Monday Plays?? Vikings And Auto ML Play

Snowball · 11-16-20, 07:55 AM

Yes -2.5, -3.

Da Manster! · 11-16-20, 07:59 AM

I'm laying off...Arizona (+3.5) on Thursday night...

pologq · 11-16-20, 08:03 AM

love minny. means nothing cause i loved the eagles and took it up the ass.

mikmik · 11-16-20, 08:04 AM

Yea agree on minny, going with the better qb.

The General · 11-16-20, 02:30 PM

lopsided on Bears here mainly because of Horseshoe up in NW Indiana

JIBBBY · 11-16-20, 02:32 PM

Vikings the hotter team going in. Bears are in a free fall right now. Always go with the hotter team.

Vikings it is!!!

KVB · 11-16-20, 02:40 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

...Always go with the hotter team...

Prove it.

Can you?

veriableodds · 11-16-20, 02:45 PM

no edge as far as computer goes. Betting on emotional factors, due factors, trends, all lead down the gutter

JIBBBY · 11-16-20, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Prove it.

Can you?

Prove what? It's just how I cap and bet sports, I go with what's trending. It usually works out for me on the grind over time.

KVB · 11-16-20, 03:05 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Prove what? It's just how I cap and bet sports, I go with what's trending. It usually works out for me on the grind over time.

If it's how you cap and bet sports then you can prove it easily without revealing anything.

So prove it.

KVB · 11-16-20, 03:07 PM

Jibbs, do you get what I'm asking?

Do you get why I'm asking?

It's acutally an excellent teaching point for sports betting. That's what I'm aiming at here.

We all know you are a streak rider and like the hot teams, I was just asking you to show it's success or why.

Can you?

JIBBBY · 11-16-20, 03:08 PM

Originally posted by KVB

If it's how you cap and bet sports then you can prove it easily without revealing anything.

So prove it.

Relax KVB and just sit back and watch the Vikings win the game tonight..

SamsNCharge99 · 11-16-20, 03:08 PM

Cousins 0-9 on MNF

bears 5-4 could be 2-7

line seems right. ON vikings

KVB · 11-16-20, 03:12 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Relax KVB and just sit back and watch the Vikings win the game tonight...

lol.

Jiibs, let's pretend you had nothing in front of you, how would you go about showing it? I'm going to help you, like I said, there's a broader teaching point here.

What do you define as "a hot team"?

What if two hot teams face each other? Do you pass?

KVB · 11-16-20, 03:13 PM

Originally posted by SamsNCharge99

Cousins 0-9 on MNF...

That is just brutal.

BIGDAY · 11-16-20, 03:18 PM

Skol should cash.

JIBBBY · 11-16-20, 03:18 PM

Originally posted by KVB

lol.

Jiibs, let's pretend you had nothing in front of you, how would you go about showing it? I'm going to help you, like I said, there's a broader teaching point here.

What do you define as "a hot team"?

What if two hot teams face each other? Do you pass?

Ok KVB you're gonna make me work in this post. Who's hot and who's not? Bears have lost 3 games in a row, Vikings have won 2 straight now coming off the bye. Vikings the hotter team going into tonight's game. Neither team faced garbage teams either in both streaks.

With empty stadiums I see no real home field advantage either in these games.

Bears last 3 games.

10/26	@	LA Rams	L	24 - 10
11/1	vs	New Orleans	L	26 - 23
11/8	@	Tennessee	L	24 - 17

11/16	vs	Minnesota

5:15 PM PST
ESPN

Vikings last 3 games -

10/18	vs	Atlanta	L	40 - 23
		Bye Week
11/1	@	Green Bay	W	28 - 22
11/8	vs	Detroit	W	34 - 20

11/16	@	Chicago

5:15 PM PST
ESPN

JIBBBY · 11-16-20, 03:21 PM

Originally posted by SamsNCharge99

Cousins 0-9 on MNF

bears 5-4 could be 2-7

line seems right. ON vikings

Vikings have been running the ball lately, Cousins probably won't have to do much tonight. Vikings have been a run heavy team in their last 2 wins.

asiagambler · 11-16-20, 03:24 PM

Nagy is finally handing off playcalling duties to Bill Lazer. I don't know if that's good or bad for Bears

KVB · 11-16-20, 03:25 PM

Right on Jibbs.

You are win/loss to define hot. Sounds good. You are even considering SOS in the mix to a degree.

Are you going moneyline or did factor (even if just a subjective look, doesn't have to be numbers and math) a spread bet in there?

KVB · 11-16-20, 03:27 PM

I can tell you this much, I see Vikes -3.5 all over and I have every reason to believe that line will move to 4.

Doesn't mean it won't go back down, but I think we see 4 in most places soon, I think.

asiagambler · 11-16-20, 03:27 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Vikings have been running the ball lately, Cousins probably won't have to do much tonight. Vikings have been a run heavy team in their last 2 wins.

Bears have one of the best run defenses in the NFL

KVB · 11-16-20, 03:38 PM

Jibbs?

Curiously, have you been buying pittsburgh steelers in recent weeks? How about against JAX this week?

JIBBBY · 11-16-20, 03:49 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Jibbs?

Curiously, have you been buying pittsburgh steelers in recent weeks? How about against JAX this week?

I've been riding the Steelers in every game since week 2 if I remember correctly. Steelers have been an auto play for me now.

KVB · 11-16-20, 03:52 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

I've been riding the Steelers in every game since week 2 if I remember correctly. Steelers have been an auto play for me now.

You've been winning too, they're like 6-1 ATS since week 2 I think.

BigdaddyQH · 11-16-20, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by KVB

That is just brutal.

Almost as brutal as the butt kicking you are going to receive, Mr. Chickens**t. F**king coward.

Orbison · 11-16-20, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

Nagy is finally handing off playcalling duties to Bill Lazer. I don't know if that's good or bad for Bears

yeah i'm not sure what to make of that either, i do know the Bears typically own the Vikes in Chicago though

jjgold · 11-16-20, 04:24 PM

Pound Minnesota into your rooster falls off

veriableodds · 11-16-20, 04:26 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Pound Minnesota into your rooster falls off

promoting no value betting

CanuckG · 11-16-20, 05:09 PM

Bears look like the trap of the day

Cousins 0-9 MNF, 3-5 record, money is coming in on Bears at every book (home dogs killing it this year) and yet line moving the other way. Identical to Colts/Titans game.

HockeyRocks · 11-16-20, 05:17 PM

bears

pinnacle420 · 11-16-20, 05:22 PM

The bears at home have looked pretty damn good this season!!! And cousins is maybe the worst quarterback to ever play on a Monday night game!! The bears at home + cousins being an awful MNF leader I think it’s a no brainer on this one!!! And I like the bears +3.5 and ML +160 and with the same numbers and theory’s you would have to snag the under 44 here too being a cold windy night in the chi-town!!

leggggggooooo bears!!!

johnnyvegas13 · 11-16-20, 05:22 PM

Originally posted by pinnacle420

The bears at home have looked pretty damn good this season!!! And cousins is maybe the worst quarterback to ever play on a Monday night game!! The bears at home + cousins being an awful MNF leader I think it’s a no brainer on this one!!! And I like the bears +3.5 and ML +160 and with the same numbers and theory’s you would have to snag the under 44 here too being a cold windy night in the chi-town!!

leggggggooooo bears!!!

Nice write up

KVB · 11-16-20, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by CanuckG

Bears look like the trap of the day

Cousins 0-9 MNF, 3-5 record, money is coming in on Bears at every book (home dogs killing it this year) and yet line moving the other way. Identical to Colts/Titans game.

Home Dogs at the close are 29-24 this year against the spread and hitting 30% at 16-37 on the moneyline.

Buying every home dog on the spread this season with the same unit would yield about +2.5 units while doing the same on the home dog moneyline would yield about -10 units.