Just how horrible is this Nets ECF bet based on expected value?

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  • KnuckleHeadz
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-11-19
    • 8212

    #36
    Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
    Which STD ?
    The one that leaves bumps around the mouth
    Have you not seen his picture?
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    • KiDBaZkiT
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-20-09
      • 14965

      #37
      Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz
      The one that leaves bumps around the mouth
      Have you not seen his picture?
      Dougie was munching that pussy. What a STUD!!!
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      • BeatTheJerk
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 08-19-07
        • 31802

        #38
        Hsv
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        • Doug tushyterror
          SBR MVP
          • 07-03-12
          • 4172

          #39
          Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
          Which STD ?
          Chlamydia..Went away with a single dose of antibiotics but she knew she had it & only admitted it after the fact.
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          • BeatTheJerk
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-19-07
            • 31802

            #40
            Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
            Chlamydia..Went away with a single dose of antibiotics but she knew she had it & only admitted it after the fact.
            Yeah I’ve had that too & it was gone with one pill & few days had no side effects. Doc gave me a pill for my 2 other sexual partners at that time as well no big deal.
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            • KiDBaZkiT
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-20-09
              • 14965

              #41
              Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
              Chlamydia..Went away with a single dose of antibiotics but she knew she had it & only admitted it after the fact.
              No joke, I’ve had that more than once. The second time I went to take a piss and knew instantly. I went “Ah f*** that b**** gave me the clap” called her on the phone and chewed her ass out. She vehemently denied it and then went and got tested and apologized. Way to go Dougie Prolapse, your presence is required on this forum. Love ya pal.
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              • BeatTheJerk
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-19-07
                • 31802

                #42
                Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
                No joke, I’ve had that more than once. The second time I went to take a piss and knew instantly. I went “Ah f*** that b**** gave me the clap” called her on the phone and chewed her ass out. She vehemently denied it and then went and got tested and apologized. Way to go Dougie Prolapse, your presence is required on this forum. Love ya pal.
                I didn’t even know I had it, but I went for my quarterly HIV test and a test for all STDs and I was positive for chlamydia. I was very sexually active that particular year and I was getting tested for HIV all the time.
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                • Doug tushyterror
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-03-12
                  • 4172

                  #43
                  Originally posted by Buena Onda
                  I know it's just one game, but after what I saw tonight, I'd feel pretty good about this. I can't stand the Nets and I've been waiting on something dramatic to happen all year to blow it all up, but it hasn't. In the 1st qtr tonight when they were rollin, kept showing them constantly talking to each other, communicating, high fiving, good body language. They looked really good. Middleton is going to need to average 30+ in the series for the Bucks to consistently score enough to win 4 of 7 from the Nets. Just too much scoring from everywhere, particularly from 3, for Milwaukee to keep up in my opinion. I didn't look at futures but -118 does feel steep though.
                  -118 is a brutal line. I'm expecting -200 avg. price the next 2 series so +145 sounds about right to make the Finals. Probably leaving at least $3300 on the table taking the -118.
                  Comment
                  • Doug tushyterror
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-03-12
                    • 4172

                    #44
                    Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
                    Dougie was munching that pussy. What a STUD!!!
                    Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT

                    No joke, I’ve had that more than once. The second time I went to take a piss and knew instantly. I went “Ah f*** that b**** gave me the clap” called her on the phone and chewed her ass out. She vehemently denied it and then went and got tested and apologized. Way to go Dougie Prolapse, your presence is required on this forum. Love ya pal.
                    Comment
                    • BeatTheJerk
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-19-07
                      • 31802

                      #45
                      What if they face Atlanta in the ECF ? Then what is your guesstimate recalculated price ?
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                      • Doug tushyterror
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-03-12
                        • 4172

                        #46
                        Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                        What if they face Atlanta in the ECF ? Then what is your guesstimate recalculated price ?
                        Gonna bump them up to -240 against MIL since Nets still have HCA & I could still see MIA winning 2 against MIL but against ATL at least in the -500 to -600 range.
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                        • BeatTheJerk
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-19-07
                          • 31802

                          #47
                          Yeah that’s the only scenario you don’t want if you’re gonna bet round by round.
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                          • Doug tushyterror
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-03-12
                            • 4172

                            #48
                            Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                            Yeah that’s the only scenario you don’t want if you’re gonna bet round by round.
                            True but let's be honest unless Embiid gets hurt PHI pretty much has a double bye to the ECF..I'd give the Knicks a better shot of beating the 76ers. Hawks got smoked both games there.
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                            • johnnyvegas13
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 05-21-15
                              • 27976

                              #49
                              Doug I already told u lakers nets finals

                              tho odds gonna take a after tonight prob
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                              • Doug tushyterror
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-03-12
                                • 4172

                                #50
                                Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                Doug I already told u lakers nets finals

                                tho odds gonna take a after tonight prob
                                Can't argue with that Johnny even though I said seconds ago in another post LAC gonna still come back and beat DAL but assuming they don't LAL should cruise to the Finals like last yr.
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                                • thomorino
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 06-01-17
                                  • 46053

                                  #51
                                  The Nets should get better as the postseason goes on, Harden will be in better shape and Irving, Durant, and Harden have only played around 10 games together.
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                                  • Doug tushyterror
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-03-12
                                    • 4172

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by thomorino
                                    The Nets should get better as the postseason goes on, Harden will be in better shape and Irving, Durant, and Harden have only played around 10 games together.
                                    Agreed & I'd still want Joe Harris taking the last shot if it came down to it. Guy led the league in 3P% 2 of the last 3 years and he's basically an afterthought on this team.
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                                    • thomorino
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 06-01-17
                                      • 46053

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                                      Agreed & I'd still want Joe Harris taking the last shot if it came down to it. Guy led the league in 3P% 2 of the last 3 years and he's basically an afterthought on this team.
                                      No Kyrie will be the closer just as he was in Cleveland. Harris 3 point percentage is higher than it would be because of how many open looks he gets playing with 3 top players.
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                                      • Doug tushyterror
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-03-12
                                        • 4172

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by thomorino
                                        No Kyrie will be the closer just as he was in Cleveland. Harris 3 point percentage is higher than it would be because of how many open looks he gets playing with 3 top players.
                                        Valid point but then how do you explain 2019 when he still led the league on a 42 win team without those 3? Granted he only attempted 5 a game but I wish the Nets gave him the green light to jack up 10+ a game like Curry & Harden.
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                                        • thomorino
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 06-01-17
                                          • 46053

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                                          Valid point but then how do you explain 2019 when he still led the league on a 42 win team without those 3? Granted he only attempted 5 a game but I wish the Nets gave him the green light to jack up 10+ a game like Curry & Harden.
                                          Yeah one year isn’t enough to draw big conclusions.
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                                          • SamsNCharge99
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-22-08
                                            • 41244

                                            #56
                                            Dougieeeeeeeeee
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                                            • TommieGunshot
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-27-12
                                              • 1611

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                                              -118 is a brutal line. I'm expecting -200 avg. price the next 2 series so +145 sounds about right to make the Finals. Probably leaving at least $3300 on the table taking the -118.
                                              Can bet the field at -110. If true odds really were +/- 145, that would be about a 12 - 13% edge. I cannot imagine these sportsbooks offering anything like that on NBA playoffs.
                                              Comment
                                              • cincinnatikid513
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 11-23-17
                                                • 45365

                                                #58
                                                take the short bus down to atlantic city, go all in on the nets, i'm sure they would love your donation

                                                did gonzaga win
                                                Comment
                                                • lonegambler23
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 06-22-16
                                                  • 9764

                                                  #59
                                                  douggie nation. the french open is almost upon us, leave some bankroll for that?
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                                                  • lonegambler23
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 06-22-16
                                                    • 9764

                                                    #60
                                                    lets go dougy how we sweatin like a summer in the desert or a summer in alaska?
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                                                    • BeatTheJerk
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 08-19-07
                                                      • 31802

                                                      #61
                                                      Dougie been MIA the past few days right ...
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                                                      • SamsNCharge99
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-22-08
                                                        • 41244

                                                        #62
                                                        Doug doesnt watch the games just results
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                                                        • lonegambler23
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 06-22-16
                                                          • 9764

                                                          #63
                                                          kids prob still shiiting on the toilet without checking the phone reslults
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