Tuesday Plays?? Is There A Sure Thing Today??

[jjgold]

I do not think so other than Bucks -250??

[BIGDAY]

[flyingillini]

Good luck. I’m practicing playing battleship and scrabble. Preparing for game night.

[jjgold]

Illini are you a big bettor?

[mjsuax13]

For sure there is a sure thing, Morino will have a play here shortly and you just FADE AND GET PAID™️

[flyingillini]

Illini are you a big bettor?

No. Small player. I’m into long term investments. Betting sports it’s just a hobby. I’m focused on sharpening up my battleship play for game night.

[hawkwind]

JJ you've been Gambling how Long? I know you recently quit but in GAMBLING there is NO SUCH THING good thing you quit you'd lose everything

[Vyasports]

JJ you've been Gambling how Long? I know you recently quit but in GAMBLING there is NO SUCH THING good thing you quit you'd lose everything

JJ quit betting?

[stevek173]

Bucks -7 -110

They'll win by 14

[KVB]

I do not think so other than Bucks -250??

Gold, let's open a parlay.

Let's get open parlays in the SBR Book, that could get fun.

Are they scurred?

[KVB]

Here's my KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Radar report so far today...

PIT loses in the Forecast but when we start talking about +160 out here we start getting contrarian adjustments. We have conflicting info here too, but it is on the radar so I'm putting it here.

LAD are actually a contrarian look based on some of the more unconventional metrics I have but it's slightly on the radar as of now because of that line, which isn't budging. Likely a pass here of course and as the forecast has SF winning with a little insurance.

LAA have the game won outright in the forecast and contarian adjustments abound. This is another good looking Angels play and note the price...I'll leave it at that, that's more for FlyMe rydahs

SEA is beat by Toronto in most forecasts and the stacking as well. The line of beter than +200 however, refelcts just the pressure Tor is UNDER. It pushes towards value and gives a contrarian look, but that's about it for now.

DET also trailing in the forecasts, which but that line is high, expressing value to some bettors. I think the books don't want the position they have but he market is hungry. It's on the radar.

KC is another very good look here. I have this game forecast a tie and we are looking at heavy pressure in the market and a generous line to boot. KC a very good play, contrarian or not.

MIN falls in line with almost all the losing forecasts...close to the percentages equating to about 1.5 points loss in each of the respective games. This time we can point to a line that is too low and not moving under the pressure, the more conventional contrarian look we are used to seeing.

BALTY and the big line again, with the public absolutely sure Houston will bounce back. What a burial it would be, defying the blowout forecast and everything, should Balty win again. They are on the radar because of the contrarian situation in the market, the adjustments are extreme. Balty was in the broader Fund yestarday.

TEX line is actually looking about right when compared to the forecasts but there are adjustments from the market. Further, Texas is a good "spot" play for a number of different types of "spot" betting techniques that should be successful in the market environment. Texas might be the diamond in the very crowded rough here.

WAS is a sneaky one here. The public likes TB but WASH is appropriately favored here as I and many levels of forecasting have Washington winning the game outright. It's Washington, fellas.

As you can see a lot of action lighting up the board. The market has tossed bettors all around the last few weeks and there's no real sign that will be letting up.

With the Contrarian Fund Backbone just leveling off of a run and the broader Fund on the bigger payout, this increase in radar activity could mean a minefield. Let's see how the market develops now that the US financial markets are peeling off for the day.

This is also developing into a good trading market for Totals as well. The UNDERs have kicked back in to play in meaningful way this last month and there will be market overreaction to the pitching policies that will further that run.

Sorry for the long post, but if you're into this, you'll probably appreciate the post.

[jjgold]

You’re making too much out of it all you have to do is point and click and your percentages will be the same do you realize you can flip a coin and come up with charts

[stevek173]

[Darkside Magick]

Kansas City Royals -1.5 +276 vs Boston Red Sox

[Texasmoney53]

Hawks are: Hawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games >>> + 6.5 points might be worth a look tonight

[KVB]

You’re making too much out of it all you have to do is point and click and your percentages will be the same do you realize you can flip a coin and come up with charts

That's a solid radar report Gold given the forecasts we're working with and the adjustments we make. It's part of the process but it's always a fluid situation, I offer SBR a snapshot and a point for further discussion if anyone is serious. You've never been in the office of real analysts and bettors Gold, I'm giving you that glimpse.

Also, the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Backbone is in action with the Mets, Minny, and Was.

Both Minny and Washington were mentioned above and the Mets are a near tie in the forecasts but the ATL action pushed us into the contrarian trigger anywhere over about +140...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up..

905	29-Jun	NYM +150
923		MIN +118
930		WAS -105

BackBone plays.

<iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/BothNippyFirefly' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='1182'></iframe>

[Texasmoney53]

KVB last post = BEST ONE OF THE DAY
But hey--- If you don't like Hawks ATS LOOK AT UNDER 6-1 wins last 7 plays with them...might be the best play of the night and for unit cost too

[KVB]

Kansas City Royals -1.5 +276 vs Boston Red Sox

Get it darkside.

Thanks for sharing these alternative line looks.

[KVB]

Hawks are: Hawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games >>> + 6.5 points might be worth a look tonight

ATL tough at home for sure.

They even have a bit of a contrarian look too. Pressure on the Bucks and for sure.

My range of forecasts have MIL winning by anywhere from 6 points to the stacking percentages forecast of a 9 point victory.

The non predictive public gauge I make has Milwaukee winning 115-112, only 3 points.

Forecasts only go so far in the playoffs, lol, but we can see why there is pressure in the market, even though MIL is on the road.

That 7 point line represents a limit here, I would be conisdering ATL +7 if it comes around in this last hour and half of trading.

[KVB]

KVB last post = BEST ONE OF THE DAY
But hey--- If you don't like Hawks ATS LOOK AT UNDER 6-1 wins last 7 plays with them...might be the best play of the night and for unit cost too

Atlanta or pass for me here and I have been loving the NBA playoff UNDERS recently, but tonight it's just too tight on the TOTAL and I'm passing there.

I will be watching that ATL and possibly moneyline as the Bucks just get pressed on that moneyline in the market.

[KVB]

It's that moneyline pressure on MIL that's pressing the spread upward and like I said 7 becomes a limit where the market just can't poress anymore. Too may +7 bets will kick in there.

[Darkside Magick]

Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +388 vs Houston Astros

[KVB]

Check out this weather in dtroit...

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Shocking. <a href="https://t.co/I7UmafShmB">pic.twitter.com/I7UmafShmB</a></p>&mdash; Detroit Tigers (@tigers) <a href="https://twitter.com/tigers/status/1410000139691909120?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >June 29, 2021</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[KiDBaZkiT]

Mississippi State Bulldogs +EV if it ever starts. Fukkin Karl Ravech “we are going to start on time despite the weather in region” less than 5 minutes later “The tarp is on the field and we’re delayed”

[dmm]

Bucks -250

[KVB]

Added Texas to the Contrarian Fund backbone...

The KVB MLB Contraian Fund has added...

927

29-Jun

TEX +180

BackBone play.

<iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/TotalPoisedEelelephant' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='1182'></iframe>

[Four33]

Remo o1.75 Brazil B

[KVB]

Mississippi State Bulldogs +EV if it ever starts. Fukkin Karl Ravech “we are going to start on time despite the weather in region” less than 5 minutes later “The tarp is on the field and we’re delayed”

Good Luck BAZ!

<iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/HarmlessInferiorHoneybadger' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='684'></iframe>

[KVB]

KVB last post = BEST ONE OF THE DAY
But hey--- If you don't like Hawks ATS LOOK AT UNDER 6-1 wins last 7 plays with them...might be the best play of the night and for unit cost too

UNDER looking better and better but no Trae will be a tall order for the Hawks.

Going to need the Bucks to misstep I think.

[pablo222]

Sweden winning or draw was the sure thing today.

[jjgold]

Yankees are coming in nicely any coast games that are hot

[flyingillini]

JJ, the only sure thing is a release in the basement or the 3rd floor of the Power Exchange.

[KVB]

Legggo Texas, playing into a headwind up 3-2 as Oakland is the walkoff capital of the world.

[KVB]

Yankees are coming in nicely any coast games that are hot

Nice call with the Yankees today Gold.

11-5 a beatdown.

[Darkside Magick]

Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +388 vs Houston Astros