Everybody get in "Ons" this bet...Jabeur +3500 FO Champ

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  • Doug tushyterror
    SBR MVP
    • 07-03-12
    • 4172

    #1
    Everybody get in "Ons" this bet...Jabeur +3500 FO Champ
    Reasons:
    1) Unlike Swiatek today (3 hrs.+), she's not needlessly tiring herself out playing doubles..playing every other day which
    mitigates her fitness issues.
    2) Ons has a much easier path to the SFs (Coco, who she beat in April on clay, & the winner of Stephens/Krejci. while Iga has Kostyuk & the winner of Kenin/Sakkari)
    3) -140 horrible value on Iga away considering Rafa is -145.
    4) Since the WTA is all about random fukkery, just like with Ostapenko who was +8000 at the time this would also be Jabeur's 1st WTA Title.
  • KiDBaZkiT
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-20-09
    • 14962

    #2
    I’ll throw a 50 spot on her.
    Comment
    • Doug tushyterror
      SBR MVP
      • 07-03-12
      • 4172

      #3
      Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
      I’ll throw a 50 spot on her.
      At least 50 bro, once she makes the SFs, she'll be down to +500.
      Comment
      • Unrivaled
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-24-11
        • 6685

        #4
        I like Iga or Elena.
        Comment
        • Doug tushyterror
          SBR MVP
          • 07-03-12
          • 4172

          #5
          Originally posted by Unrivaled
          I like Iga or Elena.
          No value on Iga, Sakkari @+1800 much better value than Elena. Not trying to contradict my Jabeur pick, but I'm just basing this on value.
          Comment
          • Unrivaled
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-24-11
            • 6685

            #6
            Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
            No value on Iga, Sakkari @+1800 much better value than Elena. Not trying to contradict my Jabeur pick, but I'm just basing this on value.
            Women's tennis anything can happen. But Iga is the best clay player so that's why she is heavy favorite.
            Comment
            • Doug tushyterror
              SBR MVP
              • 07-03-12
              • 4172

              #7
              Originally posted by Unrivaled
              Women's tennis anything can happen. But Iga is the best clay player so that's why she is heavy favorite.
              Understood but if you're gonna lay -140 outright, why not just Nadal?
              Comment
              • Unrivaled
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-24-11
                • 6685

                #8
                Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                Understood but if you're gonna lay -140 outright, why not just Nadal?
                I'm not betting it, but if I had to with a gun to my head I take Iga.

                Women's tennis is so random though, you never know who could win.
                Comment
                • Doug tushyterror
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-03-12
                  • 4172

                  #9
                  Jesus Christ what a shit show. Down a set and 5-1. I knew this match would be tough but the portly Tunisian is proving how hard it is to ever hit a long shot Future in the WTA.
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #10
                    Gauff one of best 17 year olds we have ever seen of course we do not know by say 20 how she will be but right now she should be the dominant player womens tennis future
                    Comment
                    • lonegambler23
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 06-22-16
                      • 9760

                      #11
                      doug your avoiding alot of donations
                      Comment
                      • Doug tushyterror
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-03-12
                        • 4172

                        #12
                        Originally posted by lonegambler23
                        doug your avoiding alot of donations
                        You gotta give me a break with this one LG.. I never said go big on her against Gauff. There's a reason she was +3500.. Anyone who followed this thread should’ve bet accordingly..simply a value play.( Never thought she would be this bad)
                        Comment
                        • sunshineSpecial
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 03-09-17
                          • 379

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                          Understood but if you're gonna lay -140 outright, why not just Nadal?
                          Because Nadal would have to play Novak. That's the only match that matters (assuming it happens).
                          Comment
                          • Doug tushyterror
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-03-12
                            • 4172

                            #14
                            Originally posted by sunshineSpecial
                            Because Nadal would have to play Novak. That's the only match that matters (assuming it happens).
                            That's assuming Novak even gets through Musetti. Assuming he still does, he has no chance against Nadal. Only Tsitsipas does..35% at best.
                            Comment
                            • johnnyvegas13
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 05-21-15
                              • 27916

                              #15
                              Gl doug
                              Comment
                              • sunshineSpecial
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 03-09-17
                                • 379

                                #16
                                Okay Novak isn't even trying to win this match. His head 2 head record against Nadal remains intact.

                                I'm going with Iga, but Krejcikova gave her trouble in Rome. Everyone has a chance in the WTA.
                                Comment
                                • wombat
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-23-20
                                  • 1023

                                  #17
                                  Something that I noticed about Jabuer betting on her the past year is she will get real tired deep into tournaments. She'll play good until later rounds and will lay a goose egg. She's not the fittest of players and needs to lose weight.
                                  Comment
                                  • Doug tushyterror
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-03-12
                                    • 4172

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by wombat
                                    Something that I noticed about Jabuer betting on her the past year is she will get real tired deep into tournaments. She'll play good until later rounds and will lay a goose egg. She's not the fittest of players and needs to lose weight.
                                    Agreed, I def. factored that in but she's always a lot more competitive in GSs than she was today based on playing every other day.
                                    Comment
                                    • Brock Landers
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 06-30-08
                                      • 45359

                                      #19
                                      Gauff will win the whole thing, she destroyed jabeur
                                      Comment
                                      • Doug tushyterror
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-03-12
                                        • 4172

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                        Gauff will win the whole thing, she destroyed jabeur
                                        If Sakkari could do Gauff's dirty work and take out Iga, I definitely agree otherwise it'll be a repeat of the Rome SFs when Gauff lost in straights..sort of like when Nishikori beat Novak in 2014 US Open paving the way for Cilic.
                                        Comment
                                        • KiDBaZkiT
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-20-09
                                          • 14962

                                          #21
                                          That Jabuer is one goofy lookin broad.
                                          Comment
                                          • degennn
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-26-18
                                            • 1687

                                            #22
                                            Rybakina
                                            Comment
                                            • cincinnatikid513
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 11-23-17
                                              • 45360

                                              #23
                                              kinda wish i just parlayed nadal and swiatek to win it all pre tourny, seems just too easy for them
                                              Comment
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