I think Trump wins Florida, risking 3.5 units to win 2.
The polls in Florida have been inaccurate the last several elections in favor of democrats, and they have predicted Republicans such as Senator Rick Scott would lose even though he has won repeatedly.
The Cuban and latino community had a strong connection to Hillary Clinton because of actions her husband took, but Obama deported massive numbers of mostly latino illegal immigrants, and Biden is much weaker than Hillary with younger Latinos and the Cuban Latino community. Many younger latinos remember Obama's massive deportations which have stopped under Trump, and much of the Cuban community sees how far left the democrats have gone, and many in this community hate socialism because of their experiences with leaders such as Castro.
The Republicans are also far better organized on the ground, where the democrats have almost no ground game and early voting in Miami Dade suggests the democrats are already significant behind because they are underperforming historical averages with blacks and Latinos.
Trump may lost some senior voters he won in 2016 because of misinformation about covid, but he will max his base out and likely do better with black and latinos.
cash it!
Comment
thomorino
Restricted User
06-01-17
45842
#107
I’m sure fake news cnn will wait another 2 hours to call Florida just because they think it hurts Trump
Comment
mjsuax13
Moderator
03-14-15
25188
#108
Originally posted by thomorino
I’m sure fake news cnn will wait another 2 hours to call Florida just because they think it hurts Trump
Morino, this is a good one. They are going to play with this until late in the night.
Comment
thomorino
Restricted User
06-01-17
45842
#109
Originally posted by DwightShrute
cash it!
Trumps strength with the Latino community is impressive
Comment
Emily_Haines
SBR Posting Legend
04-14-09
15917
#110
yes
Comment
thomorino
Restricted User
06-01-17
45842
#111
I read multiple times months ago that Biden did zero outreach to the Hispanic community, that and how far left the part went with much of the Cuban community hating socialism made me think this was a good pick.
Comment
thomorino
Restricted User
06-01-17
45842
#112
Winner
+2 units
+6 units for political bets
I would have had a perfect record but Klobechar and mayor Pete dropped out of the race after I bet before Texas
Comment
Emily_Haines
SBR Posting Legend
04-14-09
15917
#113
Originally posted by thomorino
Winner
+2 units
+6 units for political bets
I would have had a perfect record but Klobechar and mayor Pete dropped out of the race after I bet before Texas
congratulations on your win
you have moved the ytd figure from -150 to -148
well done pal
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#114
Good call
Comment
thomorino
Restricted User
06-01-17
45842
#115
Originally posted by Emily_Haines
congratulations on your win
you have moved the ytd figure from -150 to -148
well done pal
You are a dumb shit.
Comment
Bostongambler
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-01-08
35581
#116
Thermaflu, you have lost 5 Mercedes, 3 BMW’s, a Tesla and a Bentley, but you just won a Honda. Congrats!
Comment
teacher10
SBR MVP
08-28-18
1821
#117
Originally posted by Bostongambler
Thermaflu, you have lost 5 Mercedes, 3 BMW’s, a Tesla and a Bentley, but you just won a Honda. Congrats!
Comment
Unrivaled
SBR Hall of Famer
10-24-11
6685
#118
Morino is sharp as hell. Gotta give respect here.
Comment
shocka1212
SBR Posting Legend
10-06-12
16788
#119
Was free money
Comment
Emily_Haines
SBR Posting Legend
04-14-09
15917
#120
Originally posted by Unrivaled
Morino is sharp as hell. Gotta give respect here.
election sharp
Comment
Jerm3085
SBR MVP
09-26-12
1539
#121
Rove just said 2million mail in ballots still not counted yet in FL?
Comment
thomorino
Restricted User
06-01-17
45842
#122
Originally posted by Bostongambler
Thermaflu, you have lost 5 Mercedes, 3 BMW’s, a Tesla and a Bentley, but you just won a Honda. Congrats!
Originally posted by teacher10
Originally posted by Emily_Haines
election sharp
Dumb shits
Comment
Poisec
SBR MVP
07-22-18
1220
#123
Easy money, I had the same bet.
Comment
BigDofBA
SBR Posting Legend
09-30-09
19313
#124
Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
this post shows how ignorant you are
Originally posted by beerman2619
Liberals like your sorry ass will complain about this election being rigged and it was russia's fault. it's not looking good for you Biden supporters clown. Enjoy 4 more years of yours and my President Donald Trump biotch
I said Trump would win Florida and lose the election. You guys didn't have a clue and started talking trash pre-maturely. Quit talking...you're making yourselves look bad and really foolish.
The person that called me ignorant...who look's ignorant now bud? The person saying I would cried rigged...now looks like he is in the group of people crying rigged. Funny how that works...
BTW, I'm not a Democrat. I just use common sense, facts, and logic. All of those things seem lost on some of you. Carry on...
Comment
BigDofBA
SBR Posting Legend
09-30-09
19313
#125
Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
Fantastic crowd in Kenosha for @realDonaldTrump – with huge numbers of Democrats, Independents, and people who have still not voted:
16,682 signups
51% (!!) NOT Republican
44.9% still have not voted
25.4% did not vote in 2016 Thank you, Wisconsin!
So you call me ignorant for predicting Trump to win Florida and lose the election...then you share statistics on crowds? LMFAO.
How is that working out in Wisconsin right now?
Comment
RudyRuetigger
SBR Aristocracy
08-24-10
65084
#126
Originally posted by BigDofBA
So you call me ignorant for predicting Trump to win Florida and lose the election...then you share statistics on crowds? LMFAO.
How is that working out in Wisconsin right now?
wtf are you talking about
Florida didnt matter, as I always said...that was the fukkin point
Trump had to win Florida, just like Biden HAD TO WIN california
reread the thread and try again, you clearly missed the fukkin point
what a clown
Comment
BigDofBA
SBR Posting Legend
09-30-09
19313
#127
Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
wtf are you talking about
Florida didnt matter, as I always said...that was the fukkin point
Trump had to win Florida, just like Biden HAD TO WIN california
reread the thread and try again, you clearly missed the fukkin point
what a clown
I said Trump would win Florida. Then I explained why he would lose the election.
You called me ignorant because my opinion upset you. What was I wrong about that made me ignorant? Can you answer that?
Next time don’t talk s*** before the results are in. Anyway, let’s all move on from this and get back to sports.