This is why you never throw a -10,000 in a parlay.

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  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #36
    Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
    Dudes so broke he's begging for funding. If I was sharp enough to make some money off him today I would’ve chipped in.
    Lol wow.I
    Would say ask his brother for a loan as he had a good run there after winning all those challys a few years back but now no more automatic first round money from majors for Hugo with that outside top 100
    Ranking so maybe hes low on dough too
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #37
      Clara Tauson has had the best year anyone 20 and under

      Nobody else even close
      Comment
      • beefcake
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-26-09
        • 14029

        #38
        Originally posted by jjgold
        Clara Tauson has had the best year anyone 20 and under

        Nobody else even close
        Good post gold you are correct!
        Comment
        • Doug tushyterror
          SBR MVP
          • 07-03-12
          • 4172

          #39
          Originally posted by beefcake
          Lol wow.I
          Would say ask his brother for a loan as he had a good run there after winning all those challys a few years back but now no more automatic first round money from majors for Hugo with that outside top 100
          Ranking so maybe hes low on dough too
          Hugo's still on cloud 9 for winning 4 games off Novak in Tokyo.
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #40
            Comment
            • pavyracer
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-12-07
              • 82839

              #41
              These guys fix these +1600 MLs. If they bet $1000 on these it's a years worth of travel expenses they don't have to pay from their own pockets.
              Comment
              • juicername
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-14-15
                • 6906

                #42
                Originally posted by KVB
                The thinking should still be consistent no matter the price but yeah we are getting into prices that just aren't very practical for this type of stuff.

                The mistake many make is to arbitrarily pick a price cut off, which will likely cut off opportunity. I know it works for a lot of bettors, for example, to say "never buy a mlb line over -150" or something, but in the end that means leaving +EV on the table.

                Even up to -10000 the thinking should be the same, there isn't anything there to change the thinking, but there is definitely less to support it, like you are saying.
                That is of course assuming the bettor can accurately determine their edge. Most can not, and certainly not to fhe degree needed to make a bet 99% to win.

                When they think they have found such an edge, in reality it's probably more like 80% at best.

                And I'm not necessarily talking about Doughie here, he seems to know to his tennis.
                Comment
                • pavyracer
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-12-07
                  • 82839

                  #43
                  Good advice
                  Comment
                  • DrunkHorseplayer
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-15-10
                    • 7719

                    #44
                    I don't think you can say any tennis player is 99% to beat another when you're talking about the elite level of the game.
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