It works the other way....if you are +6.5 why would you buy to +7 instead of +7.5. Makes no sense to buy for a push. If you’re gonna buy....do it right is all I’m saying but I don’t do much of that anyway.
Comment
clockwise1965
SBR Hall of Famer
10-01-13
6753
#178
Inreal
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Mike Huntertz
SBR Posting Legend
08-19-09
11244
#179
Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
just curious after that ending as i didn't have action on the game and just watched it for some entertainment
what was sea spread leading up to kickoff ? did it pass -6
i was doing some cyber monday shopping hour before game
+6.5 at game time, I took it!
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mr. leisure
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-08
17507
#180
Originally posted by Mike Huntertz
+6.5 at game time, I took it!
Cheers Mike
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MarkMakers
SBR High Roller
11-17-19
182
#181
Welp, that -6.5 just wiped out a 4 day winning streak.
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11725
#182
Books could've should've got middled there? If you have Sea -6.5 then you're a casual amateur. WHich is fine, but you don't get to bitch when you don't play the game right. It was -5.5 all week. Thats like hitting on 17 in blackjack then bitching when u bust
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Eddy Munny
Benched
08-13-13
15769
#183
Originally posted by ArunSh
It's quite common to go for two when you are down two TDs, it's the right % play since if made then you score another TD, extra point wins game. While if you miss, you can still go for two again to tie it.
Again, I think by the odds going for two in that scenario is the right mathematical play.
Yeah, you basically would have to go 0/2 on two yard plays for it to bite you in the ass, and chances are you can get two yards, ideally on the first attempt, or second if you have to get back to even.
The more curious call was forgoing the field goal (down by 11) when it was 4th and 4.
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QuantumLeap
SBR Hall of Famer
08-22-08
6902
#184
Originally posted by Mike Huntertz
+6.5 at game time, I took it!
Me too Mike. Smoke 'em if ya got 'em!
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Enikk
SBR MVP
09-09-20
1287
#185
Smart call to keep the boo birds just a little quieter during the week. Not much quieter but at least happy they cashed their ticket.
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Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11725
#186
Home dogs have to be big time profitable this season? 6-2 ATS this week and nobody rational would've taken Denver or the Jets
Comment
Mike Huntertz
SBR Posting Legend
08-19-09
11244
#187
Originally posted by mr. leisure
Cheers Mike
Same to you leis.
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Mike Huntertz
SBR Posting Legend
08-19-09
11244
#188
Originally posted by QuantumLeap
Me too Mike. Smoke 'em if ya got 'em!
Way to go, eh?
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Altuve Cedeno
SBR High Roller
11-24-17
210
#189
Originally posted by vitterd
Many teams are going for 2 when down by two td’s late. I’ve seen it a bunch of times. They say it’s analytics.
Another of those dopey millennial moves that is so penetrating stupid it makes you wonder why somebody doesn’t tell them to stick their analytics and shove them up their ass. The move where you’re down 9 and go for two instead of making it a 1 score game really pisses me off
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HEINEKENCOC
SBR Rookie
11-24-20
6
#190
Unfuckingbelievable. I’m done betting on sports games
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thomorino
Restricted User
06-01-17
46053
#191
Just dumb to go for 2, if you don’t get it your momentum gets finished
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SimpleJack
SBR Wise Guy
09-26-20
537
#192
Originally posted by thomorino
Just dumb to go for 2, if you don’t get it your momentum gets finished
Analytics say go for 2 down 8 late. Decision tree has it at 62.5 chance to win vs. 50 if you kick. (Assuming you score again)
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UncleChael
SBR MVP
10-30-13
3979
#193
Anyone that knows simple math.. knows they had to go for the two point conversion. Crazy.
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JIBBBY
SBR Aristocracy
12-10-09
83479
#194
Philly didn't care anymore and just went for more points.. They knew they were gonna lose the game with just a few seconds on the clock.
I get it.. Killed the spread for many though with that 2 point conversion. Shit happens for us that had the Hawks -6.5..
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Enkhbat
SBR MVP
04-18-11
3175
#195
Someone actually lost 500,000 dollars on Seahawks -6.5
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ThaWoj
SBR Hall of Famer
03-09-10
6779
#196
Teams have been doing it all year if you go back and look at teams down 14 late who score almost all go for 2. This is probably the 1st where it's been happening on a regular basis.
I had +7.5 and I knew they were gonna do it when they scored I'm just lucky they made it..
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388208
#197
Books cleaned up
Comment
gauchojake
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
09-17-10
34144
#198
This is why I love the NFL
Comment
pavyracer
SBR Aristocracy
04-12-07
82700
#199
Originally posted by jjgold
Books cleaned up
How was that? The books got middled. The line opened- -4.5 and only hit -6.5 hours before the game. Lots of pushes and a lot of people betting both sides for the middle.