Let’s talk ncaafb championship week!

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  • BeatTheJerk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-19-07
    • 31802

    #106
    Originally posted by 2daBank
    I been on nice rise but missed my 2x play last week which hurt. I’m 22-9 last 31. Bummer I was like almost dead last after 6 weeks w fukkin nfl!! Lol, if I only had 4 more weeks of college think I could catch top 10, ain’t gonna happen w nfl!! lol
    Nice turnaround Banker you may have a valid argument there.
    Comment
    • mjsuax13
      Moderator
      • 03-14-15
      • 24984

      #107
      Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
      Georgia defeated Texas A&M at home by 6 points. 19-13. LSU defeated this same team one week later at home, by 43 points, 50-7. How can anyone legitimately take Georgia and anything less than 10 points? I really hope that UGA can pull off a miracle and win this game, but there is no way in hell I am throwing my money away and wagering on them.

      My only play is the UNDER in the Oregon-Utah game on Friday Night. The line opened at 51. I got it at 50 in the middle of a free fall yesterday at the Circa. The weather forcast came out, and the line has plunged down to 46 in some shops now. That is still a good number. As others in here have stated, Oregon's offense has been MIA recently which is the reason why they are NOT playing for a spot in the playoffs. Utah's defense has allowed 30 points at USC in their loss, 28 points at Washington, and 77 points in their other 10 games. Utah's offense put up numbers against UCLA and Colorado, but was average against the rest of their opponents. Oregon's defense has been rather good this season, giving up an average of 15.5 ppg. This is a night game in Santa Clara, where there is a 100% chance of rain.
      Damn it. I missed this play. Would have been a potentially good fade knowing this loser.

      Also- love the Georgia/LSU versus A&M commentary. So amateur.
      Comment
      • Da Manster!
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-13-07
        • 17596

        #108
        I know it's a long shot but what if Wisky upsets Ohio ST tomorrow in the Big-10 championship game and assuming LSU beats Georgia, who gets the #4 spot in the college football playoff?...Wisky or the Big-12 champ?...you can make interesting and compelling arguments for both.
        Comment
        • asiagambler
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-23-17
          • 6827

          #109
          Originally posted by Da Manster!
          I know it's a long shot but what if Wisky upsets Ohio ST tomorrow in the Big-10 championship game and assuming LSU beats Georgia, who gets the #4 spot in the college football playoff?...Wisky or the Big-12 champ?...you can make interesting and compelling arguments for both.
          I think you have to give it to Big 12. 1 loss has to trump 2 losses
          Comment
          • Da Manster!
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-13-07
            • 17596

            #110
            Originally posted by asiagambler
            I think you have to give it to Big 12. 1 loss has to trump 2 losses
            yeah I hear ya but you know how the pollsters and the committee thinks...to beat the number one team and arguably the best team in the country when it matters most?...there would be a good possibility if Wisky could pull it off they might very well leapfrog either Baylor or Oklahoma...not saying it's right, but we've seen it before where the Big-12 champ gets screwed...but I digress and totally agree with you...Winner of the Big-12 championship is getting that #4 spot...no and's, if's, or but's about it...with the big caveat being that LSU beats Georgia...because lets face it...if the bulldogs pull off the upset, the SEC is getting two teams in because the Tigers aren't dropping out regardless.
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #111
              Originally posted by mjsuax13
              Damn it. I missed this play. Would have been a potentially good fade knowing this loser.

              Also- love the Georgia/LSU versus A&M commentary. So amateur.
              Lol.. let’s not bring that stuff in here brother. Appreciate the sentiment but even he tries to act right In this thread so I ask everyone to do the same. Lot of places for us to take shots at the guys we don’t like (many for good reason), just not in this thread. Thanks.
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #112
                Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                Best bet for Pick 6 ?
                I used Uga but kicking myself for not using the Clemson over, 54.5 when I bet and played 1x in contest. Up to 57.5 now.
                Comment
                • asiagambler
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 07-23-17
                  • 6827

                  #113
                  Originally posted by Da Manster!
                  yeah I hear ya but you know how the pollsters and the committee thinks...to beat the number one team and arguably the best team in the country when it matters most?...there would be a good possibility if Wisky could pull it off they might very well leapfrog either Baylor or Oklahoma...not saying it's right, but we've seen it before where the Big-12 champ gets screwed...but I digress and totally agree with you...Winner of the Big-12 championship is getting that #4 spot...no and's, if's, or but's about it...with the big caveat being that LSU beats Georgia...because lets face it...if the bulldogs pull off the upset, the SEC is getting two teams in because the Tigers aren't dropping out regardless.
                  Yeah if Wisconsin didn't have such an ugly loss to Illinois, I'd say they had a small chance in that scenario. Maybe if they lost a close game to Michigan instead and then everything else equal, maybe they'd have a chance if Baylor won. For some reason, it feels like Oklahoma wouldn't get left out regardless because they're the big name program even though Baylor's resume is probably on par if not better
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #114
                    Originally posted by asiagambler
                    Yeah if Wisconsin didn't have such an ugly loss to Illinois, I'd say they had a small chance in that scenario. Maybe if they lost a close game to Michigan instead and then everything else equal, maybe they'd have a chance if Baylor won. For some reason, it feels like Oklahoma wouldn't get left out regardless because they're the big name program even though Baylor's resume is probably on par if not better
                    At this point I feel like the big12 winner in unless Uga beats LSU which is entirely possible.
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #115
                      Well we got a great number on the Clemson over.
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #116
                        Ya’ll have thoughts on app st and cmu games? I have not followed either those conf much.
                        Comment
                        • asiagambler
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 07-23-17
                          • 6827

                          #117
                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                          Ya’ll have thoughts on app st and cmu games? I have not followed either those conf much.
                          Haven't looked closely but I'm leaning towards Central Michigan! Great defense and great job from McEwain
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #118
                            Originally posted by asiagambler
                            Haven't looked closely but I'm leaning towards Central Michigan! Great defense and great job from McEwain
                            That was my initial thought as well but still digging in and as I’ve noted 100x this year I kinda avoid the Mac like the plague. Lol
                            Comment
                            • Cuse0323
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-09-09
                              • 30169

                              #119
                              Originally posted by Tanko
                              Cuse.... Did you get the bitcoin from the Pick 6 hit?
                              Nice $600.
                              No. I was going to put it all in Oregon ML. Crazy that I have to wait until Monday at the earliest. That was the play I needed to start my run. Would have been one play away from hitting 5K, but nope, I’ll probably lose on my first game that I force now since CFB won’t be going on. Sucks to miss championship week. I have a good feel for the games too. Not sure why it’s so hard to open up the ole BTC account, enter 600, my address, and press send.
                              Comment
                              • U2.5
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-21-14
                                • 1953

                                #120
                                Originally posted by Cuse0323
                                No. I was going to put it all in Oregon ML. Crazy that I have to wait until Monday at the earliest. That was the play I needed to start my run. Would have been one play away from hitting 5K, but nope, I’ll probably lose on my first game that I force now since CFB won’t be going on. Sucks to miss championship week. I have a good feel for the games too. Not sure why it’s so hard to open up the ole BTC account, enter 600, my address, and press send.
                                I feel your pain man. Earlier I was going to bet willem II to beat ajax which paid over 16-1 and instead I chickened out. woulda won over 3 grand, so tonight I put 500 on oregon ML. I had a hunch the doggies would bark today. That sucks you missed out on the money though. Oregon curb stomped them all game.
                                Comment
                                • U2.5
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-21-14
                                  • 1953

                                  #121
                                  cuse you're in a good spot to help us out even though you're not in action. You can give us unbiased feedback. What are your thoughts on these games tomorrow?
                                  Comment
                                  • asiagambler
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 07-23-17
                                    • 6827

                                    #122
                                    So regarding the Sun Belt, I watched a bit of the game played in Louisiana that App State won 17-7 but I thought LL held their own defensively. They just couldn't get much going offensively when App State shut down the ground game

                                    Still it was 10-7 in the 4th quarter and LL just needed a stop to try for a final drive to tie or win. But they just ran out of gas. App State kept running it and converting 3rd and 4th downs on a long drive and got a late TD to push the margin to 10

                                    Is the game gonna be much different? I can't imagine so. The total in the first game was 69! And this game opened at 55.5 but was bet up to 57.5. I can't really make sense of the move up. App State also recently lost their top receiver Corey Sutton

                                    Under 58 looks like a bet I'll be making one way or another
                                    Comment
                                    • Cuse0323
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-09-09
                                      • 30169

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by U2.5
                                      cuse you're in a good spot to help us out even though you're not in action. You can give us unbiased feedback. What are your thoughts on these games tomorrow?
                                      True. Maybe I’ll write up some thoughts in a bit. I just knew Oregon had this. Things usually work out for the committee, and they end up having 4 obvious teams. Now they just have to plug in the Oklahoma/Baylor winner, and good to go. Or Georgia stays in it if they win. Plus Oregon was the best team Utah had to face all year, and the USC and UW games gave me pause on the Utes D. Then their offense against an overlooked Oregon D, and that’s all she wrote. Easy to say after the fact, but did make my thoughts known before the game a little bit. The Saturday card is tough though. Really needed this one to build a cushion for my roll. Oh well, shit happens. Not gonna let it bother me. I’ll probably do turrible this weekend anyway, so maybe it’s for the best.
                                      Comment
                                      • mjsuax13
                                        Moderator
                                        • 03-14-15
                                        • 24984

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                        Lol.. let’s not bring that stuff in here brother. Appreciate the sentiment but even he tries to act right In this thread so I ask everyone to do the same. Lot of places for us to take shots at the guys we don’t like (many for good reason), just not in this thread. Thanks.
                                        You got it my man. Let’s win some games tomorrow.
                                        Comment
                                        • Demonata
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 07-12-11
                                          • 26578

                                          #125
                                          Utah utes lost. Lost $50. Oh well. I'll live. I hate the utes anyway. Go oklahoma tomorrow!
                                          Comment
                                          • Cuse0323
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-09-09
                                            • 30169

                                            #126
                                            Too lazy to write anything about it, but I like OU -9. Think they roll here.
                                            Comment
                                            • Cuse0323
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-09-09
                                              • 30169

                                              #127
                                              And ULL with the points. Live dog for me.
                                              Comment
                                              • asiagambler
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-23-17
                                                • 6827

                                                #128
                                                So I still haven't looked at the MAC game too closely but I can't NOT bet Central Michigan here

                                                McEwain's had them prepared all year and they're on a tear in November. Miami almost lost to Akron! Then they did lose to Ball State

                                                Looking at win expectancy from advanced box scores, Miami's also been one of the luckiest teams this year. They have a one-dimensional rushing offense that plays into CMU's strength on defense

                                                CMU too much offensive firepower. I'll gladly take them under a touchdown
                                                Comment
                                                • asiagambler
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 07-23-17
                                                  • 6827

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by Cuse0323
                                                  And ULL with the points. Live dog for me.
                                                  Seems like App State just has their number but the first game was much closer than score indicated. If I had to bet it, I agree- the line looks a bit out of control and I would bet them +7. But I think it plays out similarly so I just took under. I think it's very telling the total is 12 points lower than first matchup.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • asiagambler
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 07-23-17
                                                    • 6827

                                                    #130
                                                    I also took Wisconsin +16

                                                    I'm betting on Fields not being as effective nursing his knee injury. Mobility limited and can affect throws too

                                                    Wisconsin kept the first matchup close for a half. I also don't think Ohio State has any reason to run it up. They're gonna be the #1 seed. I think they'll play more conservative with a lead and make sure everyone just gets out healthy, especially Fields
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Big Bear
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 11-01-11
                                                      • 43253

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                      Just got done doing Mfin Xmas lights, now Gotta get a fukkin tree. Fukk!!!
                                                      you sound like the grinch
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Big Bear
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 11-01-11
                                                        • 43253

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by Smoke
                                                        Ohio State is the easiest play on the board. Wisconsin is built to run the ball and when Ohio State gets ahead by a couple TD's they will be forced to throw the ball. I have Buckeyes winning by 27
                                                        it might even be by more than that

                                                        It’s time to put the world on notice

                                                        get yo ass checked like a fukkin Nike
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Smoke
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-09-09
                                                          • 48111

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                          it might even be by more than that

                                                          It’s time to put the world on notice

                                                          get yo ass checked like a fukkin Nike
                                                          Yup wisky is way too one dimensional
                                                          Comment
                                                          • leetreaper
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 10-23-10
                                                            • 34841

                                                            #134
                                                            Looks like a fairly easy card for me today:

                                                            Top plays
                                                            : Baylor and Georgia.

                                                            Medium Plays
                                                            : Lala and C Mich.

                                                            Single and action plays: FUA, Boise, Memphis, Ohio State and Clemson.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Da Manster!
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 07-13-07
                                                              • 17596

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by leetreaper
                                                              Looks like a fairly easy card for me today:

                                                              Top plays
                                                              : Baylor and Georgia.

                                                              Medium Plays
                                                              : Lala and C Mich.

                                                              Single and action plays: FUA, Boise, Memphis, Ohio State and Clemson.
                                                              rule number one of the SBR gambling manifesto...if Lee and Manster say it's a top play or best bet, then you best "nail it and pound it"!...take Baylor and the points...it's already dropped to 8.5...but even at that number you should be safe...Hell, the Bears are a very live dog that can win this game outright.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • leetreaper
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 10-23-10
                                                                • 34841

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by Da Manster!
                                                                rule number one of the SBR gambling manifesto...if Lee and Manster say it's a top play or best bet, then you best "nail it and pound it"!...take Baylor and the points...it's already dropped to 8.5...but even at that number you should be safe...Hell, the Bears are a very live dog that can win this game outright.
                                                                Hell yeah baby
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Da Manster!
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 07-13-07
                                                                  • 17596

                                                                  #137
                                                                  anyone else feeling Boise ST (-13.5) over Hawaii?...it's been warm and sunny all week long in Hawaii and with the girls, beaches, etc...all the perks that come playing on the island...and today it's supposed to be in the high 30's-low 40's, windy, rain, cold, etc on the blue turf...the Broncos curb stomped earlier in the year and this weather usually favors the running team...Huge advantage for Boise ST...depending on the outcome of the Baylor game, I might do a play on this as well.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by Da Manster!
                                                                    anyone else feeling Boise ST (-13.5) over Hawaii?...it's been warm and sunny all week long in Hawaii and with the girls, beaches, etc...all the perks that come playing on the island...and today it's supposed to be in the high 30's-low 40's, windy, rain, cold, etc on the blue turf...the Broncos curb stomped earlier in the year and this weather usually favors the running team...Huge advantage for Boise ST...depending on the outcome of the Baylor game, I might do a play on this as well.
                                                                    I think I lean over more than a side but can’t really argue w Boise
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #139
                                                                      My cmu concerns, well numero uno it like 55-5 in pick 6 for cmu, little scary. The other is i don’t know what to make of Miami shoddy play lately since the games didn’t really matter to them? I certainly understand liking cmu but when I saw that count I thought forget that. lol
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • leetreaper
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 10-23-10
                                                                        • 34841

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                        My cmu concerns, well numero uno it like 55-5 in pick 6 for cmu, little scary. The other is i don’t know what to make of Miami shoddy play lately since the games didn’t really matter to them? I certainly understand liking cmu but when I saw that count I thought forget that. lol
                                                                        The count gotta win sometimes too, amirit?
                                                                        Comment
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