Can't bet smart with a high balance(case in point)..Novak +1.5 sets $6470 to $1000

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  • Doug tushyterror
    SBR MVP
    • 07-03-12
    • 4172

    #1
    Can't bet smart with a high balance(case in point)..Novak +1.5 sets $6470 to $1000
    If Djocovid goes into tank mode yet again, I'm fuukked. Even if this hits, hard to see Med losing to Diego but it's worth a shot since it's a dead rubber & he's playing Rafa the next day. So desperate to get to $14K I might go from 10,750 in one day down to 2687.
  • biggie12
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-30-05
    • 13792

    #2
    Doug this strategy is soo bad i think you want to lose money bud. You'd be better off arbitrage betting for 2%-3% of wagers that size you will be far ahead.
    Comment
    • biggie12
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-30-05
      • 13792

      #3
      e.g u can get djokovich -260 betago and zverev +275 marathonbet
      Comment
      • pologq
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-07-12
        • 19899

        #4
        i kind of agree. i think doug wants to lose sorry to say.
        Comment
        • Doug tushyterror
          SBR MVP
          • 07-03-12
          • 4172

          #5
          Originally posted by biggie12
          e.g u can get djokovich -260 betago and zverev +275 marathonbet
          That nickel & dime shit gets me nowhere biggie. I'm definitely forcing plays to try win a quick $4K but wager size aside Novak way less riskier on the set HC than the ML.
          Comment
          • Doug tushyterror
            SBR MVP
            • 07-03-12
            • 4172

            #6
            Originally posted by pologq
            i kind of agree. i think doug wants to lose sorry to say.
            Seriously P. that's just not the case, if this was the last of my money including bank account balances I would never make this bet. There's a certain freedom in stepping out occasionally like this knowing I have the safety net of reloading winnings I already cashed out if shit hits the fan & I go bust.
            Comment
            • ThaWoj
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-09-10
              • 6764

              #7
              Dam I'm on medvedev to win 2-0. Was gonna play zverev to win straight up as well. I guess one of us will be right. gl dude
              Comment
              • Doug tushyterror
                SBR MVP
                • 07-03-12
                • 4172

                #8
                Originally posted by ThaWoj
                Dam I'm on medvedev to win 2-0. Was gonna play zverev to win straight up as well. I guess one of us will be right. gl dude
                Thanks bro, got no problem with Med. winning 2-0 which he should do if he's motivated, just not AZ for the sake of my BR.
                Comment
                • biggie12
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-30-05
                  • 13792

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                  That nickel & dime shit gets me nowhere biggie. I'm definitely forcing plays to try win a quick $4K but wager size aside Novak way less riskier on the set HC than the ML.
                  you can make 20-25k a year no risk. Instead your rolling over 100 thousand a month and being lucky to break even.
                  Comment
                  • SamsNCharge99
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-22-08
                    • 41242

                    #10
                    Medvedev plays semis against Nadal tomorrow at 9am, so he has less than 24 hours from todays match to tomorrow

                    could see Diego winning today if Med doesn't care
                    Comment
                    • pologq
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-07-12
                      • 19899

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                      Seriously P. that's just not the case, if this was the last of my money including bank account balances I would never make this bet. There's a certain freedom in stepping out occasionally like this knowing I have the safety net of reloading winnings I already cashed out if shit hits the fan & I go bust.
                      as long as you have a plan
                      Comment
                      • biggie12
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-30-05
                        • 13792

                        #12
                        Originally posted by pologq
                        as long as you have a plan
                        Not trying to be a downer or asshole but if his br is around 50k. Betting like he does he should be broke by around May and thats being generous.
                        Comment
                        • Doug tushyterror
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-03-12
                          • 4172

                          #13
                          Originally posted by biggie12
                          Not trying to be a downer or asshole but if his br is around 50k. Betting like he does he should be broke by around May and thats being generous.
                          I definitely can't argue with you. Last wk. I was down to 5200 after losing 1800 on a a literally 1 minute mini blackjack bender. Bet the 5200 to win 2000 on P. Gunneswaran live after the 2nd set. If he didn't come back from down 1-5 in the 3rd set TB I would've went bust.
                          Comment
                          • Doug tushyterror
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-03-12
                            • 4172

                            #14
                            Its about that time. Gonna do what I normally do with large wagers, DVR the match & check the result 3 hours later. Only other thing I'm kind of worried about is if AZ retires during the match if Novak is up a set & a break or whatever will that void the bet which I'm assuming it will. Hopefully shouldn't be an issue with him cuz he hasn't done so since 2014.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              THis guy a fukkin wold gambler
                              Comment
                              • biggie12
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-30-05
                                • 13792

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                                Its about that time. Gonna do what I normally do with large wagers, DVR the match & check the result 3 hours later. Only other thing I'm kind of worried about is if AZ retires during the match if Novak is up a set & a break or whatever will that void the bet which I'm assuming it will. Hopefully shouldn't be an issue with him cuz he hasn't done so since 2014.
                                u can check the results in a about 10 more minutes.. got this slow down now cowboy with the nonsense betting
                                Comment
                                • SamsNCharge99
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-22-08
                                  • 41242

                                  #17
                                  winner
                                  Comment
                                  • Otters27
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 07-14-07
                                    • 30760

                                    #18
                                    Doug free bet on Schwartz. Good luck
                                    Comment
                                    • Doug tushyterror
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-03-12
                                      • 4172

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Otters27
                                      Doug free bet on Schwartz. Good luck
                                      Indeed Otters..just checked the score got nervous for a sec. seeing it went 2 sets until I realized ND won. Like you said this turns Diego into a freeroll which I could hedge on Med. to insure a profit but I'm gonna let it ride. Only way I could get it to $14K is leaving it alone so hopefully when I wake up in 7hrs I could cash out $4K today.
                                      Comment
                                      • HAPPY BOY
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-10-05
                                        • 7109

                                        #20
                                        my cousin was never a happy gambler.. Guy would be mad when he won cause he shoulda bet more, then he was content when he loss cause he did not lose more...CRAZY SHIT the mind of some gamblers.
                                        Comment
                                        • Doug tushyterror
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-03-12
                                          • 4172

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by HAPPY BOY
                                          my cousin was never a happy gambler.. Guy would be mad when he won cause he shoulda bet more, then he was content when he loss cause he did not lose more...CRAZY SHIT the mind of some gamblers.
                                          I'm just content when I cash out. Until then whatever my balance is, it's just numbers on a screen.
                                          Comment
                                          • SamsNCharge99
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-22-08
                                            • 41242

                                            #22
                                            broke even
                                            Comment
                                            • Gaze73
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-27-14
                                              • 3291

                                              #23
                                              Why did sharps bet on Schwartzman today? He's trash. I guess people were expecting Medvedev to save his strength for semi-finals?
                                              Comment
                                              • kelly@Vegas
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 01-06-20
                                                • 193

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Gaze73
                                                Why did sharps bet on Schwartzman today? He's trash. I guess people were expecting Medvedev to save his strength for semi-finals?
                                                Literally the only angle if u played him
                                                Comment
                                                • lonegambler23
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 06-22-16
                                                  • 9760

                                                  #25
                                                  need another douggy bomber
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388179

                                                    #26
                                                    This guy going to get trapped
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Doug tushyterror
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-03-12
                                                      • 4172

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                                                      broke even
                                                      Should've been more forward thinking. I'd say I hope Nadal smokes him tomorrow but he won't. Now that I think about it I should've used that 1K freeroll instead on Med @ +256 to win the tourny which I liked after he beat Novak but I was too eager to win that 4K today instead of playing the long game & waiting till Sun.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Doug tushyterror
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-03-12
                                                        • 4172

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Gaze73
                                                        Why did sharps bet on Schwartzman today? He's trash. I guess people were expecting Medvedev to save his strength for semi-finals?
                                                        Same dead rubber angle sharps bet on Rublev yesterday except Med wasn't not gonna go full tilt against someone he has a beef with unlike Thiem who's good friends with Rublev.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Doug tushyterror
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-03-12
                                                          • 4172

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by lonegambler23
                                                          need another douggy bomber
                                                          Looking to go big on Med. tomorrow @ -133 against Rafa (apx $2K, just looking for another solid play to offset that -133, thinking Thiem @ +134 but undecided for now.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Vyasports
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-27-19
                                                            • 4946

                                                            #30
                                                            Doug how are you today buddy?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SamsNCharge99
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-22-08
                                                              • 41242

                                                              #31
                                                              I have futures on nadal
                                                              Comment
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