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Need to get My Money back from Tailing Seaweed

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  • Otters27
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 07-14-07
    • 30761

    #36
    I did basic strategy. I have it memorized
    Comment
    • Otters27
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 07-14-07
      • 30761

      #37
      Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
      Why would you tail any of his perfectly good fades ? It’s really not that difficult he’s a known losing gambler who thinks he’s a winner. Best combination fade on any forum ...
      I think seaweed is betting opposite of his posts
      Comment
      • TommieGunshot
        SBR MVP
        • 03-27-12
        • 1611

        #38
        Originally posted by KVB
        That is a loaded post range to say it's not uncommon and the any dealer sees it as dealers see many hands.

        But they do not see it all the time.

        Let's put strategy aside, because I could lose 100 hands in a row if I played to bust, and just assume the solid basic strategy.

        Even then we can't really calculate this as there are different rules, etc.

        So let's say each hand overall were 50-50, then you're looking at .0012 percent of the time.

        With a 51% chance of losing you are looking at .00158 percent.

        That's like 1 out of more that 6300 tries and that does get better as your overall odds of losing a single hand go higher, which they most certainly are.

        Put it a 52% losing and you are looking at 1 in almost 5000 tries.

        This article puts the chance of losing at 53.64% (not counting pushes), using basic strategy: https://wizardofodds.com/ask-the-wiz...k/probability/. That would make losing 13 in a row is a 1 in 3,286 event. But that's only if someone plays only 13 hands. If they play just 100 hands, the chance of losing 13 in a row is 2.6%; at 1,000 hands, the probability increases to 22%. How many hands does a dealer deal in a typical day?
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74866

          #39
          Originally posted by TommieGunshot
          This article puts the chance of losing at 53.64% (not counting pushes), using basic strategy: https://wizardofodds.com/ask-the-wiz...k/probability/. That would make losing 13 in a row is a 1 in 3,286 event. But that's only if someone plays only 13 hands. If they play just 100 hands, the chance of losing 13 in a row is 2.6%; at 1,000 hands, the probability increases to 22%. How many hands does a dealer deal in a typical day?
          I had the probability at more like 52.6% but of course it varies.

          The real question is how many hands does a player play in a typical day? I'm assuming the dealer would have to see a single person lose 13 in a row, and I wasn't even counting pushes that get mingled in there.

          Once you canount for pushes, it's no easy feat that's for sure.
          Comment
          • Otters27
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 07-14-07
            • 30761

            #40
            There were two pushes at 20 so not 13 lost in a row.
            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74866

              #41
              Still, take the pushes out. 13 is quite the run, win or lose.

              Well even more impressive when you win.

              Ever get win streak like that at the casino?
              Comment
              • lakerboy
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-02-09
                • 94463

                #42
                Originally posted by Otters27
                I think seaweed is betting opposite of his posts
                Um no he isn't winning every bet because that would be the case if he was betting opposite.
                Comment
                • ThaTopMoron
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-30-10
                  • 27023

                  #43
                  Originally posted by Otters27
                  Lost $100

                  Will post plays here.

                  Deposited today with $100


                  Won some blackjack and slots at Jazz Sports

                  $168 dollars bankroll +$51 Freeplay now

                  Good luck everyone
                  just quit for a while

                  TAILING SEAWEED? I hope you're lying your ass off here
                  Comment
                  • mjsuax13
                    Moderator
                    • 03-14-15
                    • 24990

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Otters27
                    I usually do but I wanted to fade seaweed but couldn't root for a guy to lose a 4k bet
                    Reading this again... so, instead of rooting for him to do what he does best, you railed him. JFC.
                    Comment
                    • Otters27
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 07-14-07
                      • 30761

                      #45
                      Originally posted by KVB
                      Still, take the pushes out. 13 is quite the run, win or lose.

                      Well even more impressive when you win.

                      Ever get win streak like that at the casino?
                      Never. Sometimes online for $1
                      Comment
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