U.S. House Dems running away from Impeachment - Senate plans to Acquit Trump
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pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
#456Comment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
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pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
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Booya711BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-20-11
- 27329
#463Clinton got impeached from the House and just got more popularComment -
DwightShruteSBR Aristocracy
- 01-17-09
- 103531
#464Comment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
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vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
#467And if I post it here, then what? You say it’s not mine or some other bullshit? I’ve buried you broke fuxcks a million times.....you’re a light weight, paste eater.Comment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
#468He’s lying dude tell me if your betting 1000’s a game you never taken a pic of your Fukin ticket he don’t have a single one he had 5 minutes he said he bet more a night then I do a year yet I can bury him in less then a minute and he’s avoiding it cause he’s a dumb ass hoComment -
ttwarrior1BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 06-23-09
- 28464
#470for the dumb folk that don't know. Takes 67% to impeach, would only get 55 tops. Waste of time and money. And why are foreigners in here acting like they have a say. Trump. Is easily the greatest president. Quit believing all the memes and fake stuff you gullible peopleComment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
#471Comment -
Jayvegas420BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-09-11
- 28213
#472you've killed more children in your schools with guns than all service members combined this year
460K
Iraq is officially safer than American schools....
if it weren't for fake news you guys wouldn't have any news LOLComment -
vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
#473He’s lying dude tell me if your betting 1000’s a game you never taken a pic of your Fukin ticket he don’t have a single one he had 5 minutes he said he bet more a night then I do a year yet I can bury him in less then a minute and he’s avoiding it cause he’s a dumb ass hoComment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
#474Comment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
#476I ask you again you stand by your statement you bet more then me a night then I do in a year?Comment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
#477Comment -
vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
#478You are a trumptard, you yell your posts, your grammar is retarded......so how much money can you have? Unless your short bus got in an accident and you won a lawsuit, I don’t see how you could earn money to bet.Comment -
topgame85SBR Posting Legend
- 03-30-08
- 12325
#479If you dive into numbers ,Trump is in big trouble 2020. He won by razor thin margins in the states that are important.Essentially EVERY suburb is in open revolt against the Republican party. The facts are this:
1. Hillary was a horrible candidate. Very unlikable. Likely as corrupt as Trump. Easy to make the lesser of two evils argument against. The only candidate similarly unlikable this year is Warren. Even if Warren somehow becomes the nominee (only happens if Bernie drops out early for some reason) see #3 below for why it likely doesn't matter.
2. Every election since 2016 has consistently shown Republican candidates losing 5, 10, even 20 points from Trump vs Clinton margin.
3. Look at 3rd party vote counts 2016 compared to other modern elections. Those huge increases are primarily Democrats who didn't like Hilary and Republican NeverTrumpers. People "sending a message". These people feel a sense of guilt and would vote for any democrat that is nominated. See #2 as this is IMO related and responsible for the dramatic margin swings.
4. More elderly voters have passed over last 4 years and young voters have come of age. More importantly young folks have become engaged like never before.
5. Tax bill and trade wars turned some Trumpcurious voters away. They realize he is no different than those that came before him. I.e. he is not for the little guy as they had hoped.
6. Social media clamping down on certain interests. Say what you want, it had an impact. However marginal. In a race like '16, with razor thin margins where it mattered, this alone may have been enough.
Trump has a bottom of 40% due to his base. Over 51% disapprove of him consistently. Of course it will come down to the same few states, but the factors above will be his undoing. PA is gone. He needs to run the table everywhere else he won in '16. Otherwise it is over.
The bottom line is that he is not the type of candidate who picks up supporters. He slowly loses them.Comment -
DwightShruteSBR Aristocracy
- 01-17-09
- 103531
#481Comment -
vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
#482Memory of a big win. Lmao Oh my. If I ever kept a ticket I wouldn’t post it here.Comment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
#483You said you bet more money a night then I do a year yet you can’t prove it? I ha e provided proof any fukin time any fukin where on this forum now your going at my grammar like a true troll cuck! Everyone knows I don’t lie you can’t prove a fukin thing....and if you can do it and I’ll apologize I don’t care but I think your full of shitComment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
-
vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
#485You said you bet more money a night then I do a year yet you can’t prove it? I ha e provided proof any fukin time any fukin where on this forum now your going at my grammar like a true troll cuck! Everyone knows I don’t lie you can’t prove a fukin thing....and if you can do it and I’ll apologize I don’t care but I think your full of shitComment -
DwightShruteSBR Aristocracy
- 01-17-09
- 103531
#487If you dive into numbers ,Trump is in big trouble 2020. He won by razor thin margins in the states that are important.Essentially EVERY suburb is in open revolt against the Republican party. The facts are this:
1. Hillary was a horrible candidate. Very unlikable. Likely as corrupt as Trump. Easy to make the lesser of two evils argument against. The only candidate similarly unlikable this year is Warren. Even if Warren somehow becomes the nominee (only happens if Bernie drops out early for some reason) see #3 below for why it likely doesn't matter.
2. Every election since 2016 has consistently shown Republican candidates losing 5, 10, even 20 points from Trump vs Clinton margin.
3. Look at 3rd party vote counts 2016 compared to other modern elections. Those huge increases are primarily Democrats who didn't like Hilary and Republican NeverTrumpers. People "sending a message". These people feel a sense of guilt and would vote for any democrat that is nominated. See #2 as this is IMO related and responsible for the dramatic margin swings.
4. More elderly voters have passed over last 4 years and young voters have come of age. More importantly young folks have become engaged like never before.
5. Tax bill and trade wars turned some Trumpcurious voters away. They realize he is no different than those that came before him. I.e. he is not for the little guy as they had hoped.
6. Social media clamping down on certain interests. Say what you want, it had an impact. However marginal. In a race like '16, with razor thin margins where it mattered, this alone may have been enough.
Trump has a bottom of 40% due to his base. Over 51% disapprove of him consistently. Of course it will come down to the same few states, but the factors above will be his undoing. PA is gone. He needs to run the table everywhere else he won in '16. Otherwise it is over.
The bottom line is that he is not the type of candidate who picks up supporters. He slowly loses them.
42 49 9 45 47 8 42 50 8 43 50 7 Comment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
#489Take a picture and post a ticket on the forum let’s see itComment
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