Your Belmont Stakes Play???

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388189

    #1
    Your Belmont Stakes Play???
    Post position Horse Jockey Trainer
    1 Tap It To Win John Velazquez Mark Casse
    2 Sole Volante Luca Panici Patrick Biancone
    3 Max Player Joel Rosario Linda Rice
    4 Modernist Junior Alvarado Bill Moss
    5 Farmington Road Javier Castellano Todd Pletcher
    6 Fore Left Jose Ortiz Doug O'Neill
    7 Jungle Runner Reylu Gutierrez Steve Asmussen
    8 Tiz The Law Manny Franco Barclay Tagg
    9 Dr Post Irad Ortiz Jr. Todd Pletcher
    10 Pneumatic Ricardo Santana Jr. Steve Asmussen
    Belmont Stakes odds


    Horse Updated odds Morning line odds
    Tiz The Law -125 6-5
    Tap It To Win +600 6-1
    Dr Post +700 5-1
    Sole Volante +800 9-2
    Pneumatic +1000 8-1
    Max Player +1800 15-1
    Modernist +1800 15-1
    Farmington Road +2500 15-1
    Fore Left +3300 30-1
    Jungle Runner +5500 50-1
    Why is Tiz The Law such a heavy favorite?

    Tiz The Law stamped his status as the favorite for the Kentucky Derby had it been run on May 2 by speeding to victory in the Florida Derby on March 28. With the Grade 1 race at Gulfstream Park also being 1 1/8 miles, it makes sense Tiz The Law keeps that same vibe for the Belmont Stakes.

    Tiz The Law has shown great instincts with his deliberate pace early in races before picking the right time to hit his fastest gear and pull away. It's appropriate that his first Triple Crown race is in New York, given he's both locally owned by Sackatoga Stable and bred by Twin Creeks Farm.

    HIs 82-year-old trainer, Barclay Tagg, once had a dominant popular horse in Funny Cide, who won both the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness in 2003. Based on the impressive results that include four wins in five races, Tagg has conditioned Tiz The Law to be able to win with different styles from different posts.

    Is Tap It To Win the biggest threat to upset Tiz The Law?

    Tap It To Win has good recent experience at Belmont Park having just won the Allowance (1 1/16 miles) on June 4. Tap It To Win relies on starting fast and wouldn't surprise anyone if he had the early lead on Saturday. The question is whether, even with the shorter distance, whether he can hold up until the end with Tiz The Law working to leave a lot in the tank for the stretch.

    Sole Volante might be a better choice for the upset as the opposite kind of horse. He needs to stay in it early because he is strength is closing. Neither horse is as well-rounded as Tiz The Law, but a big burst somewhere could end up paying off.

    Going deep into the field, Dr Post can give Tiz The Law some trouble right next to him at No. 9 if he can stay with him halfway through the race. Max Player and Farmington Road are the true longshots to watch, however.

    Max Player won the Grade 3 Withers, a 1 1/8-mile race at Aqueduct when he last raced on Feb. 1. Linda Rice, who is attempting to become the first female trainer to win the Belmont Stakes, has worked to make him feel at home on the track. Max Player is ridden by Joel Rosario, who won a much longer Belmont Stakes with Sir Winston last year.

    Farmington Road needs a fast, tight race but those would be ideal conditions for him to shock everyone after coming in fourth in the 1 1/8-mile Arkansas Derby on May 2.

    Which post position is the most favorable in the Belmont Stakes?

    Tiz The Law is trying to change a long-standing trend from No. 8, which has produced only 5 past winners. No. 1 has by far produced the most winners, at 23, which is an obvious boost to the chances of Tap It To Win.

    Then come No. 3 and No. 5, tied for 13 winners each, playing well into the upset chances of Max Player and Farmington Road. No. 2 has been rather effective between two favorable spots, producing 11 winners and providing some hope for Sole Volante.

    Two years ago, Triple Crown winner Justify came through from No. 1. Sir Winston made it work with the middle from No. 7 last year.

    Which trainers have had the best Belmont Stakes success?

    Mark Casse, who trained Sir Winston for his first victory, builds a stronger case for Tap It To Win. Todd Pletcher, a three-time Belmont Stakes winner, has both Farmington Road and Dr Post in the mix. The only other trainer with a Belmont victory is Steve Asmussen with Creator in 2016, but he has two shaky entries in Pneumatic and the overwhelmed Jungle Runner.

    Which jockeys have had the best Belmont Stakes success?

    While Manny Franco and Tagg are both looking for their first wins with Tiz The Law, there's some good experience elsewhere. Before Sir Winston, Rosario also won with Tonalist in 2014. John Velazquez is looking to make it three with Tap It To Win, after victories with Union Rags in 2012 and Rags to Riches in 2007.





    Jose Ortiz is going for the big upset with Fore Left after bringing home Tapwrit in 2017. HIs brother, Irad Ortiz Jr., won for Asmussen with Creator and is trying to do the same for Pletcher with Dr Post.
  • BIGDAY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 02-17-10
    • 48245

    #2
    Comment
    • USCPHILLYGUY
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-15-12
      • 21744

      #3
      Holy shit. A horse racing post from the horse racing mod
      Comment
      • vitterd
        Restricted User
        • 09-14-17
        • 58460

        #4
        Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
        Holy shit. A horse racing post from the horse racing mod
        I’m tailing you today. Gimme a play in the big race!
        Comment
        • USCPHILLYGUY
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-15-12
          • 21744

          #5
          Originally posted by vitterd
          I’m tailing you today. Gimme a play in the big race!
          TAP IT TO WIN. GL vitty
          Comment
          • vitterd
            Restricted User
            • 09-14-17
            • 58460

            #6
            Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
            TAP IT TO WIN. GL vitty
            Ok thx. Gonna hammer it! Good luck!!
            Comment
            • gummo
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-04-06
              • 6297

              #7
              I have Tap it to Win as well.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388189

                #8
                3 Max Player
                Comment
                • BOA12
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-19-12
                  • 20622

                  #9
                  Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                  TAP IT TO WIN. GL vitty
                  Comment
                  • BOA12
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-19-12
                    • 20622

                    #10
                    Originally posted by vitterd
                    Ok thx. Gonna hammer it! Good luck!!
                    Hammer time. Don't kill the odds vitt.
                    Comment
                    • bobbyfk
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-19-09
                      • 15218

                      #11
                      not playing the favorite here

                      1-2-5-9 $2 exacta box most likely
                      Comment
                      • BOA12
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-19-12
                        • 20622

                        #12
                        Originally posted by bobbyfk
                        not playing the favorite here

                        1-2-5-9 $2 exacta box most likely
                        1 8 exacta $12.00. Only playing #1 WP, like the value on your play. Homework doer.
                        Last edited by BOA12; 06-20-20, 12:42 PM.
                        Comment
                        • DrunkHorseplayer
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-15-10
                          • 7719

                          #13
                          The chalk won't lose if he runs even his B+ race. If it was a mile and a half, I might try to beat him but not at a mile and an eighth. Looks like 1/2 and goodbye.
                          Comment
                          • BOA12
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-19-12
                            • 20622

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                            The chalk won't lose if he runs even his B+ race. If it was a mile and a half, I might try to beat him but not at a mile and an eighth. Looks like 1/2 and goodbye.
                            2 horse race, to me, you got it right. 3/5?
                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #15
                              Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                              Holy shit. A horse racing post from the horse racing mod
                              It's crazy mad world we live in these days Philly.

                              Comment
                              • DrunkHorseplayer
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-15-10
                                • 7719

                                #16
                                Only way to play this is hope the chalk doesn't show up and try for boxcars. I'll take a $12 flyer on a $1 tri 2,3/2,3,9,10/2,3,9,10.
                                Last edited by DrunkHorseplayer; 06-20-20, 02:11 PM.
                                Comment
                                • USCPHILLYGUY
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-15-12
                                  • 21744

                                  #17
                                  Great promo on 4njbets. You bet a horse to win and it places or shows you get your win ticket refunded.
                                  Comment
                                  • hanco21
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-19-06
                                    • 3414

                                    #18
                                    The Law wins everytime.....Bluelivesmatter
                                    Comment
                                    • pologq
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-07-12
                                      • 19899

                                      #19
                                      jj posting what we need today
                                      Comment
                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 04-04-11
                                        • 36759

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by hanco21
                                        The Law wins everytime.....Bluelivesmatter

                                        hanco...u a Charlie Joiner fan?
                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 36759

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by bobbyfk
                                          not playing the favorite here

                                          1-2-5-9 $2 exacta box most likely
                                          If it hits, I'll ship u some pts, pal.
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • gummo
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-04-06
                                            • 6297

                                            #22
                                            Tremendous value on Solo Volante
                                            Comment
                                            • sweethook
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-21-07
                                              • 12667

                                              #23
                                              put me it charlie
                                              Comment
                                              • Foxx
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-25-11
                                                • 5825

                                                #24
                                                Think the favorite gets it done
                                                Comment
                                                • hanco21
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-19-06
                                                  • 3414

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                  hanco...u a Charlie Joiner fan?
                                                  Great player, a little before my time though
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388189

                                                    #26
                                                    franco will fuk it up
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KnuckleHeadz
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-11-19
                                                      • 8194

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                                      franco will fuk it up
                                                      What did you do with that homo who cry’s from his patio? Have t heard from him since last weekend
                                                      Comment
                                                      • hanco21
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-19-06
                                                        • 3414

                                                        #28
                                                        Easy money
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dark star
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-04-09
                                                          • 3900

                                                          #29
                                                          I was balls deep on 3...oh well great race
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388189

                                                            #30
                                                            Good work on all the winners I got blasted today I don’t mean a lot of money just lost a lot of races
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 04-04-11
                                                              • 36759

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by hanco21
                                                              Great player, a little before my time though
                                                              ok, PAL. Catch u later, hope your teams win.
                                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SBR_Guest_Pro
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-10-15
                                                                • 3955

                                                                #32
                                                                american pharaoh is being forced to change his name. racist against pharaoh's
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388189

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I wonder if that horse has
                                                                  A shot at the Triple Crown
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 04-04-11
                                                                    • 36759

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                    I wonder if that horse has
                                                                    A shot at the Triple Crown
                                                                    Being talked up as a big-time horse.
                                                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-15-10
                                                                      • 7719

                                                                      #35
                                                                      He has a big shot at a not-really-a-triple-crown.
                                                                      Comment
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