Quivering Confused Sugar-Coated All-Sports PICKS

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added ::

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -190 moneyline

Risked 1 unit on the moneyline

Should have parlayed this with Dodgers, but couldn't make up my mind earlier about this game

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2-4 yesterday with a combination of good picks, terrible Raiders pick, and a WTF happened with the Seahawks moneyline, also even looked like it might stay Under late in the game.

Will settle up after Game 6 tomorrow night, got this booked:


Tuesday Oct.27 - World Series game 6

LOS ANGELES DODGERS -135 moneyline (Action)

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Now the line dropped significantly from the overnight line, so I had a misread on my timing, but don't think I've misread the winner of tonight's game 6. So I risked an additional unit at the improved odds. This pick will count as just 1 win or loss on my record, but will be worth either -2 units if it loses, or +1.567 units for the win (.7407+.8264 at -135 and -121 odds, respectively). So once again:


Tuesday Oct.27 - World Series game 6

LOS ANGELES DODGERS -135 and -121 moneyline (Action)

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Sunday Oct.25 - NFL Week 7

+0.909 Win >> DETROIT LIONS +1 -110 spread

-1.000 Loss >> LAS VEGAS RAIDERS +170 moneyline

-1.000 Loss >> LAS VEGAS RAIDERS +4 -110 spread



Sunday Oct.25 - World Series game 5

+0.621 Win >> LOS ANGELES DODGERS -161 moneyline

Sunday Night Football - Week 7

-1.000 Loss >> UNDER 55.5 -110 SEA at ARIZ

-1.000 Loss >> SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -190 moneyline



Tuesday Oct.27 - World Series game 6

+1.567 Win >> LOS ANGELES DODGERS -135 and -121 moneyline (Action)

I risked an additional unit at the improved odds. This pick will count as just 1 win or loss on my record, but will be worth either -2 units if it loses, or +1.567 units for the win (.7407+.8264 at -135 and -121 odds, respectively).

Results: Oct.25-27 = -0.903 units (3-4 W/L)
OVERALL = -8.292 units (29-41-1 W/L/D = .414 pct)

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Sunday Nov.1 - NFL Week 8

MINNESOTA VIKINGS +215 moneyline

MINNESOTA VIKINGS +6 -115 spead


BALTIMORE RAVENS -200 moneyline


NEW YORK JETS +20 -110 spread


UNDER 46.5 -105 LA RAMS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS

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you gotta be kidding me on this Under in Miami

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AND.... they do it again

3:01 (Shotgun) J.Goff sacked at LA 24 for -7 yards (S.Lawson). FUMBLES (S.Lawson), RECOVERED by MIA-K.Van Noy at LA 1

ok bad pick. 28 points off short field / turnovers / one fumble scoop and score 79 yards

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Sunday Nov.1 - NFL Week 8


+2.150 Win >> MINNESOTA VIKINGS +215 moneyline


+0.869 Win >> MINNESOTA VIKINGS +6 -115 spead


-1.000 Loss >> BALTIMORE RAVENS -200 moneyline


-1.000 Loss >> NEW YORK JETS +20 -110 spread


+0.952 Win >> UNDER 46.5 -105 LA RAMS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS

Results: Nov.1 = +1.971 units (3-2 W/L)
OVERALL = -6.321 units (32-43-1 W/L/D = .426 pct)


.....as I was saying......the Under in Miami.....never in doubt!

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Saturday Nov.7 - College Football week 10


SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS +17.5 -112 spread

also (separate bet):

PARLAY 3-TEAMS @ +121
> SMU MUSTANGS -732 moneyline
> TEXAS LONGHORNS -206 moneyline
> TEXAS A&M AGGIES -322 moneyline
Risk 1 unit to win 1.212

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Saturday Nov.7 - College Football week 10

+0.892 Win >> SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS +17.5 -112 spread

also (separate bet):

PARLAY 3-TEAMS @ +121
> SMU MUSTANGS -732 moneyline
> TEXAS LONGHORNS -206 moneyline
> TEXAS A&M AGGIES -322 moneyline
+1.212 Win >> Risk 1 unit to win 1.212

Results: Nov.7 = +2.104 units (2-0 W/L)
OVERALL = -4.217 units (34-43-1 W/L/D = .441 pct)



Sunday Nov.8 - NFL Week 9


INDIANAPOLIS COLTS +110 moneyline

I'm still working on a couple other games, but wanted to get on this, as the betting odds may experience that ol' RLM. Seeing much love for the Ravens in this road game, but I don't see it that way at all. Baltimore ain't going into Baltimore today and beating the Colts!

What? Baltimore into Baltimore??? Morono is that you talking?!?!? Baltimore Colts into Lucas Oil Stadium = take the home team!

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Nov.9 - Monday Night Football

NEW YORK JETS +335 moneyline


I got a few reasons for such a play. Here's one thing, I lost yesterday going against the Ravens AFTER I lost a moneyline bet on the Ravens in Week 8. So in hindsight, that was not good follow-through on my part.

I took the +20 spread with New York Jets last week (Week 8) on the road in Kansas City, which was perhaps an arguably reasonable play, but ended up money burnt on that selection. So now, why not follow-through on the Jets this week, is what I say to myself. The Patriots are not even a mirage of their former self.

This can look real bad if it loses, and at the same time, probably nobody is gonna say it's a genius play if it wins. At +330 home moneyline against a bad opponent, the risk-reward is viable for me.

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Good start Jets and into the half leading 20-10

Not so easy for Patriots when the penalties go against them for a change

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Sunday Nov.8 - NFL Week 9

-1.000 Loss >> INDIANAPOLIS COLTS +110 moneyline


Nov.9 - Monday Night Football

-1.000 Loss >> NEW YORK JETS +335 moneyline

Results: Nov.8-9 = -2.000 units (0-2 W/L)
OVERALL = -6.217 units (34-45-1 W/L/D = .430 pct)


Grinding out this stretch and making some mistakes along the way, but the Jets game looked good right until the very end when it was too many Jets mistakes, starting with the Flacco long interception, with 5:50 remaining. Then continued to unravel from there. If you saw the Chargers lose to the Raiders by making about 6 mistakes yesterday at the end of the game, this game went the same way.

Just like those teams, I gotta clean up the mistakes and move forward.

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Nov.12 Thursday Night Football - Week 10


INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -115 moneyline


Read enough into this game that I made it a play when I saw the Colts moneyline available at -115

Here I go again, a back-door follow-thru play after having the losing side of the Colts in Week 9

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Saturday Nov.14 - College Football Week 11


VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES -125 moneyline

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added :: Nov.14 - College Football late games


TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE +1 -110 spread

UNDER 57.5 -110 OREGON DUCKS @ WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS

UNLV REBELS +16 -110 spread

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Sunday Nov.15 - NFL Week 10

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS +120 moneyline

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Nov.15 Sunday Night Football

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +7 -115 spread

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +235 moneyline


took a shot risked 1 unit on each

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Nov.12 Thursday Night Football - Week 10

+0.869 Win >> INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -115 moneyline



Saturday Nov.14 - College Football Week 11

-1.000 Loss >> VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES -125 moneyline

+0.909 Win >> TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE +1 -110 spread

-1.000 Loss >> UNDER 57.5 -110 OREGON DUCKS @ WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS

-1.000 Loss >> UNLV REBELS +16 -110 spread



Sunday Nov.15 - NFL Week 10

-1.000 Loss >> LOS ANGELES CHARGERS +120 moneyline


Nov.15 - Sunday Night Football

+0.869 Win >> NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +7 -115 spread

+2.350 Win >> NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +235 moneyline

Results: Nov.12-15 = +0.997 units (4-4 W/L)
OVERALL = -5.220 units (38-49-1 W/L/D = .436 pct)


Two of the losses in this bunch were by the narrowest of margins:

Virginia Tech lost 24-25 after leading most of the game, but it appeared they completely ran out of gas in the 2nd half

UNLV lost 17-34 at San Jose, so my spread +16 did not catch the closing number of +17 to push

And in the Oregon at Washington State game, even the books were confused about the total during the later stages of the game in Live betting. Just an observation, I saw 51.5, it might have touched 49.5, and then very late they were giving Over 57.5 at +120 or thereabouts..... right after that - Oregon quickly scored and then a flurry of more points followed, 43-29 final.

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Nov.19 - NFL Week 11 - Thursday Night Football


SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -170 moneyline

*this is a Stolen pick from Mr. Gold:
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post29895864

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Nov.19 - NFL Week 11 - Thursday Night Football


+0.588 Win >> SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -170 moneyline

Results: Nov.19 = +0.588 units (1-0 W/L)
OVERALL = -4.632 units (39-49-1 W/L/D = .443 pct)


included within the Overall record:

STOLEN PICKS = -0.412 units (1-1 W/L = .500 pct)

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Friday Nov.20 - College Football

MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS +3 -119 spread

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Saturday Nov.21 - College Football

GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES +3.5 -115 spread

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Nov.22 - Sunday Night Football - Week 11

UNDER 56.5 -105 KC CHIEFS @ LV RAIDERS


If Raiders want to sweep this season series against the division leading Chiefs, a shootout is not the style that will accomplish it. They will be better served to play ball control and chew the clock on offense, shortening the game to attempt to keep the score tight, and try to steal it at the end.

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Friday Nov.20 - College Football

+0.840 Win >> MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS +3 -119 spread


Saturday Nov.21 - College Football

+0.869 Win >> GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES +3.5 -115 spread


Nov.22 - Sunday Night Football - Week 11

-1.000 Loss >> UNDER 56.5 -105 KC CHIEFS @ LV RAIDERS

Results: Nov.20-22 = +0.709 units (2-1 W/L)
OVERALL = -3.923 units (41-50-1 W/L/D = .450 pct)

Bookkeeping update early on Turkey Day

Happy Thanksgiving to all of you and your family

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Thanksgiving Nov.26 - NFL Week 12

WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM +125 moneyline

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Nov.30 Monday Night Football - NFL Week 12

UNDER 49 -110 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

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Thanksgiving Nov.26 - NFL Week 12

+1.250 Win >> WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM +125 moneyline


Nov.30 Monday Night Football - NFL Week 12

+0.909 Win >> UNDER 49 -110 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Results: Nov.26-30 = +2.159 units (2-0 W/L)
OVERALL = -1.764 units (43-50-1 W/L/D = .462 pct)

5-1 W/L run since Nov.19

Reduced the volume of plays

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Saturday Nov.5 - College Football

UNDER 57.5 -110 UCLA BRUINS @ ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS


Late game starts 10:30est / 7:30pst

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Sunday Nov.6 - NFL Week 13

DETROIT LIONS +3 -108 spread

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Saturday Nov.5 - College Football

+0.909 Win >> UNDER 57.5 -110 UCLA BRUINS @ ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS


Sunday Nov.6 - NFL Week 13

+0.926 Win >> DETROIT LIONS +3 -108 spread

Results: Dec.5-6 = +1.835 units (2-0 W/L)
OVERALL = +0.071 units (45-50-1 W/L/D = .473 pct)

7-1 W/L run since Nov.19

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forgot we are in December for those last 2 picks!


Tuesday Dec.8 - CBB College Basketball

PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS +5 -105 spread

*this is a Stolen pick from LT Profits:

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/ncaa-basketball-betting/3636214-ncaa-basketball-picks-tuesday-12-8-a.html#post29946554

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Tuesday Dec.8 - CBB College Basketball

+0.952 Win >> PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS +5 -105 spread

*this is a Stolen pick from LT Profits:

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/ncaa-basketball-betting/3636214-ncaa-basketball-picks-tuesday-12-8-a.html#post29946554

Results: Dec.8 = +0.952 units (1-0 W/L)
OVERALL = +1.023 units (46-50-1 W/L/D = .479 pct)

8-1 W/L run since Nov.19

included within the Overall record:

STOLEN PICKS = +0.540 units (2-1 W/L = .667 pct)

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Saturday Dec.12 - College Football

UCLA BRUINS +3.5 -115 spread

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Sunday Dec.13 - NFL Week 14

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +8 -115 spread


sorry for the last minute post
Working on the later games still