"Winners are easy just have to pick your spots"

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  • Sam Odom
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-30-05
    • 58063

    #1
    "Winners are easy just have to pick your spots"
    "Winners are easy just have to pick your spots" - jjgold (October 2016)


    There is a lot of truth there ^
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Nobody can spot play that’s why we all lose we’re just in this for action of course there’s a few good plays a week but then we play 20 others
    Comment
    • SamsNCharge99
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-22-08
      • 41242

      #3
      i'm a winner
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Sammy you’re down 10,000 betting tennis
        Comment
        • Sam Odom
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-30-05
          • 58063

          #5
          Originally posted by jjgold


          Nobody can spot play that’s why we all lose we’re just in this for action of course there’s a few good plays a week but then we play 20 others


          Discipline & BR management
          Comment
          • hubie69
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-16-10
            • 7329

            #6
            Originally posted by Sam Odom
            Discipline & BR management
            Comment
            • BuckyOne
              SBR MVP
              • 01-02-15
              • 2728

              #7
              Have you guys ever heard of value?
              Comment
              • SamsNCharge99
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-22-08
                • 41242

                #8
                Originally posted by jjgold
                Sammy you’re down 10,000 betting tennis
                i'm a loser
                Comment
                • Sam Odom
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-30-05
                  • 58063

                  #9
                  SamsN

                  dont let jj Intimidate you ... he's a nobody
                  Comment
                  • gauchojake
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 09-17-10
                    • 34116

                    #10
                    Nobody loses
                    Comment
                    • Renegades
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-12-11
                      • 5290

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BuckyOne
                      Have you guys ever heard of value?
                      I’ll chime in on this. I dont believe there is value. Its only “perceived” value. 99.9% of bettors, particularly on sbr, are not going to find an edge based on data that the books have not already accounted for. The algos and all of the other sophisticated metrics that the oddsmakers use are way more advanced than any of us. 20 yrs ago...yeah maybe you could find an edge. In 2019 the lines are tighter than a ducks ass
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #12
                        Renegade wins the thread


                        No value anymore
                        Comment
                        • BuckyOne
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-02-15
                          • 2728

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Renegades
                          I’ll chime in on this. I dont believe there is value. Its only “perceived” value. 99.9% of bettors, particularly on sbr, are not going to find an edge based on data that the books have not already accounted for. The algos and all of the other sophisticated metrics that the oddsmakers use are way more advanced than any of us. 20 yrs ago...yeah maybe you could find an edge. In 2019 the lines are tighter than a ducks ass
                          Great Post! I agree with you that 2019 lines are tighter than a ducks petute. In theory - is it then impossible to win with a large sample? Why are they so tight-Is it because of all the states legalizing and that is where the squares/volume has gone?

                          But, I do disagree that bookmakers always set a scientifically correct line. The # is Absolutely, super cloned and simultaneously moved on the slightest of a duck fart. There are still some times where the lines maker is trying to split the action.

                          There are still people that make a very scientific line and can recognize this. There is a reason for steam type movement. But, the only guy getting value is the originator.

                          So, I say value can still be defined by somebody who is really, really, really good.
                          Comment
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