Would you hedge this bet?

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • DiggityDaggityDo
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-30-08
    • 81454

    #1
    Would you hedge this bet?
  • johnnyvegas13
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 05-21-15
    • 27851

    #2
    Ya I would hedge it today

    nobody was talking about Loyola before the tourney

    now everybody has them in final 4
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388189

      #3
      yes
      Comment
      • vitterd
        Restricted User
        • 09-14-17
        • 58460

        #4
        Nah
        Comment
        • d2bets
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-10-05
          • 39990

          #5
          50 bucks let the shit ride and consider again if they make the FF.
          Comment
          • johnnyvegas13
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 05-21-15
            • 27851

            #6
            Originally posted by d2bets
            50 bucks let the shit ride and consider again if they make the FF.
            U really never hedge a future till final 4
            Comment
            • mikmik
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-13-12
              • 5457

              #7
              Hell yea , at least bet Oregon st today ml for 2k
              Comment
              • MinnesotaFats
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-18-10
                • 14758

                #8
                Yes

                They have 4 games left at most

                You wanna make $$$ so today you lay 60k on the chalk, in elite 8 you'd lay 60k on the chalk, final 4 you'd lay 60k, etc you win 10k if they win it all, you'd wind 30k or so if they lose...you can't lose here
                Comment
                • Ian
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-09-09
                  • 6040

                  #9
                  No. Hedging crushes your own odds. If you can't take the sweat of a longshot then don't make the bet in the first place.

                  Beyond that, it's especially counterproductive to hedge the bet now when Loyola is a 3: 1 favorite to advance to the next round. At least wait until they're a dog or smaller favorite to do it.
                  Comment
                  • JIBBBY
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-10-09
                    • 83693

                    #10
                    I'd wait another game.
                    Comment
                    • d2bets
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 39990

                      #11
                      5,000-1 odds was insane though. Great bet.
                      Comment
                      • johnnyvegas13
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 05-21-15
                        • 27851

                        #12
                        Originally posted by d2bets
                        5,000-1 odds was insane though. Great bet.
                        Ya to get a 5000-1 to the sweet 16 already an accomplished
                        Comment
                        • mrpapageorgio
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-07-17
                          • 2974

                          #13
                          I'd just bet enough to win my original bet back and martingale until the championship. Wouldn't consider a larger hedge until then.
                          Comment
                          • d2bets
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 39990

                            #14
                            Originally posted by mrpapageorgio
                            I'd just bet enough to win my original bet back and martingale until the championship. Wouldn't consider a larger hedge until then.
                            Seriously? For 50 bucks? At that amount, I'd rather just say I let it ride.
                            Comment
                            • slayer14
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-12-13
                              • 22008

                              #15
                              is that your ticket diggity
                              Comment
                              • DiggityDaggityDo
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 11-30-08
                                • 81454

                                #16
                                Originally posted by slayer14
                                is that your ticket diggity
                                Nope

                                I read the guy is teying to sell the ticket
                                Comment
                                • Sam Odom
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-30-05
                                  • 58063

                                  #17
                                  $100.00 on State +7
                                  Comment
                                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 11-30-08
                                    • 81454

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                    Nope

                                    I read the guy is teying to sell the ticket
                                    For $16k I believe at Propswap
                                    Comment
                                    • DiggityDaggityDo
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 11-30-08
                                      • 81454

                                      #19
                                      This one just sold for $4.7K

                                      Comment
                                      • carolinakid
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-12-11
                                        • 19106

                                        #20
                                        no, they will win today against state
                                        Comment
                                        • cincinnatikid513
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 11-23-17
                                          • 45360

                                          #21
                                          how can u hedge this early
                                          Comment
                                          • pilebuck13
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 05-15-15
                                            • 17916

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                                            Yes

                                            They have 4 games left at most

                                            You wanna make $$$ so today you lay 60k on the chalk, in elite 8 you'd lay 60k on the chalk, final 4 you'd lay 60k, etc you win 10k if they win it all, you'd wind 30k or so if they lose...you can't lose here
                                            Most people don’t have that cash flow laying around assuming he did yah you always hedge
                                            Comment
                                            • pologq
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-07-12
                                              • 19899

                                              #23
                                              for 50 i would not hedge now. earliest final 4 and see what the odds are.
                                              Comment
                                              • ace7550
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-08-15
                                                • 3729

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                This ticket is currently worth about 15k. If you don't hedge you are betting 15k on Loyola Chicago.
                                                I would bet somewhere in the neighborhood of 10k on Oregon St. If Oregon St. wins you get 25k. If they lose you have a ticket worth somewhere in the 40k range.
                                                Never let such a great future bet go to waste.
                                                Comment
                                                • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-15-10
                                                  • 7719

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Ian
                                                  No. Hedging crushes your own odds. If you can't take the sweat of a longshot then don't make the bet in the first place.

                                                  Beyond that, it's especially counterproductive to hedge the bet now when Loyola is a 3: 1 favorite to advance to the next round. At least wait until they're a dog or smaller favorite to do it.
                                                  +100
                                                  Comment
                                                  • manny24
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-22-07
                                                    • 20046

                                                    #26
                                                    fukkin Ace kid sharp as a tack
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Doug tushyterror
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-03-12
                                                      • 4172

                                                      #27
                                                      Hate to jinx it but totally forgot about the propswap angle. Based on my rather tenuous job situation, I wouldn't be opposed to selling these for 40 cents on the dollar ($92.2K) on April 6 if that's still an option.
                                                      Last edited by Doug tushyterror; 03-27-21, 01:24 PM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mikmik
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 05-13-12
                                                        • 5457

                                                        #28
                                                        That’s 2k ml bet on Oregon st looks good now
                                                        Comment
                                                        • johnnyvegas13
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 05-21-15
                                                          • 27851

                                                          #29
                                                          Is it too late to hedge ???
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TheMoneyShot
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 02-14-07
                                                            • 28672

                                                            #30
                                                            Never understood the philosophy of letting a $50.00 ride??? The point is trying to make a return on the initial wager... Yes... you start hedging.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Sam Odom
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-30-05
                                                              • 58063

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Sam Odom


                                                              $100.00 on State +7

                                                              Comment
                                                              • mrpapageorgio
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-07-17
                                                                • 2974

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by d2bets
                                                                Seriously? For 50 bucks? At that amount, I'd rather just say I let it ride.
                                                                Why not? You get your bet back if they lose and if they win you’re not out much, preserve your bank when you have a chance.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mikmik
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-13-12
                                                                  • 5457

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Dumb
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Sam Odom
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-30-05
                                                                    • 58063

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Lock up State +7

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Black Coffee
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-04-19
                                                                      • 1187

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Yep
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...