NCAAF wk-9

shocka1212 · 10-21-19, 01:20 PM

Memphis overvalued

veriableodds · 10-21-19, 02:34 PM

Originally posted by shocka1212

Memphis overvalued

might be but model showing (-27) have to take -10

BigdaddyQH · 10-21-19, 02:57 PM

A perfect example of why guys lose so much in here. Veriableodds posts: "might be but model showing (-27) have to take -10". No you do not have to take 10. In order to be successful in this business, you have to have a very accurate gut instinct. If your gut instinct tells you to lay off, you lay off. What 95% of you folks forget is the fact that not losing is part of the equation. It is NOT just "Win or Lose". It is Win, Lose, or no play, and no play is a lot better than losing.

jtoler · 10-21-19, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by veriableodds

might be but model showing (-27) have to take -10

wish I could take a peak at a system that has them -27 seems like its using very simple methods for approaching that number

2daBank · 10-21-19, 03:35 PM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

A perfect example of why guys lose so much in here. Veriableodds posts: "might be but model showing (-27) have to take -10". No you do not have to take 10. In order to be successful in this business, you have to have a very accurate gut instinct. If your gut instinct tells you to lay off, you lay off. What 95% of you folks forget is the fact that not losing is part of the equation. It is NOT just "Win or Lose". It is Win, Lose, or no play, and no play is a lot better than losing.

Wisconsin 2nd half and Arizona were awesome plays. Fukkin clown. Now we know why you rarely have the guts to take a stand. Showing your garbage plays before the fact really puts a damper on your attempt to sound sharp. Fat ass fraud.

2daBank · 10-21-19, 03:37 PM

I hate to pile on bro but I would def look harder at my model and/or question the play if you getting -27 for a game w a 10 point spread.

veriableodds · 10-21-19, 04:25 PM

well I understand if I take my total plays off record it would be much better. Man yall fired up this week its not emotions or guts just stats. I pick spots with value and roll.

2daBank · 10-21-19, 04:26 PM

Originally posted by veriableodds

well I understand if I take my total plays off record it would be much better. Man yall fired up this week its not emotions or guts just stats. I pick spots with value and roll.

I’m not fired up, rooting for you bro. Just saying how often you get a game 17 points different between your model and line?

veriableodds · 10-21-19, 04:34 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

I’m not fired up, rooting for you bro. Just saying how often you get a game 17 points different between your model and line?

ok using the old stat fox paper and pencil power ratings it comes out as such, they are the leading logic in sports handicapping or am I missing something. Yes sometimes I do not agree with the rating, and due lay off if its fishy
Memphis/25/rating#46
tulsa/102/rating#26
give tulsa 3 more for homecourt and still have a 27 rating gap

veriableodds · 10-21-19, 04:42 PM

i see error on my part fk
its a 17 point gap but 7 points value im still taking 10 wrote it out wrong

veriableodds · 10-21-19, 05:01 PM

no totals this week
adding one more play

syracuse/+10.5

6 plays total

veriableodds · 10-21-19, 05:04 PM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

A perfect example of why guys lose so much in here. Veriableodds posts: "might be but model showing (-27) have to take -10". No you do not have to take 10. In order to be successful in this business, you have to have a very accurate gut instinct. If your gut instinct tells you to lay off, you lay off. What 95% of you folks forget is the fact that not losing is part of the equation. It is NOT just "Win or Lose". It is Win, Lose, or no play, and no play is a lot better than losing.

seriously you should write magazines articles, would bring character to the story

BigdaddyQH · 10-21-19, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

Wisconsin 2nd half and Arizona were awesome plays. Fukkin clown. Now we know why you rarely have the guts to take a stand. Showing your garbage plays before the fact really puts a damper on your attempt to sound sharp. Fat ass fraud.

You know I really should put an end to you and your mouthing off. You are a worthless ex-con who does nothing but drink, gets drugged up, and mouths off. You have no money, no bet points, and absolutely no class. You are trash. I would say white trash, but I am not even sure about that. You sure talk like a big mouth non-white. Hookers will not give you the time of day. So anytime you want to bring it on, you just let me know. Out here, it is very legal to eliminate trash like you permanently. You, of all people, should not be talking. Loser.

2daBank · 10-21-19, 05:20 PM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

You know I really should put an end to you and your mouthing off. You are a worthless ex-con who does nothing but drink, gets drugged up, and mouths off. You have no money, no bet points, and absolutely no class. You are trash. I would say white trash, but I am not even sure about that. You sure talk like a big mouth non-white. Hookers will not give you the time of day. So anytime you want to bring it on, you just let me know. Out here, it is very legal to eliminate trash like you permanently. You, of all people, should not be talking. Loser.

How many guys you killed? Lmfao. You so pathetic. “Hey come to my house”, lmfao., sure thing fat bitch, wait outside, dumb fukk.

“If you don’t come to st Louis you a scared coward”. Lmfao. God you a dumb bitch.,

Your fat ass ain’t ever gotten laid. Post some pics w girls, I have (try to make them of age you piece of shit child molester). I’m verified, you a bitch hiding behind keyboard.

Every time you post garbage know it all crap to anyone I’ll be here to tell everyone what a pathetic phony ass loser you are. Suck on that fat boy. Learn to act right or I’ll continue doing what your pathetic parents never could and attempt to teach you manners.

2daBank · 10-21-19, 05:29 PM

Has fat phony killed more ppl than winners he has posted 0???? Best bet, push!!! Lmfao

teecee · 10-22-19, 01:35 AM

Goddamnit! Now you're gonna make me run numbers for Memphis/Tulsa matchup. It is 2:30 am, sir.

teecee · 10-22-19, 01:36 AM

Already on WKU, but I got 6.5.

2daBank · 10-22-19, 03:17 AM

Originally posted by teecee

Already on WKU, but I got 6.5.

Just mentioned this one in discussion thread (just posted it). I havnt seen much of any of we are but wku been super impressive to be catching 6!!!

2daBank · 10-22-19, 03:19 AM

Bro Tulsa has played all the conf top dogs tough. They had smu beat, they gave cincy everything they wanted last week. They gonna give Memphis a game. I just realized this the game you have 27!! You wanna give me Tulsa +14.5?