$200 on Madison Keys +1800 to win Wimbledon

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  • Goat Milk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-24-10
    • 25850

    #1
    $200 on Madison Keys +1800 to win Wimbledon
    WTA is a crapshoot, everyone sucks equally. Pretty pitiful that no one has taken over women's tennis since Serena's decline, besides Osaka.

    Keys has the game to win on grass. She has made the semis in every major in her career except Wimbledon, and with Serena and Osaka now out of the tournament, I think this could be Keys's chance to capture a grand slam. She has the firepower, more so than most women on tour.

    These odds simply do not make sense.

    If I lose, so be it. 200 to win 3600.

    I want to start transitioning away from gambling everyday, and start betting futures. I don't enjoy gambling everyday as much as I used to, it's too time consuming doing all the research, following the games, etc.
    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
  • thomorino
    Restricted User
    • 06-01-17
    • 45842

    #2
    Madison Keys never wins anything, she has good power but never enough control
    Comment
    • Goat Milk
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-24-10
      • 25850

      #3
      Originally posted by thomorino
      Madison Keys never wins anything, she has good power but never enough control
      Most people who win WTA majors never win anything either, prior to winning. That's the point. The WTA is one of the worst professional tours/circuits in the world. There is no dominant player, no player that you fear, outside of a healthy, in-shape Serena. Look at how many women have captured majors over the past 5 years... People you've never even heard of. Keys has been a consistent majors player for a good 5 years. Grass is the best surface for a power player like her.

      Anyway we shall see. Odds are +1800, and I feel they should be +900. So I take things based on value, not necessarily what I truly believe is going to happen.
      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
      Comment
      • thomorino
        Restricted User
        • 06-01-17
        • 45842

        #4
        Originally posted by Goat Milk
        Most people who win WTA majors never win anything either, prior to winning. That's the point. The WTA is one of the worst professional tours/circuits in the world. There is no dominant player, no player that you fear, outside of a healthy, in-shape Serena. Look at how many women have captured majors over the past 5 years... People you've never even heard of. Keys has been a consistent majors player for a good 5 years. Grass is the best surface for a power player like her.

        Anyway we shall see. Odds are +1800, and I feel they should be +900. So I take things based on value, not necessarily what I truly believe is going to happen.
        She’s had more success on hard Court than other surfaces, she just never breaks through at majors, she can’t play defense. She is talented, just not mentally tough enough.
        Comment
        • degennn
          SBR MVP
          • 11-26-18
          • 1687

          #5
          Rybakina
          Comment
          • MinnesotaFats
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-18-10
            • 14758

            #6
            Moreno right here

            This is a waste of $$$

            Grass is Euro centric

            Find a dog from former soviet states
            Comment
            • thomorino
              Restricted User
              • 06-01-17
              • 45842

              #7
              I agree with goat the field is wide open, Sablenka has been the most impressive to me.
              Comment
              • MiDNiTe
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-11-13
                • 7684

                #8
                Yup any of the girls can win it, unlike the men's where you have to be super mentally tough to win one while the girls have plenty of 1 hit wonders and you can get 2 chokers in a final like mugs Vs kenin, kenin played 5 excellent points 0-40 in the last set but was crying during the match and throwing bad DFS while mugs has just turned into a mentally weak coward
                Comment
                • Doug tushyterror
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-03-12
                  • 4172

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Goat Milk
                  WTA is a crapshoot, everyone sucks equally. Pretty pitiful that no one has taken over women's tennis since Serena's decline, besides Osaka.

                  Keys has the game to win on grass. She has made the semis in every major in her career except Wimbledon, and with Serena and Osaka now out of the tournament, I think this could be Keys's chance to capture a grand slam. She has the firepower, more so than most women on tour.

                  These odds simply do not make sense.

                  If I lose, so be it. 200 to win 3600.

                  I want to start transitioning away from gambling everyday, and start betting futures. I don't enjoy gambling everyday as much as I used to, it's too time consuming doing all the research, following the games, etc.
                  Keys is w/o question the best value play on the board. Even though Barty is a bigger fav. in her next match, I think Keys is the most likely to advance based on her opponent. Keys would then be right around a pk against Pliskova/Samsonova & she just beat Sabalenka who she might get in the SFs. Then you gotta like your position with a +1800 in the Finals to hedge or let it ride.
                  Comment
                  • Unrivaled
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-24-11
                    • 6685

                    #10
                    Well after reading this thread, Based on how bad his picks are Sabalenka is done.

                    I would think fat Barty should win or at least be the favorite
                    Comment
                    • SamsNCharge99
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-22-08
                      • 41242

                      #11
                      Ill take kerber before keys
                      Comment
                      • stepaside777
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-16-17
                        • 1447

                        #12
                        dropped 50 and added federer to parlay
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388179

                          #13
                          Goater to be respected she is playing well
                          Comment
                          • MiDNiTe
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-11-13
                            • 7684

                            #14
                            Out of the big dogs like muchova, don't think kerber is playing well enough but respect that she is a crazy fighter who has multiple slams
                            Comment
                            • stevek173
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 03-29-08
                              • 27598

                              #15
                              Originally posted by jjgold
                              Goater to be respected she is playing well
                              Anyone disrespecting Goater has a VERY personal problem with me. He's probably our top underdog hitter!
                              Comment
                              • wombat
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-23-20
                                • 1022

                                #16
                                You are wasting money because Keys is definitely not winning Wimbledon. Noobs that like Keys are enamored by her power but she is a very poor returner and can't play defense. For every winner she hits, she will make five unforced errors on very simple routine shots.
                                Comment
                                • slayer14
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-12-13
                                  • 22022

                                  #17
                                  She can paint the lines when in form
                                  Comment
                                  • wombat
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-23-20
                                    • 1022

                                    #18
                                    Told you man, save your money. She got stomped in straight sets by Golubic 😂 . As I expected, so many unforced errors. Keys will never win a slam, she's an errors machine. People only see her power and serve but it takes so much more to win matches than that.
                                    Comment
                                    • SamsNCharge99
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-22-08
                                      • 41242

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                                      Ill take kerber before keys
                                      Comment
                                      • wombat
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-23-20
                                        • 1022

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                                        Yep, Kerber is a much better choice because she's one of the best returners in the game and plays awesome defense. It doesn't matter how many aces you hit if you can't stop other people's aces lol.
                                        Comment
                                        • thomorino
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 06-01-17
                                          • 45842

                                          #21
                                          Keys is such a disappointment, after a number of year she still hasn’t learned how to control anything consistently
                                          Comment
                                          • ARCHIVADO98
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-27-20
                                            • 894

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by thomorino
                                            Keys is such a disappointment, after a number of year she still hasn’t learned how to control anything consistently
                                            Did you hedge at all?
                                            Comment
                                            • MiDNiTe
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-11-13
                                              • 7684

                                              #23
                                              Is Davenport still keys coach? Might need a change soon, BBB is the only thing keys does
                                              Comment
                                              • jtoler
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 12-17-13
                                                • 30967

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by thomorino
                                                She’s had more success on hard Court than other surfaces, she just never breaks through at majors, she can’t play defense. She is talented, just not mentally tough enough.
                                                wut is breaking through to u winning it all? she’s made it to aussie semis, french semis, wimby quarters, and us open final that’s way more than a couple top 5 ranked chicks
                                                Comment
                                                • Igor_1965
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-18-15
                                                  • 2632

                                                  #25
                                                  Let's go Barty

                                                  Comment
                                                  • KiDBaZkiT
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-20-09
                                                    • 14962

                                                    #26
                                                    Was worth a shot at that price. She is one goofy looking broad though. Her last name is Keys cause her teeth are piano keys. She looks like a character from this cartoon I watched when I was a little kid, The Wild Thornberrys.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • thomorino
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 06-01-17
                                                      • 45842

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by jtoler
                                                      wut is breaking through to u winning it all? she’s made it to aussie semis, french semis, wimby quarters, and us open final that’s way more than a couple top 5 ranked chicks
                                                      She has consistently disappointed for a top player, she has the talent to be a top 5 player and she very rarely gets past the quarterfinals at majors.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Doug tushyterror
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-03-12
                                                        • 4172

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
                                                        Was worth a shot at that price. She is one goofy looking broad though. Her last name is Keys cause her teeth are piano keys. She looks like a character from this cartoon I watched when I was a little kid, The Wild Thornberrys.
                                                        Uncanny resemblance KB.
                                                        Comment
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