NBA & MLB wagers :

[jjgold]

Good
Luck jerky

[BeatTheJerk]

Good
Luck jerky

[BeatTheJerk]

STRAIGHT BET [1965] TOTAL o4-110 (1H TB vrs 1H CWS) ( ACTION / ACTION )

33.00 / 30.00

30.00

WIN WIN

06/16/2021 02:00 PM

STRAIGHT BET [1966] 1H CWS -147 ( ACTION / ACTION )

44.10 / 30.00

30.00

WIN WIN

06/16/2021 02:00 PM

did these also at a 1/3 unts

Very nice pal.

[Luv2Play2]

Mariners +123 1,000/1,230

wishing you the very best,,,

where the hell is mikey?

[Fred The Hammer]

Wonder what the WL numbers are for extra innings this year? Feels like the road teams are cleaning up....atleast the games I bet. Took the Reds last night -105 after Milw used Hader in the 9th. It was the meat of the Reds lineup vs the bottom of Milw lineup

Took Tampa just now in extras. I think the road team has a psychological advantage.

[BeatTheJerk]

Wonder what the WL numbers are for extra innings this year? Feels like the road teams are cleaning up....atleast the games I bet. Took the Reds last night -105 after Milw used Hader in the 9th. It was the meat of the Reds lineup vs the bottom of Milw lineup

Took Tampa just now in extras. I think the road team has a psychological advantage.

Yeah I agree & share the same prospective as you from the eye test, I haven’t found any data to prove this accurate though.

[Luv2Play2]

i posted this in reference to the rays on 6/12....

Originally Posted by KnuckleHeadz
Rays day games 20-6
Rays have 32 wins by 2+ runs
Baltimore has 30 losses by 2+ runs
Baltimore is 1-9 Vs Rays L10
Rays are 10-0 in last 10 day games
Baltimore is 0-7 last 7 day games
Home Favs -200 or better are 75%



its alot of work but look at runs for and runs against after 7 inns .. last 25 gms.. played the ovr here

64 different lineups in 65 games. WTF.. the rays are scary late..

[KVB]

...

Is this the one about hitting faves?

I was gonna drop some knowledge and stats on that.

It's underdog time, at lest today, I think anyway, I'll toss a chart in later.

Mariners +123 1,000/1,230

Good Luck here Jerky.

[BeatTheJerk]

wishing you the very best,,,

where the hell is mikey?

Is this the one about hitting faves?

I was gonna drop some knowledge and stats on that.

It's underdog time, at lest today, I think anyway, I'll toss a chart in later.



Good Luck here Jerky.

Thank you men

[BeatTheJerk]

How many pesos are you throwing on it?

He put over a Billion dollars tonight on the Mets 1st 5

[CHIEF BRODY]

He put over a Billion dollars tonight on the Mets 1st 5

Laughing my way to a win 2-0 mets👍

[CHIEF BRODY]

Twins roll them tonight

[mjsuax13]

He put over a Billion dollars tonight on the Mets 1st 5

Hope he wins. I’ll ask for a couple hundred million.

[BeatTheJerk]

Hope he wins. I’ll ask for a couple hundred million.

Ok cool break me off something as well need these dollars !

[pablo222]

LFG Jerk.
I Will be rooting them in for ya

[BeatTheJerk]

LFG Jerk.
I Will be rooting them in for ya

Thank you I need to go on a run.

[BeatTheJerk]

I’m fuckin’ terrible @ this shit right now

[BeatTheJerk]

I think I’m gonna stop for a while. I have zero income this calendar year & I’m just wasting all my Bitcoin cash.

[pimike]

I’m fuckin’ terrible @ this shit right now

I know the feeling.

I won golf Sunday at 55/1.

Golf this year has been my saving grace.

[BeatTheJerk]

I know the feeling.

I won golf Sunday at 55/1.

Golf this year has been my saving grace.

You’re always winning at golf why didn’t you post that in my thread I could’ve used that lol.

[jjgold]

I think I’m gonna stop for a while. I have zero income this calendar year & I’m just wasting all my Bitcoin cash.

Jerky probably a good idea

[CHIEF BRODY]

I’m fuckin’ terrible @ this shit right now

I tried to warn you about the twins

[jjgold]

All gamblers terrible

Same end result

[BeatTheJerk]

I tried to warn you about the twins

You & your fake bank roll it’s ridiculous pal. A billion dollar wager yesterday really ? Get real dude your whole charade is whack as fuk.

[JayLA]

Yea wtf is a bettor suppose to say to that shit? Thanks for telling me that my already booked bet might lose....let me bet the other side? Aggravating

Keep your head up jerk. Take breaks , stack up some chips and come back.

[Luv2Play2]

BTJ.. FADE HIS AZZ 2DAY.. I POSTED IN MIKEY'S THREAD A WHILE AGO I WAS GOING TO.. IT PAYED OFF. DOING SO 2DAY AS WELL.. BOL BTJ.

[BeatTheJerk]

BTJ.. FADE HIS AZZ 2DAY.. I POSTED IN MIKEY'S THREAD A WHILE AGO I WAS GOING TO.. IT PAYED OFF. DOING SO 2DAY AS WELL.. BOL BTJ.

I guess I can fade him small, I’ll check out the plays. BOL to you as well brother.

[Luv2Play2]

I guess I can fade him small, I’ll check out the plays. BOL to you as well brother.

OR fallow my rays plays.. im killing it..

[BeatTheJerk]

OR fallow my rays plays.. im killing it..

[Luv2Play2]

pop his azz early.. stop b4 his late chases

[Luv2Play2]

ok 1/3 unts. clev and und fg and 1st 5

[Luv2Play2]

if ya faded his azz ur up.. hope ya did

[KVB]

Twins the most profitable Fade so far this season, is that turning???

...so what can we learn form this?

It doesn't tell the whole story but remember these graphs are units. Look at Minnesota, the best team to Fade all season. Not a lot of up and down there.

For Minnesota, and there are other tools to help confirm or corroborate this, it appears as though the market has overestimated them. They aren't the worst team, record wise, so it can't be attributed to just losses, like Arizona is looking.

It appears the books haven't been charging enough for the Fade and they still haven't caught up. Twins Faders are getting bang for their buck, whether laying or taking.

We can do a further analysis of win percentage and lay it over the charts as well. We can also do it with margins of victory, seeing just how far off the books are, but that works best with Totals and spread bets in other sports as the ml on a converted 12-3 win is too far out of bounds to work with. It's also why we use medians.

Anyway, the chart and the Twins...

I made one more chart, altering that minny trendline a little bit.

This way it shows with a little variance that indeed the books might just be overstimating the twins, or at least the public is in the auction marketplace.

See what I did here with the black line?

[Luv2Play2]

Twins the most profitable Fade so far this season, is that turning???
yes.. dont fade the rays.. live bet those fuc'ers late.. a $ making machine

yes.. dont fade the rays.. live bet those fuc'ers late.. a $ making machine

[Luv2Play2]

HERE is chief and fake horny wifey.. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RJOrwjj44Yc

or this 1...https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BdT_BygNBZs