Crickets I think this week
Monday Plays?? Anyone Betting???
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#1Monday Plays?? Anyone Betting???Tags: None -
johnnyvegas13BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 05-21-15
- 27928
#2No
Kinda sad football is over
And no xfl doesn't countComment -
pologqSBR Posting Legend
- 10-07-12
- 19899
#3taking the rangers +1.5 and maple leafs ML
taking the wizards at home -5 and pacers -5Comment -
Sam OdomSBR Aristocracy
- 10-30-05
- 58063
#4No bets...
Moving $$$ around today -- taking already $mall offshore balances down lowerComment -
BIGDAYSBR Aristocracy
- 02-17-10
- 48245
#5UNC & KState plus the numbahsComment -
stevenashModerator
- 01-17-11
- 65816
#6Full slate of NBA games today.
I’ve been killing the totals lately.Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#7I'm in and betting. Capping now.. Still a little stung and bit with SF losingHit a few props though so not a total disaster yesterday..
Back on that horse today!!! Just wondering if most NBA players are gonna be hung over and or tired today and lay eggs in the games?
Thinking upset Monday perhaps?Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#8About to buy a car, but I bought Texas first...
Originally posted by KVBThe KVB NCAAB Technical Value Fund has picked up...
867 TEXAS +14 (+100)
On mobile, forgot to post this when I first bought at 15, forgot. There are 14.5s out there as well...Comment -
stevek173BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-29-08
- 27598
#9NHL Dallas -130
Rumor has it poster Opie will be working the zamboni at the gameComment -
CanuckGSBR Posting Legend
- 12-23-10
- 21978
#10Originally posted by KVBAbout to buy a car, but I bought Texas first...
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#11Originally posted by CanuckGTexas line seems like a trap. Why so high?
My raw stacking percentages forecast has Kansas winning by 20 points. I've been working on the Hoops non-predictive public gauge and that gives Kansas a 16 point win.
But Canuck you're on to something because there is pressure big time on Texas. The contrarian in me and the contrarian radar has Kansas lighting up. Imagine that, Kansas a Contrarian play in conference play...lol.
But with this play, this strategy, the market analysis and contrarian looks don't quite apply.
I know it's general, but here's the idea behind the Technical Value strategy...
Originally posted by KVBThe KVB NCAAB Technical Value Fund will track NCAAB plays derived from a stacking percentages forecast that is enhanced by a few technical, statistical tweaks. The forecast with these adjustments, when compared to the market, give us another decent spread opportunity throughout the seasons.
This Fund will also be comprised of underdogs, exploiting some of the public thirst for favorites, but gets its plays mainly from focusing more on the weightings of a few specific areas. These areas include defensive stats like field goal %, forced turnovers per game, opponents free throws, etc, and combine them with things like pace to find those teams that are just better than the number indicates and control the game more than the betting market realizes...
It's tough to bring that raw forecast off of a 20 point victory and get the +15 or +14 but when those Technical value factors are applied we get a play. I'm purposely not posting the revised forecast, but it's market beating even if this is one of it's worst years.
It looks like it might close under the 15 opener, but we'll see.
When we think of traps, Kansas could actually be the trap here. Often times, the contrarian bettor who sees the public on a large dog but thinks it's not all that large envisions the blowout, and he gets trapped, along with other bettors there for their own reasons.
Then again, staring at such a fat line with Texas seems to be trapping most bettors, early on here, including some technical strategies.
It's my inclination that maybe the Texas line isn't as fat as it seems, but it's true it was fat enough, barely, to draw me in.
I guess the laugh is on me when Kansas becomes a contrarian Fund trigger and I end up on both sides of the game.
Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#12KVB never stopsComment -
SamsNCharge99SBR Aristocracy
- 10-22-08
- 41242
#13of course we are betting, there's always action JJComment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#14Sammy a pathological gamblerComment -
stevenashModerator
- 01-17-11
- 65816
#15A lot of parity in the NBA games tonight.
Im looking at Boston.Comment -
MackballsSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-01-16
- 5810
#16Great night to bet the boardComment -
BigOrangeSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-13-09
- 6745
#17Played these last night. 2 are moving against me and one moving in my favor:
Laf +1
N AZ -1
Bay -7Comment -
trillzSBR MVP
- 03-02-16
- 1668
#18Parlay Indy ML/Baylor 1h ML +120
Under 212 76ers heat
Celtics -5
GLComment -
flyingilliniSBR Aristocracy
- 12-06-06
- 41219
#19JJ, I’m on an airplane coming back from China and gambling the whole tripהמוסד
המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים
Comment -
asiagamblerSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-23-17
- 6827
#20Originally posted by jjgoldCrickets I think this week
Also U19 World Cup going onComment -
veriableoddsSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-22-17
- 5099
#21Originally posted by KVBAbout to buy a car, but I bought Texas first...
Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#22Sexton over 20.5 prop looks like a winner again to me.. He's been cashing like clock work for the Cavs with his Over points prop totals lately, I've been riding it.. He's been in a good scoring groove bottom line.
At home again tonight against the Nets I don't see him slowing down unless he's extremely hung over from the Super bowl weekend..
Sexton covered the last 4 games.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/6019/
Pending2/3/20 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4117 C.Sexton points/. Over 20½ -125*Comment -
krk1030SBR Posting Legend
- 08-13-08
- 17610
#23UNC +5 1st halfComment -
stevenashModerator
- 01-17-11
- 65816
#24Originally posted by JIBBBYSexton over 20.5 prop looks like a winner again to me.. He's been cashing like clock work for the Cavs with his Over points prop totals lately, I've been riding it.. He's been in a good scoring groove bottom line.
At home again tonight against the Nets I don't see him slowing down unless he's extremely hung over from the Super bowl weekend..
Sexton covered the last 4 games.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/6019/
Pending2/3/20 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4117 C.Sexton points/. Over 20½ -125*
Suns got the Nets.
Easy mistake to make.
Still a good prop.
I love the over in the Nets game.
Booker should go off.
Best of luck amigo.Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#25The Contrarian Fund is in action tonight...
Originally posted by KVBThe KVB NBA Contrarian Fund has picked up...
556 ATL+5 (-105)Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#26Also picked up some spreads...
Originally posted by KVBKVB NBA ATS/ML FFund...
546 WAS -6.5 (-105)
549 ORL -5.5 (+100)
554 MIA -2.5 (-105)
Buying a Passat, stopped process to bet...lol...Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#27Also bought a NBA UNDER, I’ve been terrible at these this season...
Originally posted by KVBThe KVB NBA Totals Fund...
554 PHI/MIA UNDER 212 (-105)
Seriously, I literally said, “hold on, I need to place some bets” while she’s trying to process the transaction.
She’s like “Oh, uh, of course, take your time.”
Just waiting for final DMV processing now.
...Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#28Originally posted by stevenashCavs got the Knicks tonight.
Suns got the Nets.
Easy mistake to make.
Still a good prop.
I love the over in the Nets game.
Booker should go off.
Best of luck amigo...
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Good luck brother. If I had to pick I'd probably take the Knicks as well but the Cavs will be hungry for a win..
Knicks slightly hotter team of late.. GL BUD!!!Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#29Picked up a play today for tomorrow...
Originally posted by KVBThe KVB NCAAB Technical Value Fund has picked up...
614 E MICH +4 (-105)
This is for tomorrow, Feb 4th...Comment -
BostongamblerBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 02-01-08
- 35581
#30No Marcus Smart tonight for Celts , but Kanter is back.Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#31Originally posted by BostongamblerNo Marcus Smart tonight for Celts , but Kanter is back.
If he plays 36 to 40 minutes tonight or so which I think he will this prop most likely covers..
5347 J.Brown points o23½ +100 Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#32Originally posted by JIBBBYSexton over 20.5 prop looks like a winner again to me.. He's been cashing like clock work for the Cavs with his Over points prop totals lately, I've been riding it.. He's been in a good scoring groove bottom line.
At home again tonight against the Nets I don't see him slowing down unless he's extremely hung over from the Super bowl weekend..
Sexton covered the last 4 games.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/6019/
Pending2/3/20 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4117 C.Sexton points/. Over 20½ -125*
Sexton with 22 points now in the 3rd quarter.. Easy money cash it.. Next..
Ride this boy against soft defenses now as he's cashing game after game. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/6019/Comment -
stevek173BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-29-08
- 27598
#33Dallas delivers.
Comment -
BIGDAYSBR Aristocracy
- 02-17-10
- 48245
#34Love starting the week out 2-0Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#35Originally posted by BIGDAYUNC & KState plus the numbahsComment
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