What are you guys predicting for the score tonight?

cincinnatikid513 · 10-01-20, 03:39 PM

0-0

BeatTheJerk · 10-01-20, 03:42 PM

Postpone COVID

carolinakid · 10-01-20, 03:45 PM

lot of games tonite.what game are you talking about??

BeatTheJerk · 10-01-20, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by carolinakid

lot of games tonite.what game are you talking about??

TNF

Seaweed · 10-01-20, 04:12 PM

Footballs game

Emily_Haines · 10-01-20, 04:13 PM

59-0 denver

Sam Odom · 10-01-20, 04:14 PM

22-21

Chi_archie · 10-01-20, 04:18 PM

Pain

RudyRuetigger · 10-01-20, 04:41 PM

who is playing

Kermit · 10-01-20, 04:42 PM

Originally posted by Emily_Haines

59-0 denver

I have $5 on Denver to win by 43 or more points at +20000

mjsuax13 · 10-01-20, 04:44 PM

Jets 27
Broncos 20

hotcross · 10-01-20, 04:48 PM

Originally posted by Kermit

I have $5 on Denver to win by 43 or more points at +20000

you are high as a kite on that one Kermy

are nickel bags still even a thing?

pavyracer · 10-01-20, 04:51 PM

Broncos 22.5
Jets 21

no1here · 10-01-20, 04:56 PM

denver 24 - 20 jets

sweethook · 10-01-20, 05:14 PM

den - 20 - 13

BeatTheJerk · 10-01-20, 05:16 PM

Den 11 Nyj 4

KVB · 10-01-20, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

who is playing

Maybe Joe Flacco.

veriableodds · 10-01-20, 05:41 PM

just cannot believe jets are favored this got to be a joke??

10/01/2020
06:20 PM

Denver Broncos (0-3)
New York Jets (0-3)

Brett Rypien
Sam Darnold

47.8%
52.2%

-110
-110

18.5
19.4

37.8

o41-110
u41½-110

KVB · 10-01-20, 05:42 PM

Originally posted by KVB

...My stacking percentages raw forecast does have the Jets with a small edge, scoring 20 or 21 points to Denvers 20 points. It's not a big edge as I have the probabilty of the Jets scoring 20 or 21 the same, and the forecast is in line with the Total.

Many may not realize it but over the last 20 years, in more than 5150 NFL games, the most common score for an NFL team is 20 points occurring nearly twice as often as the score of 21, which just cracks the top 10...

veriableodds · 10-01-20, 05:44 PM

Originally posted by KVB

KVB · 10-01-20, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by veriableodds

What? You don'tlike my adjusted scores?

stackz125 · 10-01-20, 05:51 PM

17-10
Who has 17... I have no idea

Sam Odom · 10-01-20, 05:52 PM

Originally posted by stackz125

17-10

Who has 17... I have no idea

LOCK on Under then

stevek173 · 10-01-20, 05:54 PM

I just hope someone dies.

KVB · 10-01-20, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by stevek173

I just hope someone dies.

Wait, what?

veriableodds · 10-01-20, 05:56 PM

Originally posted by KVB

What? You don'tlike my adjusted scores?

denvers sos# (10)
nyj (17) in rebuild mode as far as the last few years. When i apply this to paper the old og way denver wins by -3 and thats being nice giving nyj 3 more for homefield advtg

Kermit · 10-01-20, 05:57 PM

stevek173 · 10-01-20, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Wait, what?

Sorry.

KVB · 10-01-20, 06:05 PM

Originally posted by veriableodds

denvers sos# (10)
nyj (17) in rebuild mode as far as the last few years. When i apply this to paper the old og way denver wins by -3 and thats being nice giving nyj 3 more for homefield advtg

Well, we really only have 3 weeks under our belts here and in any major sort I do have thresholds. We need 4 full weeks of data for the NFL for those small differenecs to iron themselves out.

3 weeks leaves a lot of open ends.

I also make a public gauge, that might be predicting your capping, sometimes, and hodls a similar Total to yours tonight...

Originally posted by KVB

...When it comes to the markets I believe books opened the line with Denver favored, even with the hook of -2.5 in hopes of attracting some Jets money. The Jets have become widely regarded as the worst team in the NFL and my public gauge, my assessment of the public's assessment has Denver winning 21-17.

The public may have bailed on the Jets, as they don't mind a Denver win being by a field goal. As far as I can tell in the market, the drop was in the line was a more traditional reverse line movement situation which basically turned into steam on the Jets...

I make several different forecasts based on several different layerings. I normally post the sharp forecast, the stacking percentages forecast, and the non predictive public gauge.

We need 4 weeks for the the sharp forecast to break out of early season mode.

jjgold · 10-01-20, 06:06 PM

Jets 23-13

Checkerboard · 10-01-20, 06:07 PM

Nyj 27 den 24

JIBBBY · 10-01-20, 06:09 PM

JJgold post reverse^^ Broncos 23-13

..

I am on the Broncos..

John Elway will be watching!! Make him proud!! Go Broncos!!

veriableodds · 10-01-20, 06:14 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Well, we really only have 3 weeks under our belts here and in any major sort I do have thresholds. We need 4 full weeks of data for the NFL for those small differenecs to iron themselves out.

3 weeks leaves a lot of open ends.

We need 4 weeks for the the sharp forecast to break out of early sea

I also make a public gauge, that might be predicting your capping, sometimes, and hodls a similar Total to yours tonight...

I make several different forecasts based on several different layerings. I normally post the sharp forecast, the stacking percentages forecast, and the non predictive public gauge.

son mode.

I guess it really might be a tossed salad both teams 7-9 last year

KVB · 10-01-20, 06:19 PM

Originally posted by veriableodds

I guess it really might be a tossed salad both teams 7-9 last year

Yeah and we're trying to throw down numbers after 3 weeks, with a guy named Brett Rypien, lol.

Let's put some dressing on it and enjoy.