I think you were on the right track but went too fast
if you cap 20 games a week and try to randomly pick 11 winners in a row, THAT IS HARD
if you cap 2000 games a year and try to randomly pick 11 of your winners, that is a bit easier
if you cap 20 games a week and try to randomly pick 11 winners in a row, THAT IS HARD
if you cap 2000 games a year and try to randomly pick 11 of your winners, that is a bit easier

now it’s -4.5 full juice.
Can't disagree, W/God's Plan/ Messenger.