington Nationals to Los Angeles Dodgers
1	Aug 4	LAD		HOU	W,7-5	GS-7	W(9-4)	7	5	2	2	1	10	1	0	2.75	3.54
2	Aug 10	LAD	@	PHI	W,5-0	GS-4		3.1	3	0	0	0	6	0	0	2.67	3.43
3	Aug 15	LAD	@	NYM	W,14-4	GS-6	W(10-4)	6	4	2	2	2	7	0	0	2.69	3.36
4	Aug 21	LAD		NYM	W,4-3	GS-5	W(11-4)	5	5	1	1	1	8	1	1	2.65	3.37
5	Aug 26	LAD	@	SDP	W,4-0	GS-8	W(12-4)	7.2	2	0	0	1	10	0	1	2.51	3.26
6	Sep 1	LAD		ATL	W,4-3	GS-6		6	3	0	0	0	9	0	0	2.4	3.14
7	Sep 6	LAD	@	STL	W,5-1	GS-8	W(13-4)	8	6	1	0	0	13	0	0	2.28	2.97
8	Sep 12	LAD		SDP	W,8-0	GS-8	W(14-4)	8	1	0	0	0	9	0	0	2.17	2.87
9	Sep 18	LAD	@	CIN	W,5-1	GS-7	W(15-4)	7	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	2.08	2.83
10	Sep 23	LAD	@	COL	W,7-5	GS-5		5	6	5	5	1	6	1	0	2.28	2.87
11	Sep 29	LAD		SDP	W,11-9			5.1	11	6	5	0	4	2	0	2.46	2.97

It's difficult to fathom the cards got in.

[masr]

LA Dodgers-RL

[JIBBBY]

Not gonna happen Johnny.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Moment of truth now Johnny V. Good luck let's see what goes down tonight in LA

[ChuckyTheGoat]

John, who u betting on Thur/Sat/Sun?

[Thrilla]

On it

[Thrilla]

On your bike Johnny off you go

[stevenash]

Johnny.
Weeder has supplanted you now as our elite handicapper.
Looks like your magic carpet ride has ended bud.
You did have a nice run there for awhile.
Remember now, you still have a supporter in your pal Nasher over here.

[thomorino]

Fighters usually say that too when they roll of 14 out of sixteen but got knocked out their last two.

Scherzer was fine

[Thor4140]

Scherzer was fine

So fine they yanked him after four. The guy was struggling all game. Good thing he was pitching against a team who cant hit for shit