I have an eye test for you sharp friends

Chiefs83 · 05-26-21, 01:00 AM

Marco Checcinato the play...to hood to be true...I don’t know but someone does

rm18 · 05-26-21, 01:01 AM

I don't follow tennis but would say Marco is going to win.

jtoler · 05-26-21, 01:04 AM

lean chec

KiDBaZkiT · 05-26-21, 01:05 AM

I was hoping to open the thread and see some women bent over in thongs.....

degennn · 05-26-21, 01:17 AM

Marco gotta be the play right? That's what I'm thinking...how is bedene a dog.

Doug tushyterror · 05-26-21, 01:25 AM

Originally posted by degennn

Alijaz Bedene +102 ranked 54
Marco checcinato -114 ranked 104

Bedene holds h2h record of 7-0. 6 of which is on clay.

Match is being played in italian clay. Marco is italian.

Most shops opened marco in the -130 to -140 range.

Bedene opened in the +110 to +118 range with 2 shops opening him as a short fave -108.

Noticed that H2H yesterday afternoon as well but if you look deeper it's slightly deceptive. 5 of those wins were before 2018 when Cecc had his FO SF run & one in 2019 came 2 days after Cecc won Buenos Aires. I also lean Cecc but it could just be a matchup problem for him like Kevin Anderson (0-12) vs Berdych which made no sense on paper.

degennn · 05-26-21, 01:28 AM

Originally posted by Doug tushyterror

Noticed that H2H yesterday afternoon as well but if you look deeper it's slightly deceptive. 5 of those wins were before 2018 when Cecc had his FO SF run & one in 2019 came 2 days after Cecc won Buenos Aires. I also lean Cecc but it could just be a matchup problem for him like Kevin Anderson (0-12) vs Berdych which made no sense on paper.

This is a high quality response. Thank you!

Doug tushyterror · 05-26-21, 01:32 AM

Originally posted by degennn

This is a high quality response. Thank you!

Anytime!

Unrivaled · 05-26-21, 01:41 AM

Marco sucks donkey balls this year.

There is no way you can play him against someone who always beats him.

degennn · 05-26-21, 01:52 AM

Originally posted by Unrivaled

Marco sucks donkey balls this year.

There is no way you can play him against someone who always beats him.

It's tough to put money on him for sure. But I probably will. Ceccin tommorow to tell me you told me so.

jtoler · 05-26-21, 01:52 AM

Originally posted by Unrivaled

Marco sucks donkey balls this year.

There is no way you can play him against someone who always beats him.

I hear ya but none of that matters if its not as organic this time around

Doug tushyterror · 05-26-21, 02:05 AM

Originally posted by degennn

It's tough to put money on him for sure. But I probably will. Ceccin tommorow to tell me you told me so.

If you're looking for a solid dog today why not batshit Benoit? (+246). Besides the Bunde exho. he smoked Munar in the other 2 meetings. He really should've beat Koepfer last wk. where he actually seemed motivated to win.

degennn · 05-26-21, 02:38 AM

Originally posted by Doug tushyterror

If you're looking for a solid dog today why not batshit Benoit? (+246). Besides the Bunde exho. he smoked Munar in the other 2 meetings. He really should've beat Koepfer last wk. where he actually seemed motivated to win.

Illl playyy deeesseee

degennn · 05-26-21, 02:46 AM

Cecc -106 now...still plenty of time to monitor. I love when a line flips.

degennn · 05-26-21, 03:25 AM

Cecc -102
Puntinseva +167
Andrej martin +197
Paire +248
Harmony tan +136

Lessgooo

nuxx?? · 05-26-21, 06:20 AM

Originally posted by Doug tushyterror

If you're looking for a solid dog today why not batshit Benoit? (+246). Besides the Bunde exho. he smoked Munar in the other 2 meetings. He really should've beat Koepfer last wk. where he actually seemed motivated to win.

I doubt Benoit gives a shit about 250 in Parma.

jjgold · 05-26-21, 06:31 AM

All players care about 250's for points, rankings which lead to seedings

Winning and losing is contagious on any level

Nadal numerous times last few years after loses say he doubts himself a lot

Joker does not want to lose another 250 this week because 1000000000% will then lose in French

A lot has to do with confidence and thinking you can win or might lose based off previous results

SamsNCharge99 · 05-26-21, 06:50 AM

Dougiee

Doug tushyterror · 05-26-21, 07:00 AM

Originally posted by SamsNCharge99

Dougiee

Sammy.. dope whip!

nuxx?? · 05-26-21, 07:03 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

All players care about 250's for points, rankings which lead to seedings

Winning and losing is contagious on any level

Nadal numerous times last few years after loses say he doubts himself a lot

Joker does not want to lose another 250 this week because 1000000000% will then lose in French

A lot has to do with confidence and thinking you can win or might lose based off previous results

That's not how tennis works jj. Alot of tennis players use 250's for warmup if a big tournament is coming up. Betting on 250 makes no sense unless you bet late rounds and see who is taking it seriously.

Also, we're talking about psycho Paire who made it clear that quarantine had bad effects on him mentally and said he doesn't feel like playing. I'd skip this because you don't know which Paire shows up.

Doug tushyterror · 05-26-21, 07:09 AM

Originally posted by nuxx??

I doubt Benoit gives a shit about 250 in Parma.

Impossible to predict his motivation level but I actually disagree. Being the #2 seed he legit has a chance to do something this tourny & the 3 titles he won were all 250s. Line already dropped to +199 from +246 so that should tell you something.

jjgold · 05-26-21, 07:39 AM

Originally posted by nuxx??

That's not how tennis works jj. Alot of tennis players use 250's for warmup if a big tournament is coming up. Betting on 250 makes no sense unless you bet late rounds and see who is taking it seriously.

Also, we're talking about psycho Paire who made it clear that quarantine had bad effects on him mentally and said he doesn't feel like playing. I'd skip this because you don't know which Paire shows up.

Yes but losing kills their confidence , winning non majors equates to doing well in majors 90% of the time

SEEDINGS are very important in 1000's and Majors

Chiefs83 · 05-26-21, 08:36 AM

Checcinato with the romp over Bedene... thanks

RudyRuetigger · 05-26-21, 09:13 AM

Originally posted by degennn

Alijaz Bedene +102 ranked 54
Marco checcinato -114 ranked 104

Bedene holds h2h record of 7-0. 6 of which is on clay.

Match is being played in italian clay. Marco is italian.

Most shops opened marco in the -130 to -140 range.

Bedene opened in the +110 to +118 range with 2 shops opening him as a short fave -108.

great post

Auto Donk · 05-26-21, 09:16 AM

I thought the test would utilize this, and tell you that, if you can spot the tiny marble, you have well-above average vision:

SamsNCharge99 · 05-26-21, 10:48 AM

7-5 6-2 cecchinato

degennn · 05-26-21, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

great post

Thank you!

degennn · 05-27-21, 03:56 AM

Originally posted by Unrivaled

Marco sucks donkey balls this year.

There is no way you can play him against someone who always beats him.

Gombos...+190

nuxx?? · 05-27-21, 04:49 AM

Gombos played almost 6h od tennis over 2 days, i'd say Cecchinator wins this easily.