Stock Market Prediction if Biden wins?

[flyingillini]

1 year projection if he wins?

[cincinnatikid513]

saloon

[The General]

America will be at war. Terrorists will return and the economy will fail because it may fail under a Mr Trump admin. The us dollar is worthless already.

[no1here]

Biden wins, stock market crashes

[MinnesotaFats]

Would have to assume that a Biden win wouldn't be doom for the market as much as a Biden win AND a Democratic Senate.

If that happens you'd see a cap gains rate go upwards to 30% and probably a new higher tier of income tax near 40% on earning over $1mm or something like that.

Would see a 25-35% market drop by years end soas investors can take profits under current code.

[RangeFinder]

15-20% correction if Biden wins. He will raise corporate taxes from 21% to nearly 30%. That will hurt and put a drag on the market as a whole.

[trobin31]

[trobin31]

Let’s try to use data and not just regurgitate stuff we hear on fox guys.

[Unrivaled]

It will plummet he wants to shut the country completely down for a month.

[MinnesotaFats]

Data is irrelevant as the market is propped up by Fed buying treasuries and artificially low interest rates....however, with interest now at 0 and the Fed pretty much out of tools I'm not sure we could print any more money to be honest.

You go back to the US getting off the gold standard and the market gains are kinda fake...there's times where interest rates reign it in, and that's legit, but the big gains are driven by deficit spending and government interference (fanny/ freddy) and federal reserve actions.

[cincinnatikid513]

the fear mongering is a joke

both parties do it and it's never as bad as they say

just chillax and




saloon the garbage

[MinnesotaFats]

Ya we actually want mixed congress. That tends to stall drastic economic actions.

Last time we had the super majority Senate and house & WH we got literally 15% of the economy taken over by the Federal government (Obamacare) and the subsequent unwinding of its funding provisions has left the $600 billion dollar program literally bankrupt.

Single party control not good for country

[carolinakid]

if Biden wins not only will the market drop big time, us business will be in deep trouble imo

[Gonz312]

It will go up no matter who wins in the next year because of the the false perception of economic gains and profits that come along with the pandemic recovery. I mean we already have a bunch of bozos who think that 20 million people going back to work is equal to 20 million new jobs created.

[pavyracer]

A blue wave of Democrats come November may be good for economy: Goldman Sachs

[Bluehorseshoe]

Nothing actually affects the market anymore.

[DrunkHorseplayer]

Probably a slight downturn. Biden isn't a fool; he knows that implementing socialist policies will crush the market and his re-election chances and he isn't going to go for it.

[JIBBBY]

Market will tank if Biden wins..

Everyone knows Trump is all about economy, businesses and money, stock market loves Trump!!!

For example - As soon as the news came out today that Trump was going back to the White House and feeling great the stock market jumped.. That tells you all you need to know..


Truth!!

[MinnesotaFats]

Even if Biden won I'm not sure a GOP Senate would pass a tax increase...

The market may be pricing in GOP holding the Senate

[Bostongambler]

Article in today’s WSJ saying Biden would be hiking corporate tax rate ratings , so market could free fall .

[JIBBBY]

Biden in time after increased taxation without representation and green new deal business Obama regulations put back in place this is what you get below -

Better quit your job and find a green new deal job instead ASAP if he wins. Other options - file for unemployment and or welfare..

[manny24]

economy won't be completely crushed like what Obama did but close

[hotcross]

trobin31 - first of all I respect your posts in general. But serious question, can you be more specific with this "data"? What "performance" do those percentages represent in this data table (performance of what)?

I didn't go back any further than Trump Jan 2017 - Present
because I'll wait to see if you reply with more specifics.

JAN 1, 2017
Dow Jones Index = 20,433
S&P 500 Index = 2,283
NASDAQ Composite Index = 5,751

MAR 23, 2020
Dow Jones Index = 18,591
S&P 500 Index = 2,237
NASDAQ Composite Index = 6,860

OCT 5, 2020
Dow Jones Index = 28,148
S&P 500 Index = 3,408
NASDAQ Composite Index = 11,332


Data can be cherry-picked / manipulated

[Snowball]

If Biden wins, the stocks that went up a lot in 2020 will sell off significantly in November and December, affecting the averages.

However - the "Biden Stocks" - sectors and industries that will do well - those will not sell off.

Big Tech is very vulnerable to a Biden win. It is unclear how bad Biden will be for oil. We know he won't be
bad for natural gas. Unclear because production will go down and expansion for drilling halted - but this
could make the grandfathered in drillers more valuable, even in a setting where solar wind and other alts
are being promoted heavily. So energy is complicated.

Rates would be likely to rise, and Banks would do better.. Banks, E-Cars, Batteries, Solar, Wind,
China ETF, Bulk Shipping, Marijuana Stocks are the top Biden sectors along with Infrastructure related materials
and precious metals to offset the expanding federal budget.

[jjgold]

Ya we actually want mixed congress. That tends to stall drastic economic actions.

Last time we had the super majority Senate and house & WH we got literally 15% of the economy taken over by the Federal government (Obamacare) and the subsequent unwinding of its funding provisions has left the $600 billion dollar program literally bankrupt.

Single party control not good for country

end of thread

Markets rigged anyway, if a big drop occurs 1st year the feds fix it that is why you buy and hold long term

All the losers day and swing trade

[Hman]

Better save every penny you have if Biden wins

[RudyRuetigger]

Better save every penny you have if Biden wins

EXCEPT.... in a different currency

[clockwise1965]

crashed! China will own us.

[jjgold]

If Dems control both houses big trouble for America, if not should be ok

Business will flee USa and unemployment will be real high eventually

[Bostongambler]

Economy will come back in 1-2-3 years roaring like never before I believe. People want to live their best life.

[d2bets]

economy won't be completely crushed like what Obama did but close

Market basically tripled under Obama. Way better returns than under Trump. And that's typical; over the last 75 years or so, market return under Dem presidents are significantly higher.