NFL spot play: Phil/NE

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  • vivaporto
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-02-19
    • 187

    #1
    NFL spot play: Phil/NE
    Philadelphia +4.5
  • juicername
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-14-15
    • 6906

    #2
    What's the spot angle?
    Comment
    • TheMetsSuck
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-14-12
      • 6146

      #3
      I see the spot angle. The pats under Brady and bill are 13-4 after bye weeks. They are also 51-13 after a loss. I’m pretty sure if you give these guys two weeks after a loss it’ll be a win more often than not. I could never justify an eagles bet here. Good luck. Those stats are real
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        everyone on Phila

        Why not

        Brady getting old, Pats do not have much on offense
        Comment
        • ThaWoj
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-09-10
          • 6764

          #5
          Originally posted by TheMetsSuck
          I see the spot angle. The pats under Brady and bill are 13-4 after bye weeks. They are also 51-13 after a loss. I’m pretty sure if you give these guys two weeks after a loss it’ll be a win more often than not. I could never justify an eagles bet here. Good luck. Those stats are real
          I thought about this as soon as the Ravens game was over. I told myself to get ready to unload on the pats in 2 weeks
          Comment
          • Buckandadime
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-21-15
            • 8847

            #6
            Originally posted by jjgold
            everyone on Phila

            Why not

            Brady getting old, Pats do not have much on offense
            JJ, how many years now have people been saying Brady is getting old?
            Proves us wrong yearly, weekly...
            Comment
            • Hman
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-04-17
              • 21429

              #7
              GL with it
              Comment
              • vivaporto
                SBR High Roller
                • 09-02-19
                • 187

                #8
                Media and the public mentality is that Patriots are coming of a bye and a loss (they are 63% and 71% ATS respectively in those situations during the brady/billy era...believe me, i have bet pats in these situations many times before and cashed!) and revenge angle. But the reality is that Patriots team, even though good, is not as good as their past teams nor their record this season. Patriots defense look good in stats but they are not as good as those stats indicate (this can be said about the offense as well)....they accumulated those stats playing the easiest schedule in the league so far (jets twice, giants, redskins, miami, cleveland, buffalo and pittsburg and baltimore)...that list also the list of worst offensive teams in the league except for baltimore...and baltimore put up 37 points against pats defense. Philies are getting better and their defense is better than Pats D. My bet on the spread is significant and i also have sprinkle on the moneyline. Over the past decade, that team that made me the most money when backing is Pats...but today is not the spot to back them. Obviously its not a sure thing but i give higher chance for phillies than pats, especially considering this is also a home game for the phils.
                Comment
                • stacyleighhanson
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-02-19
                  • 1109

                  #9
                  GL man. Can definitely see an Eagles win
                  Comment
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