Play of the year for me tomorrow night

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  • Unrivaled
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-24-11
    • 6685

    #1
    Play of the year for me tomorrow night
    Rams -2.5 30 unit play

    All the "sharps" are on the Niners but I really don't give an f. You have to be dumb as a rock to put any money on this Niners team right now. Line is still inflated from the team they had last year.

    Half their defense is injured and they have no Sanders who was Jimmy's go to guy. Also there is no home field advantage without fans.

    All the "wise guys" are taking the Niners trying to be smart. I just don't see it here, the 49ers are not a good football team right now.
  • adila1401
    SBR MVP
    • 11-16-11
    • 2014

    #2
    assuming they shot out of cannon?
    Comment
    • pologq
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-07-12
      • 19899

      #3
      good luck. i feel like rams is too easy. line should be higher imo.
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Good luck
        Comment
        • seaborneq
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-08-06
          • 22556

          #5
          Originally posted by Unrivaled
          Rams -2.5 30 unit play

          All the "sharps" are on the Niners but I really don't give an f. You have to be dumb as a rock to put any money on this Niners team right now. Line is still inflated from the team they had last year.

          Half their defense is injured and they have no Sanders who was Jimmy's go to guy. Also there is no home field advantage without fans.

          All the "wise guys" are taking the Niners trying to be smart. I just don't see it here, the 49ers are not a good football team right now.
          The sharps are not on the niners. The line moved to 3.5.
          Comment
          • Unrivaled
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-24-11
            • 6685

            #6
            Originally posted by seaborneq
            The sharps are not on the niners. The line moved to 3.5.
            It's currently -2.5 at Bet365
            Comment
            • Chi_archie
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-22-08
              • 63172

              #7
              I like it a lot

              good luck
              Comment
              • seaborneq
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-08-06
                • 22556

                #8
                Originally posted by Unrivaled
                It's currently -2.5 at Bet365
                You are correct. It was 3.5 in a contest I’m in at mybookie
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94379

                  #9
                  Originally posted by seaborneq
                  The sharps are not on the niners. The line moved to 3.5.
                  Yes they are. I will explain


                  The books moved the line no one else. The reason they did is that sf has been godawful and have lost all 3 games at home to awful teams ( Philly, mia and zona). I don't care if you think zona is good because they are not anything more then a 7 win team. The niners qb garropolo looked awful because his ankle isn't healed properly. They took him out early. He will be better this week. The niners are getting some guys back from injury but they are a Superbowl hangover team.

                  Now the rams. They are not good. They have beaten 4 teams from the nfc east. Dallas, Washington, Philly and giants. That is nothing to judge a team on. They have protected goff well but he isn't throwing down the field much and trust me sf will make him throw down the field.

                  Sharps will always take the +3.5 in this situation. It's a no brainer.

                  I personally would not get involved here and I certainly would not be laying 3.5 but I understand what the op is thinking.

                  Good luck
                  Comment
                  • yahoonino
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-10-07
                    • 2651

                    #10
                    sf bounce back from last weeck ,bad loss garopolo, take the 3.5 and run
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388179

                      #11
                      Every play should be same amount
                      Comment
                      • seaborneq
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-08-06
                        • 22556

                        #12
                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                        Yes they are. I will explain


                        The books moved the line no one else. The reason they did is that sf has been godawful and have lost all 3 games at home to awful teams ( Philly, mia and zona). I don't care if you think zona is good because they are not anything more then a 7 win team. The niners qb garropolo looked awful because his ankle isn't healed properly. They took him out early. He will be better this week. The niners are getting some guys back from injury but they are a Superbowl hangover team.

                        Now the rams. They are not good. They have beaten 4 teams from the nfc east. Dallas, Washington, Philly and giants. That is nothing to judge a team on. They have protected goff well but he isn't throwing down the field much and trust me sf will make him throw down the field.

                        Sharps will always take the +3.5 in this situation. It's a no brainer.

                        I personally would not get involved here and I certainly would not be laying 3.5 but I understand what the op is thinking.

                        Good luck
                        I think you missed the whole point. OP said he got 2.5, i saw 3.5 earlier today. The line has not moved from 2.5. If it had moved to -3.5 somebody’s money is coming in on the Rams.
                        Comment
                        • ChiLLx
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-24-11
                          • 5412

                          #13
                          Originally posted by seaborneq
                          I think you missed the whole point. OP said he got 2.5, i saw 3.5 earlier today. The line has not moved from 2.5. If it had moved to -3.5 somebody’s money is coming in on the Rams.
                          The line has moved to -2.5 at a few books but need to lay -120/-115
                          Comment
                          • lakerboy
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-02-09
                            • 94379

                            #14
                            Originally posted by seaborneq
                            I think you missed the whole point. OP said he got 2.5, i saw 3.5 earlier today. The line has not moved from 2.5. If it had moved to -3.5 somebody’s money is coming in on the Rams.
                            It was-3.5 at pinnacle earlier. upload img

                            The op plays at bet 365. That book won't even take a $20 deposit from me .
                            Comment
                            • seaborneq
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-08-06
                              • 22556

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ChiLLx
                              The line has moved to -2.5 at a few books but need to lay -120/-115
                              Did the line open at 3.5??
                              Comment
                              • trobin31
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-09-14
                                • 9854

                                #16
                                I picked up Kirk cousins to stream instead of Goff but starting to think Goff could throw all over these guys tomorrow. They’ve lost to niners twice last year and due for payback game
                                Comment
                                • gauchojake
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 09-17-10
                                  • 34117

                                  #17
                                  niners beat the jets and the giants and lost to az, mia, and phi

                                  their secondary is banged up as are many key players on offense

                                  rams are light at LB but everyone else pretty healthy

                                  rams have been to the east coast for 3 games, niners for 2

                                  looks like rams cruise to me

                                  plus the REVENGE factor
                                  Comment
                                  • carolinakid
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-12-11
                                    • 19106

                                    #18
                                    the line open rams-3 flat
                                    Comment
                                    • mackave
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-22-14
                                      • 4971

                                      #19
                                      line smells
                                      Comment
                                      • Wrongside
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-26-15
                                        • 3579

                                        #20
                                        You are free to bet Rams. Line and sharps going off past recent history is my guess, This version of the Niners offense has been able to shove the ball down The Rams throats. In fact, this is what the Seahawks and Niners have both been able to do v the rams over the last few years.

                                        They probably see a Packers-Niners (playoff game) type deal here.

                                        If you don't think that is the case, you are free to wager without fear.
                                        Comment
                                        • thomorino
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 06-01-17
                                          • 45842

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Unrivaled
                                          Rams -2.5 30 unit play

                                          All the "sharps" are on the Niners but I really don't give an f. You have to be dumb as a rock to put any money on this Niners team right now. Line is still inflated from the team they had last year.

                                          Half their defense is injured and they have no Sanders who was Jimmy's go to guy. Also there is no home field advantage without fans.

                                          All the "wise guys" are taking the Niners trying to be smart. I just don't see it here, the 49ers are not a good football team right now.
                                          The 49ers suffered their most humiliating loss in 2 years last week, I would not make a huge bet against a team in that situation.
                                          Comment
                                          • Unrivaled
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-24-11
                                            • 6685

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                                            It was-3.5 at pinnacle earlier. upload img

                                            The op plays at bet 365. That book won't even take a $20 deposit from me .
                                            No idea why, they take big bets from me. It is true though I was winning at golf too much so they limited my bets for outright. So I can see them doing that if you won 10 in a row maybe.
                                            Comment
                                            • Unrivaled
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 10-24-11
                                              • 6685

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by thomorino
                                              The 49ers suffered their most humiliating loss in 2 years last week, I would not make a huge bet against a team in that situation.
                                              Their current roster with injuries isn't so far off from the other bad teams.
                                              Comment
                                              • sosawestbrook
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-10-16
                                                • 3135

                                                #24
                                                logs in

                                                sees 2 lock of the year posts back to back

                                                logs out
                                                Comment
                                                • Unrivaled
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-24-11
                                                  • 6685

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by sosawestbrook
                                                  logs in

                                                  sees 2 lock of the year posts back to back

                                                  logs out
                                                  I didn't say lock. I said the play of the year for me as I am confident. Goff could come down with covid overnight, there is no such thing as a lock.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • gauchojake
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 09-17-10
                                                    • 34117

                                                    #26
                                                    49ers O line is awful with a gimpy QB vs a Rams D that is dominating. I could be wrong, but this looks like a bad matchup for the 9ers. Maybe they snap out of their funk in a big divisional matchup that is potentially a season ender for them if they lose, but I don't see it.

                                                    Last season for the 9ers was kind of like when the Raiders came out of nowhere to go 12-4 only to return to their previously shitty ways.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • thomorino
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 06-01-17
                                                      • 45842

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by gauchojake
                                                      49ers O line is awful with a gimpy QB vs a Rams D that is dominating. I could be wrong, but this looks like a bad matchup for the 9ers. Maybe they snap out of their funk in a big divisional matchup that is potentially a season ender for them if they lose, but I don't see it.

                                                      Last season for the 9ers was kind of like when the Raiders came out of nowhere to go 12-4 only to return to their previously shitty ways.
                                                      The Rams defense is not remotely close to dominating, the Bills dropped almost 50 on them.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cincinnatikid513
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 11-23-17
                                                        • 45360

                                                        #28
                                                        it' sjust another game, no reason bet any more than usual
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Unrivaled
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-24-11
                                                          • 6685

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                                                          it' sjust another game, no reason bet any more than usual
                                                          Wrong I see big value here. Without the Niners superbowl appearance the line here would be Rams -7.5.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cincinnatikid513
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 11-23-17
                                                            • 45360

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Unrivaled
                                                            Wrong I see big value here. Without the Niners superbowl appearance the line here would be Rams -7.5.
                                                            no chance at all rams would ever be that big of favs, good lucks we all know what usually happens around here when somebody makes a big bet, lock guaranteed winners, play of the year


                                                            Comment
                                                            • gauchojake
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 09-17-10
                                                              • 34117

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by thomorino
                                                              The Rams defense is not remotely close to dominating, the Bills dropped almost 50 on them.
                                                              18 points per game is good for 3rd in the NFL. Aaron Donald has 7.5 sacks and leads the league even while being double teamed.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • thomorino
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 06-01-17
                                                                • 45842

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by gauchojake
                                                                18 points per game is good for 3rd in the NFL. Aaron Donald has 7.5 sacks and leads the league even while being double teamed.
                                                                3 of the 5 offenses the Rams have played so far are trash, their defense is slightly above average but far from domainting, they won’t be playing philadelphia, Washington, and the giants anymore.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • HAPPY BOY
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                                  • 7109

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Lee Martin and her cherry lip gloss agrees with you. good luck sir
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 11-30-08
                                                                    • 81450

                                                                    #34
                                                                    How will Rams stop the run?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pablo222
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-03-19
                                                                      • 8858

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                      Yes they are. I will explain


                                                                      The books moved the line no one else. The reason they did is that sf has been godawful and have lost all 3 games at home to awful teams ( Philly, mia and zona). I don't care if you think zona is good because they are not anything more then a 7 win team. The niners qb garropolo looked awful because his ankle isn't healed properly. They took him out early. He will be better this week. The niners are getting some guys back from injury but they are a Superbowl hangover team.

                                                                      Now the rams. They are not good. They have beaten 4 teams from the nfc east. Dallas, Washington, Philly and giants. That is nothing to judge a team on. They have protected goff well but he isn't throwing down the field much and trust me sf will make him throw down the field.

                                                                      Sharps will always take the +3.5 in this situation. It's a no brainer.

                                                                      I personally would not get involved here and I certainly would not be laying 3.5 but I understand what the op is thinking.

                                                                      Good luck
                                                                      Makes sense. I am gonna have to put a small teaser In for entertainment but this game seems unpredictable. Will check in with what i tease.
                                                                      Comment
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