Spurs or Grizzlies? Any Thoughts/Leans?

jjgold · 05-19-21, 07:38 AM

Memphis HOME ML

Easy-Rider 66 · 05-19-21, 07:39 AM

I took SA + 3.5 here at SBR Book. not real confident but will take the + number it what may be a close game. GL.

texhooper · 05-19-21, 07:48 AM

Grizz are hard to trust in a big spot like this. They are technically better than the Spurs and played them well this year but it’s hard for me to take them in these must win situations until they prove they can handle these spots

slayer14 · 05-19-21, 07:49 AM

Spurs go cold to often

texhooper · 05-19-21, 07:54 AM

That’s true but coach popp in a one game situation against the youngest team in the league...

I hate to even comment when I don’t have a lean but this one really is a no-play for me

JIBBBY · 05-19-21, 08:28 AM

Home teams are trending so far in these play in games. That's all I gotta say about that!!

Spurs played the Grizz tough though in the regular season games.https://sports.yahoo.com/spurs-visit...193425566.html

pologq · 05-19-21, 08:31 AM

all valid points so far. thanks men.

carolinakid · 05-19-21, 08:32 AM

this is a very tough game with the numbers as of now, so far it a pass for me

IBetYou · 05-19-21, 08:57 AM

Nobody expecting anything of the Spurs. Aldridge dumped 'em. White got hurt. Losers of 4 straight coming into this play-in. Grizz just seem like a mess to me though. They don't know where their bread is buttered. Is it Morant? Is it Brooks? Is it JV? Is it Jackson? etc etc

lean Spurs

stevek173 · 05-19-21, 09:04 AM

Popovich in a spot like this almost always gets the W

NOD SPURS

pologq · 05-19-21, 09:05 AM

i can see a close game as mentioned. pop is a big factor.

johnnyvegas13 · 05-19-21, 09:06 AM

Really not my gm of interest

prob make a small play on something here

Darkside Magick · 05-19-21, 09:06 AM

I got Memphis by 6 here..

pologq · 05-19-21, 09:40 AM

Originally posted by Darkside Magick

I got Memphis by 6 here..

Zlaniner · 05-19-21, 10:16 AM

Pops Spurs

carolinakid · 05-19-21, 05:02 PM

play at your own risk, i just got this alert

Steam-Play Alert

05/19/21 02:59:16pm Pacific Time

NBA: Game 567 San Antonio +5

johnnyvegas13 · 05-19-21, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by carolinakid

play at your own risk, i just got this alert

Steam-Play Alert

05/19/21 02:59:16pm Pacific Time

NBA: Game 567 San Antonio +5

Alert from who ???

lakerboy · 05-19-21, 05:15 PM

Tough game. It will land right around the number. No value either side. Pass.

I hope Memphis wins

texhooper · 05-19-21, 05:22 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Spurs played the Grizz tough though in the regular season games.[url]https://sports.yahoo.com/spurs-visit-grizzlies-high-stakes-193425566.html[/url[/IMG]

Bro, no they didn’t. This is from the article you linked:

“But it wasn't difficult for the Grizzlies when they visited San Antonio for back-to-back games on Jan. 30 and Feb. 1. Memphis won by an average of 24 points.

Seven players scored 14 or more points when the Grizzlies recorded a 129-112 win in the opener and nine players scored in double digits in a 133-102 rout two nights later. Backup point guard Tyus Jones registered a career-best 14 assists in the latter win.

San Antonio won the first meeting, a 131-119 win in Memphis in the season opener for both teams on Dec. 23. DeRozan scored 28 points for the Spurs, while Morant poured in a career-best 44 points for the Grizzlies.“

2-1 and the Grizz dominated in those 2.

carolinakid · 05-19-21, 05:30 PM

Johnny it came from don best

JIBBBY · 05-19-21, 05:30 PM

^^ I'm trying the Grizz and Lakers tonight. Both home team favorites..

Yesterday both home team favorites won and dominated so it's trending now. Watch both road teams win tonight and shock everyone including myself... lol..

..

I hope not though. Gambling can be a tricky game to play come playoff time especially in the NBA.

Favorites it is tonight!!

carolinakid · 05-19-21, 05:33 PM

most time when you have 2 games, one home team will cover and one will not......it funny how many times this will happen.

texhooper · 05-19-21, 05:37 PM

I am a Grizz fan.

They came into the bubble last year in control of their own destiny to avoid the play in and make the playoffs and couldn’t get it done, lost a shitload of games when stakes were higher, ended up in the play in and lost.

This season when they’ve needed to win games down the stretch to potentially avoid the play in or at least secure a 7 or an 8, they did have a few nice wins but dropped games to some shitty ass teams they should have never lost to considering what was on the line. They went from in control of the 8 spot to where they had to win against the warriors to get to the 7/8 game and lost and ended up at 9 and now they have to play popp in a must win. They’re the youngest team in the league and we just don’t have any indication that they have what it to takes to win in high stakes situations.

There may be a play to be made here. I’m shocked at the amount of bets on the Grizzlies honestly.

If they do what they’re capable of doing they should win and cover. This just ain’t the type of game where I’d trust them at all. A true no-play for me, as boring as that is. But maybe I can help you avoid a loss haha

Goat Milk · 05-19-21, 05:48 PM

It's a due or die game, meaning all the starters gonna play heavy minutes. Looking at some props now.

KVB · 05-19-21, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

It's a due or die game, meaning all the starters gonna play heavy minutes. Looking at some props now.

That usually means forecasts do better when the teams are at their best.

In general.

lakerboy · 05-19-21, 05:58 PM

Get ready for the pain if you touch the spread. Mem might win by 3. Books are moving all around that 4/4.5. it will be a ft painful ending.

KVB · 05-19-21, 05:59 PM

I picked up SA in the NBA Contrarian Fund, something I'll be tracking for the playoffs as the NBA Contrarian market has been depressed and we expect some type of playoff bounce.

567

19-May

SA +4 (-101)

Good Luck guys.

johnnyvegas13 · 05-19-21, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

^^ I'm trying the Grizz and Lakers tonight. Both home team favorites..

Yesterday both home team favorites won and dominated so it's trending now. Watch both road teams win tonight and shock everyone including myself... lol..

..

I hope not though. Gambling can be a tricky game to play come playoff time especially in the NBA.

Favorites it is tonight!!

thinkjng same

a grizz laker ml parlay pays about +130

KVB · 05-19-21, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Get ready for the pain if you touch the spread. Mem might win by 3. Books are moving all around that 4/4.5. it will be a ft painful ending.

Almost waited for the 4.5 but I was able to get down at +4 (-101).

Goat Milk · 05-19-21, 06:03 PM

If you have time to sit and watch the game, there's almost always no point to ever bet a playoff game pre game. You will certainly almost always get better odds live, unless you think it's gonna be a wire to wire win for one team. Last night, whether you wanted Boston or Wizards, you got much better in game odds. But if you wanted Pacers, you were probably screwed. But that's very rare for a playoff game.

If the Lakers go down by 5 tonight in the second quarter, you'll get them at -3 for the game for example. Or if you like the Warriors, and they go down by 9 in the 3rd quarter, they're gonna be like +400 to win the game.

So just for example, if your fund is telling you to take the spurs +4.5 tonight, if you get that up to +7 live, you just annihilated your original fund play.

JIBBBY · 05-19-21, 06:17 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Get ready for the pain if you touch the spread. Mem might win by 3. Books are moving all around that 4/4.5. it will be a ft painful ending.

The lines didn't come into play yesterday with the favorites, not only winning but dominating in blowouts.

Will history repeat itself tonight IDK???? Just saying LB...

KVB · 05-19-21, 06:18 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

...So just for example, if your fund is telling you to take the spurs +4.5 tonight, if you get that up to +7 live, you just annihilated your original fund play.

Not necessarily.

The trigger now is pre game with the market info we have now.

Once the game starts, information does change (I'll acknowledge that by the end the overall change may not be that much), but the LIVE trade is most definitely a different bet altogether, even it still the same team and number, because the info we are using is different.

Limits are different too.

But I get you, I hear what your saying, especially in the NBA. Best thing is to manage to get both teams as an underdog moneyline during the game.

And that can happen mutliple times in in a single NBA game and be totally normal.

Goat Milk · 05-19-21, 06:26 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Not necessarily.

The trigger now is pre game with the market info we have now.

Once the game starts, information does change (I'll acknowledge that by the end the overall change may not be that much), but the LIVE trade is most definitely a different bet altogether, even it still the same team and number, because the info we are using is different.

Limits are different too.

But I get you, I hear what your saying, especially in the NBA. Best thing is to manage to get both teams as an underdog moneyline during the game.

And that can happen mutliple times in in a single NBA game and be totally normal.

I like HT FT odds too when we get deep into the second quarter. For example, if I like how either memphis or spurs are playing today early on, but one is trailing, I'll take HT FT with like 6 min left, down 5 or something, and I'll get +500 odds. Hits all the time.

JIBBBY · 05-19-21, 06:36 PM

Here we go!! Let's do this Grizz!!