"Winners are easy just have to pick your spots" - jjgold (October 2016)
There is a lot of truth there ^
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#2
Nobody can spot play that’s why we all lose we’re just in this for action of course there’s a few good plays a week but then we play 20 others
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SamsNCharge99
SBR Aristocracy
10-22-08
41242
#3
i'm a winner
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#4
Sammy you’re down 10,000 betting tennis
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Sam Odom
SBR Aristocracy
10-30-05
58063
#5
Originally posted by jjgold
Nobody can spot play that’s why we all lose we’re just in this for action of course there’s a few good plays a week but then we play 20 others
Discipline & BR management
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hubie69
SBR Hall of Famer
09-16-10
7329
#6
Originally posted by Sam Odom
Discipline & BR management
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BuckyOne
SBR MVP
01-02-15
2728
#7
Have you guys ever heard of value?
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SamsNCharge99
SBR Aristocracy
10-22-08
41242
#8
Originally posted by jjgold
Sammy you’re down 10,000 betting tennis
i'm a loser
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Sam Odom
SBR Aristocracy
10-30-05
58063
#9
SamsN
dont let jj Intimidate you ... he's a nobody
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gauchojake
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
09-17-10
34116
#10
Nobody loses
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Renegades
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-11
5290
#11
Originally posted by BuckyOne
Have you guys ever heard of value?
I’ll chime in on this. I dont believe there is value. Its only “perceived” value. 99.9% of bettors, particularly on sbr, are not going to find an edge based on data that the books have not already accounted for. The algos and all of the other sophisticated metrics that the oddsmakers use are way more advanced than any of us. 20 yrs ago...yeah maybe you could find an edge. In 2019 the lines are tighter than a ducks ass
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#12
Renegade wins the thread
No value anymore
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BuckyOne
SBR MVP
01-02-15
2728
#13
Originally posted by Renegades
I’ll chime in on this. I dont believe there is value. Its only “perceived” value. 99.9% of bettors, particularly on sbr, are not going to find an edge based on data that the books have not already accounted for. The algos and all of the other sophisticated metrics that the oddsmakers use are way more advanced than any of us. 20 yrs ago...yeah maybe you could find an edge. In 2019 the lines are tighter than a ducks ass
Great Post! I agree with you that 2019 lines are tighter than a ducks petute. In theory - is it then impossible to win with a large sample? Why are they so tight-Is it because of all the states legalizing and that is where the squares/volume has gone?
But, I do disagree that bookmakers always set a scientifically correct line. The # is Absolutely, super cloned and simultaneously moved on the slightest of a duck fart. There are still some times where the lines maker is trying to split the action.
There are still people that make a very scientific line and can recognize this. There is a reason for steam type movement. But, the only guy getting value is the originator.
So, I say value can still be defined by somebody who is really, really, really good.