Rams -2.5 -115
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Browns/Titans O53 -105 (2x)
you have two of the best rushing attacks in the league matching up in this one. on the Browns side you have the #9 most efficient rushing offense in the league and #3 most explosive, led by the quietly dominant Nick Chubb. this dude has terrorized the league since he broke out in the second half of his rookie campaign. in fact he leads the league in yards per carry since the beginning of the 2018 season and is first overall this year by a wide margin. he's on pace to become just the third running back since 1980 to finish the season with at least 100rushing yards per game and over 6ypc. on the Titans side of the ball you have the #3 most efficient rushing offense and #8 most explosive, though they have had one of the tougher schedules facing some of the top opposing rush defenses this season. Derrick Henry is a straight up MONSTER. this dude is the unanimous head honcho top of the food chain running back. he leads all backs in attempts, rushing yards and yards per game. the whole Titans offense is designed around him and we've seen offensive coordinator Arthur Smith do a fantastic job with play calling & designing concepts to his team's strengths. not only do I think both of these running backs will find success in this game, but I think the play action to counter the run is where we'll see a lot of big splash plays. both of these teams utilize the play action WAY more then average. look for both squads to stick to their identity with jamming the ball down your throat then kill you over the top when you commit to stacking the box.
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I like to run thru Walmart parking lot like the top gifComment -
Damon Jackson +230 (0.5x)
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Jack Hermansson +110 (0.5x)
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This clown back to talking to himself again 🤡Comment -
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Villanova PK -115 (0.5x)Comment -
player prop: KeeSean Johnson over 14.5 receiving yards -107 (0.25x)
no Fitz still & Ramsey will match up with Hopkins. Rams have one of the best secondaries in the league and I think a lot of looks will open up for other Cardinals receivers to step up. KeeSean only got 1 target last game but was one of the hottest players coming out of training camp before the season & showed flashes of a bright young prospect last year. he has a chance to get involved more this week.
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player prop: Austin Ekeler over 39.5 receiving yards -114 (0.25x)
one of the best dual threats in the league came right back into form last week after his stint on the injured reserve. he caught 11 balls for 85 yards on 16 targets. he has played well with Herbert this season surpassing this number in all but one of their four games together. I like that connection to continue here.
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Good stuff sosaComment -
6pt teaser: Seahawks -4 & Packers -2 -110 (0.75x)Comment -
California +10 -110 (0.5x)Comment -
Seahawks were terrible today DAMNComment -
What’s good SosaComment -
Raiders +3 -110Comment -
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Tony Ferguson -150
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Tony/Fig parlay +115
Tony ITD/Fig ITD parlay +250 (0.5x)Comment -
Nevada PK -110 (0.5x)Comment -
Bills -1.5 -110
this will be the Steelers biggest test of the season. they have had one of the easier schedules thus far in the league. lets look at the teams and quarterbacks they have faced: Giants- Jones, Broncos - Driskel, Texans - Watson, Eagles - Wentz, Browns - Mayfield, Titans - Tannehill, Ravens - Lamar, Cowboys -Gilbert, Bengals - Burrow, Jaguars - Luton
all QBS highlighted in red are lower tier as far as efficiency goes
the two in green Watson & Tannehill are considered upper tier & both held their own against this vulnerable Steelers secondary:
-Watson: 19/27 264 yards 2TD & 110.7 rating
-Tannehill: 18/30 220 yards 2TD & 104.9 rating
I left Alex smith off that list but I'd like to go into why I think WFT found success and why they won that game last week. if you remember WFT was down 14-3 at halftime and then they went on to complete the comeback in the second half. how did that happen? they PASSED the ball more often on early downs. they were forced to but that should have been the gameplan all along. too many teams have made the mistake of trying to run against this tough Steelers front and not decide to just pass more often and expose that secondary.
but thats exactly what I think will happen when they matchup with Brian Daboll's #4 ranked offense this Sunday night. they are a pass heavy unit, extremely creative with play calling and I think Josh Allen has what it takes to win big games like this especially at home.
on top of that Steelers are nursing quite a few injuries especially with their linebacker core which I think will hurt them this game. they are extremely reliant on their linebackers in coverage and it will be nearly impossible for them to keep up with the attack of the Bills offense.
this Bills team is on fire. they have really turned the corner dating back to last year when Daboll took over play calling from the booth. Mcdermott is a fine head coach as well. I think this is a pivotal game for a team with a sneaky chance to do damage in the playoffs.
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U really like bills here
i was leaning steelersComment -
Cardinals/Giants U47 -115 (0.25x)Comment -
6pt teaser: Bucs PK & Chiefs -1 -110Comment -
rough sledding on the fights last night
Tony got murked, never thought I'd see it
a SPECTACULAR EVENT nonetheless
ready for some footballComment -
player prop: Justin Jefferson over 75.5 receiving yards -114 (0.25x)
this Bucs secondary has been absolutely torched the past few weeks. Tyreek went for 270 yards in a career game and the week prior Woods/Kupp combined for 274 yards themselves. now Jamel dean is out and the Bucs front line will look to stifle Dalvin Cook all game which will open up the middle of the field where Jefferson shines. I think his speed will be too much for these defensive backs and I expect him to go CRAZY in what should be a high scoring game.
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Richmond +7.5 -110 (0.5x)Comment -
Ohio +3 -110 (0.5x)Comment -
Vikings +7 -110 (0.25x)
small hedge on the teaser and potential middle opportunity with a key numberComment -
GL sosaComment -
Bills TT O24.5 -120 (0.5x)
already on Bills tonight gonna add on the team total as wellComment
