Does A Sports Book's Exposure on Futures Affect A Weekly Line?

funnyb25 · 09-23-19, 05:12 PM

They all correlate

gauchojake · 09-23-19, 05:17 PM

Thanks funny

ok mods close thread

funnyb25 · 09-23-19, 05:18 PM

Lol Jakers

jjgold · 09-23-19, 05:25 PM

depends on size

hard to get down much to do any damage to a book

blackbox · 09-23-19, 05:37 PM

Period-- yes it does-- however the particular sportsbook should have examined their futures liability weekly --or in our case daily. A futures report is so easy to run -and is . Just a click of the computer screen. >IE Report 27== report 27 is NFC Conference-- it would show how much each team would pay if they were to win..
Very good question sir--gl to all

blackbox · 09-23-19, 05:39 PM

JJ Kivi at MGM was terminated at MGM for failure to move Tyson fight line--google Las Vegas Sun -good to read your comments JJ

SBR Drew · 09-23-19, 05:52 PM

This a separate bet. Futures consideration comes in to play in December if at all.

gauchojake · 09-23-19, 05:54 PM

Kivi out as MGM sports book chief

https://lasvegassun.com/news/1996/dec/09/kivi-out-as-mgm-sports-book-chief/

MGM officials declined to give a reason why Kivi left the post he has held since June 1993, six months before the Strip mega-resort opened. However, speculation is that he was fired Friday.

The purported ouster came a day after Kivi denied in the SUN that the MGM Grand took a $1 million bet from New Jersey gaming mogul Donald Trump on the Mike Tyson-Evander Holyfield heavyweight championship fight at the MGM.
Trump told a New York reporter last week that he won $20 million when 20-1 underdog Holyfield won by an 11th-round knockout on Nov. 9.

gauchojake · 09-23-19, 07:13 PM

Originally posted by SBR Drew

This a separate bet. Futures consideration comes in to play in December if at all.

It would seem to me a bit reckless to build a risk model that didn't include all potential exposure weighted by probability but what do I know.

flyingillini · 09-23-19, 07:39 PM

Gaucho Loco! Brian Shaw has action on the Bears game Gaucho!

gauchojake · 09-23-19, 08:05 PM

Originally posted by flyingillini

Gaucho Loco! Brian Shaw has action on the Bears game Gaucho!

I heard Jack Johnson was on the Skins + 5.5!!!

Eddy Munny · 09-23-19, 08:43 PM

I'm not sure you can alter a line intended for weekly action to somehow balance season long action without comprising the integrity of the spread on a particular game... Plus there's so many variables that can affect futures, allowing exposure to influence your weekly lines just seems like a futile task that wouldn't even guarantee its intended outcome. The books have so many moving parts when you take all possible bets into consideration (spread, totals, halves, props, live) I'd guess they just have to let the chips fall where they may and trust that the house edge will do its job over time.