Pinnacle opened Thiem @ 4.19 (+319) to beat Nadal

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  • Poisec
    SBR MVP
    • 07-22-18
    • 1218

    #1
    Pinnacle opened Thiem @ 4.19 (+319) to beat Nadal
    That is some crazy value IMO.

    Odds dropped now to 3.70 (+270), but still worth a bet, anything above 3.50 looks great. Nadal below his best lately, Thiem pretty much peaking today.
  • Conqueror
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-08-13
    • 16778

    #2
    Thiem is worse on HC than Nadal. Nadal still wins this, IMHO. Kyrgios was a greater threat to Nadal than Thiem.
    Comment
    • unlearn
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-22-14
      • 9041

      #3
      Hoping for Stanimal to take out the trash and make the final
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Thiem
        Is a
        Beast
        Comment
        • sunshineSpecial
          SBR Sharp
          • 03-09-17
          • 379

          #5
          Nadal vs. Novak final. Novak wins.
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            Thiem wins here

            Too much power
            For Nadal hardcourts
            Comment
            • Goat Milk
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-24-10
              • 25850

              #7
              Like Federer to win this aussie
              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
              Comment
              • SCI
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-09-05
                • 423

                #8
                Originally posted by Goat Milk
                Like Federer to win this aussie
                If Raonic somehow beats Djokovic, he has a shot.

                I can't see Fed outdueling Novak on these slower courts.
                Comment
                • PharaohUB
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-23-07
                  • 4865

                  #9
                  Does Sandgren actually have a shot against federer? seems like odds should be better than 8-1. I'm smelling a potential upset.
                  Comment
                  • pimike
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-23-08
                    • 37140

                    #10
                    Originally posted by PharaohUB
                    Does Sandgren actually have a shot against federer? seems like odds should be better than 8-1. I'm smelling a potential upset.
                    Yes possible
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388179

                      #11
                      Is anyone taking Nadal?
                      Comment
                      • pimike
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 03-23-08
                        • 37140

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        Is anyone taking Nadal?
                        He loses JJ
                        Comment
                        • pimike
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-23-08
                          • 37140

                          #13
                          Good thread

                          I’m fading Nadal and Fed
                          Comment
                          • Conqueror
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-08-13
                            • 16778

                            #14
                            Line down to +222.
                            Comment
                            • pimike
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 03-23-08
                              • 37140

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Conqueror
                              Line down to +222.
                              Speaks volume
                              Comment
                              • pimike
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 03-23-08
                                • 37140

                                #16
                                Going with Canadian as a big dog next.

                                He is healthy and one heck of a serve.
                                Comment
                                • mikmik
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-13-12
                                  • 5457

                                  #17
                                  What’s the play mike?
                                  Comment
                                  • pimike
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-23-08
                                    • 37140

                                    #18
                                    Taking a shot with Raonic tonight.
                                    Then Wednesday taking Thiem
                                    Comment
                                    • mikmik
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-13-12
                                      • 5457

                                      #19
                                      Thanks
                                      Comment
                                      • pimike
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 03-23-08
                                        • 37140

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by mikmik
                                        Thanks
                                        You got it!!

                                        Comment
                                        • Jeff_Black
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-04-15
                                          • 3571

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Poisec
                                          That is some crazy value IMO.
                                          Odds dropped now to 3.70 (+270), but still worth a bet, anything above 3.50 looks great. Nadal below his best lately, Thiem pretty much peaking today.
                                          Looks like Thiem's gotten better as the matches have gone along. Nadal showed some nerves in the Kyrgios match but also benefitted from some stupid shots Kyrgios did as well. Thiem showed last year he can win on hard courts and beat the big guns but this is also over 5 sets too.

                                          Hoping for better odds with Thiem, and money to come in for Nadal but we'll see.
                                          Comment
                                          • Poisec
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-22-18
                                            • 1218

                                            #22
                                            1 set down
                                            2 to go
                                            Comment
                                            • Poisec
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-22-18
                                              • 1218

                                              #23
                                              2 down
                                              1 to go
                                              Comment
                                              • MrSink
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-30-08
                                                • 8087

                                                #24
                                                lets see . gonna be interesting
                                                Comment
                                                • pimike
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 03-23-08
                                                  • 37140

                                                  #25
                                                  Don’t choke Thiem!!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • leovegas
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-03-17
                                                    • 2542

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                                                    Looks like Thiem's gotten better as the matches have gone along. Nadal showed some nerves in the Kyrgios match but also benefitted from some stupid shots Kyrgios did as well. Thiem showed last year he can win on hard courts and beat the big guns but this is also over 5 sets too.

                                                    Hoping for better odds with Thiem, and money to come in for Nadal but we'll see.
                                                    Grabbed some +3.5 games late in 1st set. Could have had +5 or 5.5 if I acted before the Thiem break
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388179

                                                      #27
                                                      Guys dead even today Thiem winning tie breakers
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MrSink
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-30-08
                                                        • 8087

                                                        #28
                                                        great call
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjgold
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-20-05
                                                          • 388179

                                                          #29
                                                          Thiem got every break but Nadal could not close him out each set

                                                          Good win
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Poisec
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-22-18
                                                            • 1218

                                                            #30
                                                            Thiem was nervous towards the end but nice odds, never in doubt.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MrSink
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-30-08
                                                              • 8087

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Poisec
                                                              Thiem was nervous towards the end but nice odds, never in doubt.
                                                              I thought it is over for him after rebreak for 5-5 in 4th and easy rafa win for 6-5 . he looked paralyzed. nice bounce back though

                                                              he was pretty lucky with some net hit points .


                                                              sick ball was when rafa stopped match point to check if it was out . crazy big balls . super long seconds for him waiting for the outcome . his heart was poundind
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RudyRuetigger
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 08-24-10
                                                                • 65084

                                                                #32
                                                                great call bro
                                                                Comment
                                                                • pimike
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 03-23-08
                                                                  • 37140

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I like him to go finals
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Poisec
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-22-18
                                                                    • 1218

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by pimike
                                                                    I like him to go finals
                                                                    If fresh enough he can go all the way
                                                                    Comment
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