If You Have Maxed Out on Trump Bets at Your Book Do This

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  • pavyracer
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-12-07
    • 82839

    #1
    If You Have Maxed Out on Trump Bets at Your Book Do This
    Bet on Trump to win Pennsylvania at similar odds +175 to +185.

    I have run 1000 simulations and there is no victory path to Trump without winning Pennsylvania.
  • pilebuck13
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-15-15
    • 17918

    #2
    Wow you should be a CNN reporter they would love you I don’t think people realize that covid has only made Trump stronger all these rules and restrictions are effecting people’s lives all the moms trying to homeschool their kids right now. Jay inslee in my state of Washington I have never heard so many votes for Republicans challenger and this all from die hard liberals people are over the lock downs
    Comment
    • Shutup
      SBR MVP
      • 12-15-17
      • 2435

      #3
      Simulations?
      lol
      Comment
      • pilebuck13
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-15-15
        • 17918

        #4
        What the polls fail to ignore is most people registered as democrats years ago are no longer voting for democrats I have never seen a shift from blue collar to vote republican if Trump gets more minorities then last time it won’t be close
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94379

          #5
          Have trump+190. He will win pa
          Comment
          • lakerboy
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-02-09
            • 94379

            #6
            Originally posted by pilebuck13
            What the polls fail to ignore is most people registered as democrats years ago are no longer voting for democrats I have never seen a shift from blue collar to vote republican if Trump gets more minorities then last time it won’t be close
            Immigrants that succeed in western society originally vote for liberals. Then when they see the great possiblity of free societies and possible riches they eventually support conservative agendas and parties.
            Comment
            • pilebuck13
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-15-15
              • 17918

              #7
              Democrats have always thrived on the blue collar vote unions as well I’m on a huge union job ironworkers operators laborers carpenters they all voting for Trump the polls tell us nothing get out talk to people
              Comment
              • pilebuck13
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-15-15
                • 17918

                #8
                Originally posted by lakerboy
                Immigrants that succeed in western society originally vote for liberals. Then when they see the great possiblity of free societies and possible riches they eventually support conservative agendas and parties.
                Most are afraid of socialism they are not stupid they have seen it before. Am I afraid of trump ending unions? No am I afraid I’ll lose my union healthcare and be on some shitttt Socialist healthcare yes .
                Comment
                • ChiLLx
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-24-11
                  • 5412

                  #9
                  "1000 simulations" thanks for this effort
                  Comment
                  • Shutup
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-15-17
                    • 2435

                    #10
                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                    Immigrants that succeed in western society originally vote for liberals. Then when they see the great possiblity of free societies and possible riches they eventually support conservative agendas and parties.
                    Congrats too them. Most don't 70% of legal immigrants vote democrat
                    Demographics matter
                    'Democrats know it as much as anyone which is why they love all immigration
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388179

                      #11
                      You got to be careful about PA because it’s going to be cheating seven days after the election you can count votes and the signatures don’t have to match it’s a disgrace
                      Comment
                      • jacksonstreet
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 10-19-20
                        • 182

                        #12
                        Originally posted by pavyracer
                        Bet on Trump to win Pennsylvania at similar odds +175 to +185.

                        I have run 1000 simulations and there is no victory path to Trump without winning Pennsylvania.
                        LOL, please explain more about these 'simulations'
                        Comment
                        • clockwise1965
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-01-13
                          • 6753

                          #13
                          Trump 2020. That's all the people need to know.
                          Comment
                          • lakerboy
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-02-09
                            • 94379

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Shutup
                            Congrats too them. Most don't 70% of legal immigrants vote democrat
                            Demographics matter
                            'Democrats know it as much as anyone which is why they love all immigration
                            Sorry I'm Canadian. I was just using what happens up here. Immigrants in the usa think they owe a lifelong apology to the democratic party.
                            Comment
                            • King Mayan
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-22-10
                              • 21326

                              #15
                              Originally posted by pilebuck13
                              Democrats have always thrived on the blue collar vote unions as well I’m on a huge union job ironworkers operators laborers carpenters they all voting for Trump the polls tell us nothing get out talk to people
                              Union members voting for trump must be the stupidest shit I’ve ever seen.

                              His Supreme Court already tore down one of the union pillars in 2017.

                              Comment
                              • pilebuck13
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 05-15-15
                                • 17918

                                #16
                                Originally posted by King Mayan
                                Union members voting for trump must be the stupidest shit I’ve ever seen.

                                His Supreme Court already tore down one of the union pillars in 2017.

                                King imbecile I’m simply stating the facts oh yah just like trump was going to get rid of unions first time he won and nothing happened
                                Comment
                                • Thor4140
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-09-08
                                  • 22296

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                  King imbecile I’m simply stating the facts oh yah just like trump was going to get rid of unions first time he won and nothing happened
                                  He put in over 200 anti union judges u ignorant fuk. I hope i can get out in time to watch you suffer for your ignorance
                                  Comment
                                  • Kermit
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 09-27-10
                                    • 32555

                                    #18
                                    I live in western Pa, I don't see how he is going to lose this state. I'm seeing Trump support here like I've never seen before.
                                    Comment
                                    • pilebuck13
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 05-15-15
                                      • 17918

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Kermit
                                      I live in western Pa, I don't see how he is going to lose this state. I'm seeing Trump support like I've never seen before.
                                      Exactly speak to the men on the ground not listen to the media
                                      Comment
                                      • Thor4140
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-09-08
                                        • 22296

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by King Mayan
                                        Union members voting for trump must be the stupidest shit I’ve ever seen.

                                        His Supreme Court already tore down one of the union pillars in 2017.

                                        this piece of shit president has stiffed more union workers in the East than anyone alive yet this idiot is okay with it. That same health care he is afraid of is the same healthcare that saved this piece of shits life. Same healthcare this ignorant fools senators and congressman have
                                        Comment
                                        • pilebuck13
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-15-15
                                          • 17918

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Thor4140
                                          He put in over 200 anti union judges u ignorant fuk. I hope i can get out in time to watch you suffer for your ignorance
                                          You are a moron they will never destroy the unions in large cities. Democrats policies will destroy unions because people will just have had enough paying for everyone they will stop working why didn’t he come after unions when he had every chamber? Your a clown
                                          Comment
                                          • lakerboy
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-02-09
                                            • 94379

                                            #22
                                            Thor settle down. Your guy is -187 tomorrow. What you all worked up for?
                                            Comment
                                            • pilebuck13
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-15-15
                                              • 17918

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Thor4140
                                              this piece of shit president has stiffed more union workers in the East than anyone alive yet this idiot is okay with it. That same health care he is afraid of is the same healthcare that saved this piece of shits life. Same healthcare this ignorant fools senators and congressman have
                                              Really? What union workers has he stiffed? I’d like to see a list of unions in New York he didn’t pay and lived to continue building moron
                                              Comment
                                              • pilebuck13
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 05-15-15
                                                • 17918

                                                #24
                                                He’s a fukin moron another liberal retard who just can’t figure out why most middle class people have split from there party it’s not Fukin hard it’s called social issues period.
                                                Comment
                                                • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-15-10
                                                  • 7719

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                  Bet on Trump to win Pennsylvania at similar odds +175 to +185.

                                                  I have run 1000 simulations and there is no victory path to Trump without winning Pennsylvania.
                                                  If everything goes exactly as it did in 2016 except Trump loses Pennsylvania (and one of a handful of other states), he still wins.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Renegades
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-12-11
                                                    • 5290

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                    Democrats have always thrived on the blue collar vote unions as well I’m on a huge union job ironworkers operators laborers carpenters they all voting for Trump the polls tell us nothing get out talk to people
                                                    100% agree. I know about 7 guys in the trade industry and they all love Trump. He has done wonders for their industry
                                                    Comment
                                                    • King Mayan
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-22-10
                                                      • 21326

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                      King imbecile I’m simply stating the facts oh yah just like trump was going to get rid of unions first time he won and nothing happened
                                                      Lol public unions are fukked already.

                                                      Yeah that means carpenters, electricians, steel workers, etc that work for cities, states, schools.

                                                      Their bargaining power is shit and are getting fukked left and right.

                                                      They’ll come for private unions next and you’ll have partial union sites with illegals weeding you trump dumbfukks out.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • Kermit
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 09-27-10
                                                        • 32555

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                        Exactly speak to the men on the ground not listen to the media
                                                        I live in the Ghetto end of town too, where all of the Democrats live. There are only a couple Biden signs that I see on my way to work, but there are dozens of Trump ones. And where I work, I interact with people all day. Politics get brought up very often and almost everyone claims they are all about Trump.

                                                        I mean, I get people don't actually want or support Biden, they are just going to vote agaisnt Trump , but you would think that they would at least try and do some promotion for Biden.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mjsuax13
                                                          Moderator
                                                          • 03-14-15
                                                          • 25120

                                                          #29
                                                          News flash: if you punch a clock or work in a union, you already lost anyway. Doesn’t matter. Neither candidate or party care.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pilebuck13
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 05-15-15
                                                            • 17918

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by King Mayan
                                                            Lol public unions are fukked already.

                                                            Yeah that means carpenters, electricians, steel workers, etc that work for cities, states, schools.

                                                            Their bargaining power is shit and are getting fukked left and right.

                                                            They’ll come for private unions next and you’ll have partial union sites with illegals weeding you trump dumbfukks out.

                                                            Your a moron. Tell me how they would shut down the long shoreman? The unions are strong as fuk in California are you dumb? Only place unions don’t survive is states with such low populations not enough work. Of course People who are broke don’t like Trump they want handouts back
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pilebuck13
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 05-15-15
                                                              • 17918

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by mjsuax13
                                                              News flash: if you punch a clock or work in a union, you already lost anyway. Doesn’t matter. Neither candidate or party care.
                                                              Your correct they don’t but the social issues are why democrat middle class breaking republican
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pilebuck13
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 05-15-15
                                                                • 17918

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Kermit
                                                                I live in the Ghetto end of town too, where all of the Democrats live. There are only a couple Biden signs that I see on my way to work, but there are dozens of Trump ones. And where I work, I interact with people all day. Politics get brought up very often and almost everyone claims they are all about Trump.

                                                                I mean, I get people don't actually want or support Biden, they are just going to vote agaisnt Trump , but you would think that they would at least try and do some promotion for Biden.
                                                                Enough said
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mjsuax13
                                                                  Moderator
                                                                  • 03-14-15
                                                                  • 25120

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                                  Your correct they don’t but the social issues are why democrat middle class breaking republican
                                                                  For sure. It’s a total mess right now.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • King Mayan
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 09-22-10
                                                                    • 21326

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                                    Your a moron. Tell me how they would shut down the long shoreman? The unions are strong as fuk in California are you dumb? Only place unions don’t survive is states with such low populations not enough work. Of course People who are broke don’t like Trump they want handouts back
                                                                    Lol you don’t know shit bro.

                                                                    Has nothing to do with fully shutting down the union.

                                                                    Has to do with jobs the union used to control and are now contracted out to non union contracts.

                                                                    Just chipping away little by little until you’re replaced by Jose.

                                                                    And California unions are a lot weaker after that 2017 ruling. Trust me I see it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • lakerboy
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                                      • 94379

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                                      Your a moron. Tell me how they would shut down the long shoreman? The unions are strong as fuk in California are you dumb? Only place unions don’t survive is states with such low populations not enough work. Of course People who are broke don’t like Trump they want handouts back
                                                                      You asked mayan if he is dumb. LMAO.
                                                                      Comment
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