England Premier League 1.26.21

[carolinakid]

1st up for me today will be in the soccer..In the New Castle match i will use BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE-170 FOR 2** glta (ck)

[big joe 1212]

I hope you’re right because I wagered on the over

Good luck

[JayLA]

do you usually lay that juice ck?

[carolinakid]

yes i like the over in this one too, but decided on both teams to score .........gl with your over today (ck)

[carolinakid]

every once in a while when it goes with my stats Jay, you know what they say, it take money to make money...

[JayLA]

every once in a while when it goes with my stats Jay, you know what they say, it take money to make money...

i heard that

[carolinakid]

but if you gamble on the fights and soccer, it will be times when you have to lay some juice imo.....

[JayLA]

but if you gamble on the fights and soccer, it will be times when you have to lay some juice imo.....

yea oif course bud, i am laying more juice these days.
Did my own little "research" I'm tailin ya brother. Let's get it

[carolinakid]

bol Jay let try to get this one in the 1st half............

[JayLA]

ck can you believe my bitch book doesn't have BTTS only?

i'm going to see if it's in another section but do you think leeds wins AND BTTS?

[carolinakid]

i have a small lean to leeds, if you are using Heritage it is in soccer plus

[JayLA]

i have a small lean to leeds, if you are using Heritage it is in soccer plus

im overseas, cant use US books unless its credit or colombian books

[cincinnatikid513]

both are def overdue for some goals newcastle 0 goals last 4 games played leeds 0 games last 3 games

[JayLA]

both are def overdue for some goals newcastle 0 goals last 4 games played leeds 0 games last 3 games

What goes down must come up...lol gamblers fallacy I know

Defenses suck, offense motivated to score

[big joe 1212]

Too bad you didn’t bet this on the Crystal Palace game. 1-1 after 9 minutes

[JayLA]

those BTTS odds changed REAL quick

[JayLA]

Too bad you didn’t bet this on the Crystal Palace game. 1-1 after 9 minutes

that's the one we should have hit

[carolinakid]

1-0 Leeds in the 17th min

[JayLA]

live odds staying strong on this game opening up

[carolinakid]

Leeds 1-0 at the half.............

[Seth]

Haven’t done much soccer betting. What is generally a good ratio of shot attempts to goals scored if betting an over? I’m guessing 10:1 is not too great but is there a standard?

Might be a dumb question as I’m sure most just wait for the ball to go past the keeper and the number on the scoreboard to increase. I do the same.

[JayLA]

Haven’t done much soccer betting. What is generally a good ratio of shot attempts to goals scored if betting an over? I’m guessing 10:1 is not too great but is there a standard?

Might be a dumb question as I’m sure most just wait for the ball to go past the keeper and the number on the scoreboard to increase. I do the same.

I could go into much more detail but

10 shot for newcastle , 1 on target and 9 off
7 for leeds, 1 on 6 off

7 corners....

And just the pace back and forth i guess. at this point of games forcasted to go under, the live lines wouldn't be like they are now.

that doesnt mea it'll go over but i think books do think there could be at least 1 or even 2 more goals

[JayLA]

There's the Newcastle goal!

[Seth]

Appreciate that explanation, thanks.

[carolinakid]

ok 1-1 in the 58 min (ck)

[Seth]

Congrats to poster for hitting his bet! Now let’s get more scoring! I’ve got over since my book didn’t offer BTTS

[JayLA]

2-1 leeds up OOOOOHHHH Shiiiieeeeeeeeeeeeet

[carolinakid]

2-1 Leeds

[Seth]

Wow Jay you were spot on. Well done interpreting the live lines!

[JayLA]

Wow Jay you were spot on. Well done interpreting the live lines!

thanks, i have my moments

to be honest i've dedicated a lot of my sports betting studying time to studying lines and what books offer us.. since im not a math guy and dont have the time to model stats, i try to see what they're doing

[JayLA]

im thnking there's still another one here and the magpies might tie, which would cut into my winnings for BTTS+o2.5

[JayLA]

Wow Jay you were spot on. Well done interpreting the live lines!

seth if you're still reading this

b365 is hanging up a 65.00 3 way win and a 6.00 3 way draw....thats an abnormal difference with less than 10 minutes into the match final

[Seth]

Oh yea for sure the difference is huge, but can you explain what it would be "normally" given that scenario? Or what that leads you to believe? Is getting +500 with ten minutes to go there for Newcastle to tie it up a good price in your opinion?

I'm not on b365 as I don't think US players can wager there, but I've heard thats the best one.

[JayLA]

Oh yea for sure the difference is huge, but can you explain what it would be "normally" given that scenario? Or what that leads you to believe? Is getting +500 with ten minutes to go there for Newcastle to tie it up a good price in your opinion?

I'm not on b365 as I don't think US players can wager there, but I've heard thats the best one.

i believe that if it hadnt been for the pace of the game , with 10 minutes left, the 3 way draw should have been much higher than 6.00

who knows though bro, if i were you i'd focus on pre match stats, trends, model, math and not depend on LIVE wagering where the books have full advantage