Men's Wimb draw is out..Djokovic & Berrettini on opposite halves. 🙂

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Metatron
    SBR Sharp
    • 07-29-10
    • 287

    #36
    I disagree Rudy. Baseball win total futures can be very lucrative depending on the year. Occasionally I see football win totals I like as well in the NFL. Books do make mistakes sometimes.
    Comment
    • Doug tushyterror
      SBR MVP
      • 07-03-12
      • 4172

      #37
      Originally posted by Metatron
      I was just explaining what Rudy was saying... Some people do not realize betting futures in certain sports is EV- always (like Tennis) because they actually have insane juice baked into them which can easily be avoided by betting each independent event while rolling winnings into them. No parley is required because they go in a linear time sequence (events are not at the same time, which is why parleys were originally made). I would call this a "running bet". To go further using parleys (which are juiced more) on events which do not overlap in time are also a poor bet by default. A bonus advantage is also hidden here, imagine if the players you selected were on the same side of the draw, if they played each other in the quarters or semis you could "opt out" of that game and lose nothing on either bet and then if you really wanted to be aggressive place all of the money you won on both players previously on the winner in the semi/final match(es). Also lets say they met in the final. You could "no bet" or decide to favor one player over the other, with locked in futures you have no flexability. If you call the winner of a tennis tournament (especially if it is Matteo) you should get the maximum amount as it is super hard to do. That being said I hope you win.
      In case you haven't realized this but a lot of books including mine (BM) void tennis bets if there is a retirement at any point. Not something you have to worry about when you bet Futures but will greatly reduce profits when you do "running bets." if that should occur. If you know anything about tennis you would understand there's no way you're getting better value than what I got considering how high a fav. Novak will be throughout and even Berrettini. This strategy might work on the women side with much shorter priced favs. match by match but not in this instance.
      Comment
      • Sato
        SBR MVP
        • 07-10-12
        • 1201

        #38
        Joker always a good bet. Mental gaint and on a mission to get to 20 grand slams and beyond. Your concern should be injuries and freak accidents.
        Comment
        • Doug tushyterror
          SBR MVP
          • 07-03-12
          • 4172

          #39
          Originally posted by Otters27
          Doug.djoker is a killer so you know he'll give his best effort
          Definitely not worried about his motivation level Otter. Someone like Rublev is the scary in the QFs since they never played before & he beat Federer the only time they played.
          Comment
          • RudyRuetigger
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-24-10
            • 65084

            #40
            Originally posted by Metatron
            I disagree Rudy. Baseball win total futures can be very lucrative depending on the year. Occasionally I see football win totals I like as well in the NFL. Books do make mistakes sometimes.
            post them after you bet


            lets just test your theory


            ive been here as long as you



            i have no problem calculating the long term
            Comment
            • Doug tushyterror
              SBR MVP
              • 07-03-12
              • 4172

              #41
              Originally posted by Sato
              Joker always a good bet. Mental gaint and on a mission to get to 20 grand slams and beyond. Your concern should be injuries and freak accidents.
              Agreed but I also want Berrettini to make the Finals to justify that ticket. Otherwise it was a total waste & I could've risked that remaining $1900 on Novak.
              Comment
              • ThaTopMoron
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-30-10
                • 27020

                #42
                thx to doug we know 2 guys who will NOT be in the Final

                use that info
                Comment
                • Doug tushyterror
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-03-12
                  • 4172

                  #43
                  Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                  thx to doug we know 2 guys who will NOT be in the Final

                  use that info
                  Interesting how you entered this thread but not the one I started about you exposing how ThanksForTheFade basically teabaged your incel face.
                  Comment
                  • SamsNCharge99
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-22-08
                    • 41242

                    #44
                    I think medvedev can push joker. Would love tsitsipas to have a crack at him as well.
                    Comment
                    • cincinnatikid513
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 11-23-17
                      • 45360

                      #45
                      good lucks hope u win
                      Comment
                      • Doug tushyterror
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-03-12
                        • 4172

                        #46
                        Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                        I think medvedev can push joker. Would love tsitsipas to have a crack at him as well.
                        Come on Sammy, not saying they don't have a shot but Novak already dispatched them both on their best GS surfaces this yr, why would the result be any different on Novak's favorite surface. Berrettini on grass is a much bigger threat & possibly Rublev who he's never played before.
                        Comment
                        • lonegambler23
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 06-22-16
                          • 9760

                          #47
                          very very bad news for you doug. KA47 could face joker in round 2.
                          Comment
                          • Doug tushyterror
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-03-12
                            • 4172

                            #48
                            Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                            good lucks hope u win
                            Thanks cinci me too!. What's with the change of heart, correct me if I'm wrong but didn't you bash the shit out of me before?
                            Comment
                            • ThaTopMoron
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 04-30-10
                              • 27020

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                              Interesting how you entered this thread but not the one I started about you exposing how ThanksForTheFade basically teabaged your incel face.
                              lmao that loser had to ask if the men's major was best of 5...

                              and my baylor play was strictly me fading you and I don't do that often I don't tail or fade so yeah of course I wasn't going HUGE on it... I put a dime on it and moved the line to -2 to get +195 odds

                              keep laughing at a 20 unit win loser

                              go fukk with some of the pros here whose unit size is $25

                              all you've done for months here is fukk urself with the gonzaga/nets futures and now tennis again
                              Comment
                              • Doug tushyterror
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-03-12
                                • 4172

                                #50
                                Originally posted by lonegambler23
                                very very bad news for you doug. KA47 could face joker in round 2.
                                You mean the guy who lost his last 3 grass matches to these guys? Novak has a better shot of getting DQed again than losing to a washed up Kandy.
                                Comment
                                • lonegambler23
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-22-16
                                  • 9760

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                                  You mean the guy who lost his last 3 grass matches to these guys? Novak has a better shot of getting DQed again than losing to a washed up Kandy.
                                  motivation maybe a factor also hes coming back from injury long period of it more like tuneups last few weeks. but u know hes very dangerous on grass made semis few years back
                                  Comment
                                  • Doug tushyterror
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-03-12
                                    • 4172

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                                    lmao that loser had to ask if the men's major was best of 5...

                                    and my baylor play was strictly me fading you and I don't do that often I don't tail or fade so yeah of course I wasn't going HUGE on it... I put a dime on it and moved the line to -2 to get +195 odds

                                    keep laughing at a 20 unit win loser

                                    go fukk with some of the pros here whose unit size is $25

                                    all you've done for months here is fukk urself with the gonzaga/nets futures and now tennis again
                                    That's the best you could do loser, going back to April to post a $2K winner? I only have to go back to May to post this just to prove what a small time nickel & dime incel you are. ( I'm sure you must get all the chicks considering how "hot" that girl in your avi is..must be a total reflection of your sex appeal to the ladies )
                                    Comment
                                    • Enikk
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-09-20
                                      • 1287

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                      A lot of threats on Grass

                                      Watch Med
                                      Was my pick pre-draw... Medvedev has a horrible draw though. He might get knocked out 1st rd. Struff having bad year but is usually very good on grass. Tsitipas got a gravy draw.
                                      Comment
                                      • Doug tushyterror
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-03-12
                                        • 4172

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by lonegambler23
                                        motivation maybe a factor also hes coming back from injury long period of it more like tuneups last few weeks. but u know hes very dangerous on grass made semis few years back
                                        Even though I give him no chance of getting to the Final since they're on opp. sides, Querrey is a much bigger concern than Anderson.
                                        Comment
                                        • Doug tushyterror
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-03-12
                                          • 4172

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Enikk
                                          Was my pick pre-draw... Medvedev has a horrible draw though. He might get knocked out 1st rd. Struff having bad year but is usually very good on grass. Tsitipas got a gravy draw.
                                          Med definitely has a brutal draw & Struff did just beat him in Halle but I'd be shocked if that happens again. Solid 1st Rd upset pick is Paire +515. Much better on grass than Diego & he should have no motivation issues.
                                          Comment
                                          • Enikk
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-09-20
                                            • 1287

                                            #56
                                            Sinner/Fucs rd 1 match. terrible draw for them.
                                            Comment
                                            • Enikk
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-09-20
                                              • 1287

                                              #57
                                              Agree with Paire. Great headcase to watch unravel but so much talent. He is a great live on and against.
                                              Comment
                                              • Enikk
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-09-20
                                                • 1287

                                                #58
                                                I think Lopez +175 over Evans is a great round 1 dog. Lopez has always been good on grass and most don't expect that him being from Spain.
                                                Comment
                                                • Doug tushyterror
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-03-12
                                                  • 4172

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                                                  lmao that loser had to ask if the men's major was best of 5...

                                                  and my baylor play was strictly me fading you and I don't do that often I don't tail or fade so yeah of course I wasn't going HUGE on it... I put a dime on it and moved the line to -2 to get +195 odds

                                                  keep laughing at a 20 unit win loser

                                                  go fukk with some of the pros here whose unit size is $25

                                                  all you've done for months here is fukk urself with the gonzaga/nets futures and now tennis again
                                                  Another difference between me & you cringegirl (does anybody post more lol's like a 13 year old girl than this beta cuck , I have the financial wherewithal to purchase these tickets, something you could only dream about. Not dumb enough to say anything is guaranteed but have fun poking needles in your Novak kewpie doll praying he loses.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cincinnatikid513
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 11-23-17
                                                    • 45360

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                                                    Thanks cinci me too!. What's with the change of heart, correct me if I'm wrong but didn't you bash the shit out of me before?
                                                    ur growing on me, kind of like mike jamm did in the end it's all about winning


                                                    winning cures all
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cincinnatikid513
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 11-23-17
                                                      • 45360

                                                      #61
                                                      joker looks to have a very easy draw
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ThaTopMoron
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 04-30-10
                                                        • 27020

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                                                        Another difference between me & you cringegirl (does anybody post more lol's like a 13 year old girl than this beta cuck , I have the financial wherewithal to purchase these tickets, something you could only dream about. Not dumb enough to say anything is guaranteed but have fun poking needles in your Novak kewpie doll praying he loses.
                                                        how much are those gonzaga and nets bets worth now?

                                                        these are TILT bets and nothing else, you told us that yourself

                                                        going on tilt means you don't know what you're doing

                                                        i am not betting tennis so really i don't care if you win. i hope you win so you don't off yourself. GL bus/train riding unemployed smooth hands like a girl dougy
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Doug tushyterror
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-03-12
                                                          • 4172

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                                                          how much are those gonzaga and nets bets worth now?

                                                          these are TILT bets and nothing else, you told us that yourself

                                                          going on tilt means you don't know what you're doing

                                                          i am not betting tennis so really i don't care if you win. i hope you win so you don't off yourself. GL bus/train riding unemployed smooth hands like a girl dougy
                                                          Say what you will incel, but here's one thing you could never post, an actual text exchange with a significant other cuz based on you're limp wristed posting history we all know you're a p0rnhub addicted virgin.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Enikk
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-09-20
                                                            • 1287

                                                            #64
                                                            Matteo has a favorable quarter as well. Isner, Cobra Kei, and Zverev is it. Potential revenge from Madrid choke job against Zverev for quarter. Cobra Kei could give him trouble if he is still around and if Matteo needs to go deep in 1st 2 matches.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Doug tushyterror
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-03-12
                                                              • 4172

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                                                              ur growing on me, kind of like mike jamm did in the end it's all about winning


                                                              winning cures all
                                                              Good to hear, there are enough shit posters on here w/o. you being one of them & unlike them at least you know your shit when it comes to sports.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ThaTopMoron
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 04-30-10
                                                                • 27020

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                                                                Say what you will incel, but here's one thing you could never post, an actual text exchange with a significant other cuz based on you're limp wristed posting history we all know you're a p0rnhub addicted virgin.
                                                                you're probably the ONLY sbr poster to EVER do that.... it's pathetic dude when you think it's the other way around
                                                                Comment
                                                                • habitualwinning
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-22-12
                                                                  • 1569

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Rudy fails to realize that djoker will be a > -1000 fav vs everyone he draws til the semis. He'll be ridiculous vs some so no way those odds payoff without an open leg parlay. The shit odds the first 5 rounds will lead to miniscule profits. Only a dipshit would risk 100k to only win less than 10k. What a stupid idea. Answer my fukkin question. What book allows 7 leg open parlays with high max?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Doug tushyterror
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-03-12
                                                                    • 4172

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by habitualwinning
                                                                    Rudy fails to realize that djoker will be a > -1000 fav vs everyone he draws til the semis. He'll be ridiculous vs some so no way those odds payoff without an open leg parlay. The shit odds the first 5 rounds will lead to miniscule profits. Only a dipshit would risk 100k to only win less than 10k. What a stupid idea. Answer my fukkin question. What book allows 7 leg open parlays with high max?
                                                                    Couldn't have said it better myself but I doubt he'll be that he high in the QFs if it's Rublev.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SamsNCharge99
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-22-08
                                                                      • 41242

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Hes -20,000 in round 1
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Doug tushyterror
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 07-03-12
                                                                        • 4172

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                                                                        Hes -20,000 in round 1
                                                                        How dare you short change Novak, Sammy!..try -25,000 (+2174 is awful takeback)

                                                                        Looks like I'm heading back to NJ tmm. to bet Barty @+750 ($1100) Gonna have to max out a couple credit card cash advances & hope my rent check doesn't bounce by Mon (Already mailed out the check) while essentially betting my rent money.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        Search
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...