iBetSims 2020 - try to entertain some people during lockdown.

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  • iBetSo
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-12-18
    • 647

    #1
    iBetSims 2020 - try to entertain some people during lockdown.
    Spent a few days watching and trying to figure out these video game sims. Played most of my life and I understand how these operate and I feel like I have a good grasp on how they flow and matchup.
    Some people want to shy away from these, but honestly this is a point where the books are new to setting lines and we actually could find some edge.

    Running my own games for each matchup, finding trends, evaluating roster matchups and x factor/superstar abilities.

    This isnt any more degenerate than betting on sports played by actual people. I would argue it would be more predictable, with the human factors removed. No player or person is hiding anything. You know the ratings, and they dont change.
    Going to track what im going with and see how it goes til I get bored or give up.

    Started on Bovada, however moving to MyBookie for now. Way more options to choose from and better juice. Limit is way lower but ill see if I can remedy that if needed.
    Focusing on Madden for now, may throw in NBA and UFC sparingly.
  • iBetSo
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-12-18
    • 647

    #2
    First Bet of the Thread:
    Falcons Team Total Over 22.5 (-115)
    4/15/2020 at 2:00 EST

    Ran 10 simulations of my own. Falcons covered this number 8 times.
    Scored 34, 23, 17, 31, 38, 21, 45, 41, 34, 31
    A key here is of course Julio Jones with the double me x factor. And Matt Ryans superstar ability inside the numbers. Perfect accuracy on all throws inside the numbers that dont have a high/low adjustment to them.
    Fast receivers and tight ends get a lot of targets in these sims. Saints defense has terrible coverage linebackers. And corners cannot hang with the speed. A madden weakness is pass coverage on fast guys.
    Saints should also be able to score which gives the Falcons more possessions.
    Toyed with the idea of Saints TT o30, but simulations had falcons covering more often with them often hitting 17 by halftime at least.

    287.50 to win 250
    Comment
    • raiders72001
      Senior Member
      • 08-10-05
      • 11145

      #3
      MyBookie may be rigged. I've been playing since they first came out at Bookmaker. In chat a lot of time posters ask for a pause to prove things are live. MyBookie is one site that has never done it. I guess an angle would be to figure out which side is fixed.
      Comment
      • iBetSo
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-12-18
        • 647

        #4
        Originally posted by raiders72001
        MyBookie may be rigged. I've been playing since they first came out at Bookmaker. In chat a lot of time posters ask for a pause to prove things are live. MyBookie is one site that has never done it. I guess an angle would be to figure out which side is fixed.
        Thanks for the heads up. Ill see what I feel is going on after a bit. Im wondering though if they fixed it why limit bets to $250 straight and $100 on parlays. Seems counterproductive.
        Comment
        • raiders72001
          Senior Member
          • 08-10-05
          • 11145

          #5
          Originally posted by iBetSo
          Thanks for the heads up. Ill see what I feel is going on after a bit. Im wondering though if they fixed it why limit bets to $250 straight and $100 on parlays. Seems counterproductive.
          true. I would guess that not all are fixed but enough to make it worth their while.
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            This guy means business
            Comment
            • iBetSo
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-12-18
              • 647

              #7
              Yeah something might be up on mybookie.
              Falcons went for 2 in a situation ive never seen a CPU go for two.
              Down by 20 in the 4th and chewing clock. Gets to goalline, runs 3 times then throws on 4th.
              Comment
              • asiagambler
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-23-17
                • 6827

                #8
                Originally posted by raiders72001
                MyBookie may be rigged. I've been playing since they first came out at Bookmaker. In chat a lot of time posters ask for a pause to prove things are live. MyBookie is one site that has never done it. I guess an angle would be to figure out which side is fixed.
                Watching line movement could actually be a pretty good indication if they are rigged or not
                Comment
                • iBetSo
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-12-18
                  • 647

                  #9
                  Yeah im not sure if these sims play different. Will have to keep watching them to see whats going on.

                  Taking Steelers ML(+140) over packers.

                  Just basing it off what I see that Steelers Sim well.

                  212.50 to win 297.50
                  Comment
                  • iBetSo
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-12-18
                    • 647

                    #10
                    So they dont have it listed anywhere in their rules page, but after watching this game they have the accelerated clock much lower meaning the ball is getting snapped around the 7 second playclock mark. Shortening the game quite a bit. Would explain what I perceived as low team totals.

                    Also they listed default updated rosters on their rules page. Yet somehow Jaylen Samuels is the starting halfback for the Steelers from number 3 on the depth chart.
                    Comment
                    • iBetSo
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-12-18
                      • 647

                      #11
                      Gonna start hitting some unders here with the way the settings are.

                      Got some free play when i moved funds so throwing at a $100 parlay
                      2 NFL unders and 2 NBA ML favorites.
                      Comment
                      • iBetSo
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-12-18
                        • 647

                        #12
                        Free play parlay missed by one of the NBA MLs

                        Hitting VIKINGS -3 over the seahawks.

                        300 to win 260.87

                        Vikings have a big mismatch at WR with Diggs.
                        Also DL should get pressure against a badly rated OL.

                        Looks like totals have been adjusted lower today for all games to keep people from pounding unders.
                        Comment
                        • trytrytry
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-13-06
                          • 23650

                          #13
                          SBR betpoints wagering is up. Full day of action today april 16th.

                          Comment
                          • iBetSo
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-12-18
                            • 647

                            #14
                            Well the site switch has proved to be awful.

                            grabbing this one on bovada.

                            Saints -4.5 over falcons

                            250 to win 200

                            Taking this based on the TT I lost on the falcons from the game yesterday.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              Comment
                              • Bcatswin
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-21-10
                                • 13931

                                #16
                                Originally posted by raiders72001
                                MyBookie may be rigged. I've been playing since they first came out at Bookmaker. In chat a lot of time posters ask for a pause to prove things are live. MyBookie is one site that has never done it. I guess an angle would be to figure out which side is fixed.
                                Cashed out there twice since this is began. It's by far the best with BM a very close 2nd
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #17
                                  I wouldn’t play at my bookie

                                  Too
                                  Many complaints
                                  Comment
                                  • Bcatswin
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-21-10
                                    • 13931

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                    I wouldn’t play at my bookie

                                    Too
                                    Many complaints
                                    like your cok?
                                    Comment
                                    • trytrytry
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-13-06
                                      • 23650

                                      #19
                                      SBR BETPOINT wagering on SIMS for today April 17th is up and going.

                                      Comment
                                      • iBetSo
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-12-18
                                        • 647

                                        #20
                                        Idk if it’s the posters curse or what’s going on. Had a good little run first couple of days before I made the thread. Now I couldn’t hit water falling out of a boat.

                                        Got a few more shots in me before I give up.

                                        Saints 49ers under 54 (-115) on my bookie.

                                        250

                                        Line moved upward today. Moved 53 to 54 and I jumped on it. With the clock so accelerated and 49ers supposedly good rated defense hopefully we can see a game under this number.
                                        Comment
                                        • iBetSo
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-12-18
                                          • 647

                                          #21
                                          Well beware of MyBookie if you have any type of clue what youre doing in sims.

                                          Once I figured out the games ran the account over 5k and received a $50 bet limit on any sim games.

                                          Withdrawing now. And moving back to bovada.
                                          Comment
                                          • trytrytry
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-13-06
                                            • 23650

                                            #22
                                            SBR betpoints wagering is open and up for April 23rd. Share your picks, win Pizza or more. have a blast.

                                            Comment
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