On semi-tilt (all in 2300/1022..Nacho Elvira -225 (6 shot lead) Y or N?

Doug tushyterror

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#1

On semi-tilt (all in 2300/1022..Nacho Elvira -225 (6 shot lead) Y or N?

07-25-21, 01:34 AM

Still pissed about losing 1K on Barty. The guy is ranked #694 but -225 is an amazing price with a 6 shot leading heading into Sun. 4 guys at -10 are 6 shots back. Better players than him have blown the exact same lead but this has to be at least a 95% chance of hitting. Thoughts?
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WireWire

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Join Date: 02-02-21

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#2

07-25-21, 01:40 AM

6 shot lead and it's only -225 is a huge red flag.
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Doug tushyterror

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#3

07-25-21, 01:51 AM

Originally posted by WireWire

6 shot lead and it's only -225 is a huge red flag.

Definitely a red flag but it makes sense, the guy's been brutal missing 5 of the last 6 cuts. Don't know what he was pre-tourney but I gotta imagine at least 500-1.
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slayer14

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#4

07-25-21, 02:26 AM

There is no red flag do it if you believe in him
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TheMetsSuck

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#5

07-25-21, 02:28 AM

Don’t

All in on Bate / Revolution
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jjgold

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#6

07-25-21, 05:46 AM

good luck
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Doug tushyterror

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Join Date: 07-03-12

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#7

07-25-21, 06:05 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

good luck

Wound up not doing it.
EDIT. Nacho Elvira (mistress of the choke) has just potentially blown a 6 shot lead heading into Sunday going into a playoff with Justin Harding.
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jjgold

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#8

07-25-21, 02:28 PM

Close call but winner!
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